Vale S.A.(VALE)Earnings Date, History & Expected MoveNYSE
Next report date, beat rate and options-implied move
VALE is scheduled to report on Oct 29, 2026, usually after the market closes. This date is a projection and has not been confirmed in the earnings calendar.
EPS: Actual vs Estimate
Reported earnings per share against the consensus estimate, last 12 quarters.
Green = beat or met, red = missed, amber = our data sources disagree on beat vs miss for that quarter.
Stock Reaction After Earnings
Close-to-close move in the first session that reflected each report.
Dashed lines mark the average actual move (±1.9%).
Did the stock rise after good news?
"Beat" means the company earned more than analysts expected. Here is what the stock did the next day.
- Apr '26Missed▼ -6.3%
- Feb '26Missed▼ -2.0%
- Oct '25Beat▲ +1.7%
- Jul '25Beat▲ +1.9%
- Apr '25Missed▼ -2.6%
- Feb '25Missed▼ -0.7%
- Oct '24Missed▲ +0.8%
- Jul '24Missed▲ +0.3%
- Apr '24Missed▲ +1.3%
- Feb '24Missed▼ -0.3%
Only reports with a clear beat or miss and a known price reaction are counted. A beat does not guarantee a gain.
Why did VALE rise after missing earnings?
Beating or missing estimates is only part of the story. These are the measurable things that stand out for each surprising reaction.
Rose despite an EPS miss (3 of 8)
- Oct 23, 2024EPS missed -17.8%→stock +0.8% next day
- It had already fallen 6.7% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so weak results may have been expected.
- Jul 25, 2024EPS missed -18.9%→stock +0.3% next day
- It had already fallen 4.8% in the final week before the report, so weak results may have been expected.
- Apr 23, 2024EPS missed -20.8%→stock +1.3% next day
- It opened 1.7% higher as soon as trading resumed.
These are patterns visible in estimates and prices, not confirmed causes. Information only, not investment advice.
Was VALE's earnings move already priced in?
Stocks often move in the weeks before a report. This compares that run-up with what happened after the report.
“Month before” is the move over the 20 trading days up to the last close before the report. “Priced in” means the good news may already be in the price. A run-up of 5% or more is treated as large.
Before vs after each report
Grey: how the stock moved in the 20 trading days before the report. Green or red: how it moved the day after.
Past reports only: this shows what happened, not what will happen.
Does VALE hold its opening gap after earnings?
A gap is how far the stock opens from the previous close. A gap fades when the stock gives back at least half of it by the end of the day.
In 6 reports VALE opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 2 of 6 times (33%), and fully reversed 1 time. Gaps up faded 2 of 4; gaps down recovered 0 of 2.
- Apr 28, 2026HeldOpened -3.7%, closed -6.3%
- Jul 31, 2025FadedOpened +3.8%, closed +1.9%
- Apr 24, 2025HeldOpened -2.1%, closed -2.6%
- Apr 23, 2024HeldOpened +1.7%, closed +1.3%
- Feb 22, 2024ReversedOpened +1.8%, closed -0.3%
- Oct 26, 2023HeldOpened +1.3%, closed +3.5%
Gap = opening price vs the previous close. Close = the end of the first session that reflected the report. Reports without a clear opening time are left out.
What the history says
- VALE has missed EPS estimates in 3 straight quarters.
VALE earnings history
Last 12 reported quarters with the stock's reaction.
Swipe sideways to see every column →
| Report date | Time | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | 1-day move | 3-day move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | — | $0.49 | $0.36 | -26.5% | — | — |
| Apr 28, 2026 | After close | $0.50 | $0.44 | -12.0% | -6.27% | -4.32% |
| Feb 11, 2026 | After close | $0.63 | $0.34 | -46.0% | -1.96% | -8.52% |
| Oct 30, 2025 | After close | $0.52 | $0.64 | +23.1% | +1.68% | +0.42% |
| Jul 31, 2025 | After close | $0.36 | $0.50 | +38.9% | +1.89% | +3.57% |
| Apr 24, 2025 | After close | $0.41 | $0.35 | -14.6% | -2.56% | -1.54% |
| Feb 18, 2025 | After close | $0.52 | $0.20 | -61.5% | -0.71% | +3.06% |
| Oct 23, 2024 | After close | $0.45 | $0.37 | -17.8% | +0.77% | +5.76% |
| Jul 25, 2024 | Before open | $0.53 | $0.43 | -18.9% | +0.28% | +1.97% |
| Apr 23, 2024 | After close | $0.53 | $0.42 | -20.8% | +1.31% | +0.57% |
| Feb 22, 2024 | After close | $0.93 | $0.67 | -28.0% | -0.30% | +0.81% |
| Oct 26, 2023 | After close | $0.67 | $0.67 | 0.0% | +3.53% | +5.22% |
VALE Earnings FAQ
Answers computed from Vale S.A.'s reported history
VALE is scheduled to report on Oct 29, 2026, usually after the market closes. This date is a projection and has not been confirmed in the earnings calendar.
Over the last 12 quarters with a usable EPS surprise, VALE beat the consensus estimate 2 times (17%), missed 9 and landed in line 1. It has missed estimates in each of the last 3 counted quarters.
Across its last 11 quarters with a measured reaction, VALE moved an average of ±1.9% in the first session after reporting. It closed higher 55% of the time; the largest gain was 3.5% and the largest drop -6.3%.
Across its last 11 quarters with price data, VALE moved an average of +2.3% in the 20 trading sessions before reporting and was higher in 46% of them. After a run-up of 3% or more (4 quarters), it fell the next day 75% of the time, averaging -1.8%. After a drop of 3% or more (5 quarters), it rose the next day 60% of the time, averaging +0.0%. This describes past reports; it is not a forecast.
In 6 reports VALE opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 2 of 6 times (33%), and fully reversed once. A fade means the opening move was partly undone during the first session.
How we calculate these numbers
Reported EPS and estimates come from Yahoo Finance; report times, upcoming dates and revenue come from Finnhub. The 1-day move is the close-to-close change over the first session that reflects the report (the report-day close for after-close reports, the prior close for pre-market reports); reactions are left blank when the report time is unknown or looks inconsistent. The expected move is the price of the nearest at-the-money straddle that expires after the report divided by the share price, shown only when the quotes are liquid. Quarters where the two data sources disagree on beat versus miss are shown but never counted. Information only, not investment advice.