Vale S.A.(VALE)NASDAQ
Stock Overview & Analysis
Vale S.A. (VALE) quick overview 2026-02-20
- The stock is currently trading at $16.71, experiencing a price strength within a larger uptrend—trading above its 50-day average while holding above the 200-day.
- Analysts appear optimistic, with a 1-year price target of $16.17 (-3.2% upside).
- Volatility is elevated (40.15% annualized), implying wide price swings.
- The fundamental story is nuanced: solid revenue growth (2.60% YoY) alongside significant competitive pressures.
Here's What You Need to Know Right Now
Concise, actionable context
Vale S.A. - Historical Price & Volume
Market Cap
Enterprise Value: $79.57B
P/E Ratio
Forward P/E: 7.32
Revenue Growth
Year over Year
Analyst Target
+-3.2% upside potential
Key Investor Questions
Clarity over jargon
- Technicals say: Neutral (RSI 57.16)
- Fundamentals say: Caution warranted (high leverage concerns)
- Future growth will depend on performance in core Other Industrial Metals & Mining operations.
- The ability to manage competitive pressures will be crucial for sustained growth.
- $18.80B in debt could be a headwind in a high-rate environment.
- Fierce competition from established players in Other Industrial Metals & Mining.
Trading Range
Over the past year, the stock traded between $8.06 and $17.72—recovering meaningfully from lows and currently near the higher end. Big swings are likely unless a major catalyst emerges.
Volatility
With 40.15% annualized volatility and β=0.94, the stock exhibits moderate correlation to market moves—suitable for investors comfortable with active risk management.
Ownership Snapshot
Lower institutional support combined with high short selling points to negative sentiment.
Analyst Sentiment
Latest News
Recent headlines and coverage
Rio Tinto Continues to Ramp Up Iron Production: What's the Road Ahead?
RIO ramps up Pilbara iron ore shipments 7% in Q4 2025, backed by Gudai-Darri strength and advancing Rhodes Ridge, Simandou growth projects.
Should You Buy, Sell or Hold Vale Stock Post Q4 Earnings?
VALE posts 9% revenue growth and 70% EPS surge in Q4, beats output targets and boosts copper plans. Can it offset weak iron ore prices?
Stanley Druckenmiller made a heavy bet on Brazil before January rally
Investing.com -- Billionaire investor Stanley Druckenmiller's investment firm built a substantial position in Brazilian stocks just before a major market rally in January.
Stock Market Today, Feb. 17: Vale Slips as Iron Ore and China Demand Weigh on Margins
Vale slipped as weaker iron ore prices and uncertain demand from China cooled investor confidence, redirecting attention to how commodity swings could affect profits and future shareholder returns despite solid recent results.
BHP Group H1 Earnings Call Highlights
BHP Group (NYSE:BHP) reported what management described as “another good half” in its December 2025 half-year results, pointing to strong operational delivery, cost control and a favorable commodity price environment that supported balance sheet strength and higher cash returns. Speaking alongside
Vale SA (VALE) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Production Growth and Financial Performance
Vale SA (VALE) reports significant increases in production and EBITDA, while addressing challenges and future growth strategies.
VALE S.A. (VALE) Sees a More Significant Dip Than Broader Market: Some Facts to Know
In the closing of the recent trading day, VALE S.A. (VALE) stood at $17.04, denoting a -1.96% move from the preceding trading day.
VALE S.A. (VALE) is Attracting Investor Attention: Here is What You Should Know
Recently, Zacks.com users have been paying close attention to VALE (VALE). This makes it worthwhile to examine what the stock has in store.
Is BHP's Cheap Valuation Reason Enough to Bet on the Stock?
As BHP blends record iron ore output, higher copper targets and strong cash flow with a 3.28% dividend yield, does its premium valuation stack up?
Vale is Set to Report Q4 Earnings: Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?
VALE heads into Q4 with higher iron ore volumes and prices, strong copper results and triple-digit EPS growth expected despite pellet and nickel pressure.
Frequently Asked Questions
Common investor questions about Vale S.A.
Vale S.A. (VALE) is currently trading at $16.71. The RSI (14-day) is at 57.2, indicating neutral territory. Wall Street analysts have a consensus "buy" recommendation. The mean analyst price target of $16.17 implies 3.2% downside from current levels. Volatility is high at 40.1% annualized, meaning significant price swings are common. Investors should consider their risk tolerance, investment horizon, and portfolio diversification before making a decision.
Based on current valuation metrics for Vale S.A. (VALE): The trailing P/E ratio is 29.03, which is in line with broader market averages. The forward P/E is 7.32, lower than the trailing P/E, suggesting analysts expect earnings improvement. The PEG ratio is 8.30, above 2.0, suggesting the stock may be overvalued relative to its expected growth. Price-to-Book is 1.99. Price-to-Sales is 1.77. Valuation should be compared to Other Industrial Metals & Mining industry peers for context, as different sectors trade at different multiples.
Based on 24 analysts covering VALE, the consensus price target is $16.17. This represents a 3.2% downside from the current price of $16.71. The range spans from a low target of $12.00 to a high target of $20.00, reflecting varying levels of optimism among analysts. The consensus recommendation is "buy". Note: Analyst price targets are forward-looking estimates and not guarantees of future performance.
Yes, Vale S.A. (VALE) pays a dividend with a current yield of approximately 7.47%. The annualized dividend rate is $2.66 per share. The payout ratio is 210.5%, which exceeds 100%—this means the company is paying out more than it earns, which may not be sustainable long-term. The most recent ex-dividend date was 2025-12-12.
Key risks for Vale S.A. (VALE) investors include: 1. High volatility (40.1% annualized)—the stock can experience significant daily price swings. 2. Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (211%) could lead to a dividend cut. 3. Broader market and macroeconomic risks (interest rates, inflation, geopolitical events). 4. Other Industrial Metals & Mining sector-specific competitive pressures. Investors should diversify and consider their risk tolerance before investing.
Here is Vale S.A.'s (VALE) current debt and financial health profile: Total debt stands at $18.80B. The debt-to-equity ratio is 54.74, which is moderate and generally manageable for most companies. The current ratio is 1.15, indicating adequate short-term liquidity. The quick ratio is 0.72. The company holds $7.57B in cash and equivalents. Free cash flow is positive at $3.21B, providing a cushion for debt servicing and shareholder returns.