The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.(PNC)
NYSE
$217.72
-2.44 (-1.11%)

The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.(PNC)Earnings Date, History & Expected Move
NYSE

PNC is scheduled to report on Oct 15, 2026, before the market opens. Analysts expect EPS of $4.98.

Next report
Oct 15, 2026
In 7 days · before open
EPS beat rate
100%
12 of 12 quarters
Avg move after earnings
±1.9%
Up 67% of the time · last 12
Options-implied move
±4.2%
2.14x history · options look expensive
Options look expensive vs history (2.14x)
Add to calendar

EPS: Actual vs Estimate

Reported earnings per share against the consensus estimate, last 12 quarters.

Green = beat or met, red = missed, amber = our data sources disagree on beat vs miss for that quarter.

Stock Reaction After Earnings

Close-to-close move in the first session that reflected each report.

Dashed lines: average actual move (±1.9%) and what options price for the next report (±4.2%).

Did the stock rise after good news?

"Beat" means the company earned more than analysts expected. Here is what the stock did the next day.

When it beat expectations
12 reports

In plain words: it beat expectations 12 times, but the stock still fell 4 of those 12 times.

Report by report
  • Jul '26
    Beat
    ▲ +0.9%
  • Apr '26
    Beat
    ▲ +0.4%
  • Jan '26
    Beat
    ▲ +3.8%
  • Oct '25
    Beat
    ▼ -3.9%
  • Jul '25
    Beat
    ▲ +0.9%
  • Apr '25
    Beat
    ▲ +0.0%
  • Jan '25
    Beat
    ▼ -1.9%
  • Oct '24
    Beat
    ▲ +2.0%
  • Jul '24
    Beat
    ▲ +4.7%
  • Apr '24
    Beat
    ▼ -2.0%
  • Jan '24
    Beat
    ▲ +0.1%
  • Oct '23
    Beat
    ▼ -2.6%

Only reports with a clear beat or miss and a known price reaction are counted. A beat does not guarantee a gain.

After an EPS beat
+0.2%
average next-day move · up 67% of 12 times
After an EPS miss
—
Not enough quarters yet

Why did PNC fall after beating earnings?

Beating or missing estimates is only part of the story. These are the measurable things that stand out for each surprising reaction.

PNC beat EPS estimates in 12 quarters, and the stock still closed lower the next day 4 times.

  • Oct 15, 2025EPS beat +7.7%stock -3.9% next day
    • It opened 3.1% lower as soon as trading resumed.
  • Jan 16, 2025EPS beat +10.0%stock -1.9% next day
    • It opened 7.5% lower as soon as trading resumed.
  • Apr 16, 2024EPS beat +9.1%stock -2.0% next day
    • It opened 1.6% lower as soon as trading resumed.
  • Oct 13, 2023EPS beat +14.6%stock -2.6% next day

    Nothing in the price and estimate numbers we track stands out for this one. Guidance and management comments are not part of our data.

These are patterns visible in estimates and prices, not confirmed causes. Information only, not investment advice.

Was PNC's earnings move already priced in?

Stocks often move in the weeks before a report. This compares that run-up with what happened after the report.

Avg move in the month before
+2.2%
last 12 reports
Higher before the report
67%
of the time
After a run-up of 3%+
Fell 0%
5 reports, avg +1.8%
After a drop of 3%+
Rose 33%
3 reports, avg -2.2%

“Month before” is the move over the 20 trading days up to the last close before the report. “Priced in” means the good news may already be in the price. A run-up of 5% or more is treated as large.

Before vs after each report

Grey: how the stock moved in the 20 trading days before the report. Green or red: how it moved the day after.

Past reports only: this shows what happened, not what will happen.

Does PNC hold its opening gap after earnings?

A gap is how far the stock opens from the previous close. A gap fades when the stock gives back at least half of it by the end of the day.

In 7 reports PNC opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 3 of 7 times (43%), and fully reversed 1 time. Gaps up faded 1 of 3; gaps down recovered 2 of 4.

  • Jan 16, 2026Held
    Opened +4.6%, closed +3.8%
  • Oct 15, 2025Held
    Opened -3.1%, closed -3.9%
  • Jul 16, 2025Faded
    Opened +2.5%, closed +0.9%
  • Apr 15, 2025Reversed
    Opened -1.8%, closed +0.0%
  • Jan 16, 2025Faded
    Opened -7.5%, closed -1.9%
  • Oct 15, 2024Held
    Opened +1.1%, closed +2.0%
  • Apr 16, 2024Held
    Opened -1.6%, closed -2.0%

Gap = opening price vs the previous close. Close = the end of the first session that reflected the report. Reports without a clear opening time are left out.

What the history says

  • PNC has beaten EPS estimates in 12 straight quarters.
  • Options price a ±4.2% move, 2.14x its usual ±1.9%: the market expects more volatility than PNC has typically delivered.

PNC earnings history

Last 12 reported quarters with the stock's reaction.

Swipe sideways to see every column →

Report dateTimeEPS est.EPS actualSurprise1-day move3-day move
Jul 15, 2026Before open$4.45$4.81+8.1%+0.90%+0.39%
Apr 15, 2026Before open$4.16$4.32+3.8%+0.39%+1.63%
Jan 16, 2026Before open$4.23$4.88+15.4%+3.79%+4.86%
Oct 15, 2025Before open$4.04$4.35+7.7%-3.90%-5.44%
Jul 16, 2025Before open$3.56$3.85+8.1%+0.93%+2.28%
Apr 15, 2025Before open$3.39$3.51+3.5%+0.05%-1.93%
Jan 16, 2025Before open$3.31$3.64+10.0%-1.95%-0.94%
Oct 15, 2024Before open$3.29$3.77+14.6%+2.03%+0.15%
Jul 16, 2024Before open$3.07$3.30+7.5%+4.71%+4.17%
Apr 16, 2024Before open$3.08$3.36+9.1%-2.02%-1.12%
Jan 16, 2024Before open$2.71$3.16+16.6%+0.07%-1.77%
Oct 13, 2023Before open$3.14$3.60+14.6%-2.62%-1.81%

Consensus for the next report: EPS $4.98, revenue $6.68B.

PNC Earnings FAQ

Answers computed from The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.'s reported history

PNC is scheduled to report on Oct 15, 2026, before the market opens. Analysts expect EPS of $4.98.

Over the last 12 quarters with a usable EPS surprise, PNC beat the consensus estimate 12 times (100%), missed 0 and landed in line 0. It has beaten estimates in each of the last 12 counted quarters.

Across its last 12 quarters with a measured reaction, PNC moved an average of ±1.9% in the first session after reporting. It closed higher 67% of the time; the largest gain was 4.7% and the largest drop -3.9%.

Options currently price a move of about ±4.2% (nearest at-the-money straddle that expires after the report). It measures the size of the expected move, not its direction. That is 2.14x its average historical move of ±1.9%, so options look expensive relative to history.

PNC fell in the first session after 4 of its last 12 EPS beats (33%). A beat that was already priced in, or weaker guidance, can send a stock lower.

Across its last 12 quarters with price data, PNC moved an average of +2.2% in the 20 trading sessions before reporting and was higher in 67% of them. After a run-up of 3% or more (5 quarters), it fell the next day 0% of the time, averaging +1.8%. After a drop of 3% or more (3 quarters), it rose the next day 33% of the time, averaging -2.2%. This describes past reports; it is not a forecast.

In 7 reports PNC opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 3 of 7 times (43%), and fully reversed once. A fade means the opening move was partly undone during the first session.

How we calculate these numbers

Reported EPS and estimates come from Yahoo Finance; report times, upcoming dates and revenue come from Finnhub. The 1-day move is the close-to-close change over the first session that reflects the report (the report-day close for after-close reports, the prior close for pre-market reports); reactions are left blank when the report time is unknown or looks inconsistent. The expected move is the price of the nearest at-the-money straddle that expires after the report divided by the share price, shown only when the quotes are liquid. Quarters where the two data sources disagree on beat versus miss are shown but never counted. Information only, not investment advice.