Vale S.A.(VALE)
NASDAQ

VALE Stock Analysis — May 2026

$16.48
0.01 (0.06%)

VALE Stock Price Today (May 2026) — Vale S.A. Analysis & Key Metrics 2026-05-22

Vale S.A. (VALE) is trading at $16.48, up 0.06% today (as of May 2026). The stock continues to show mixed signals with a short-term dip within a broader uptrend, attracting attention from investors looking for Basic Materials growth opportunities.

  • According to consensus analyst estimates, the 1-year price target is $17.18 (4.2% upside).
  • Volatility remains elevated (25.39% annualized), implying wide price swings for short-term traders.
  • The fundamental picture, based on the latest financial filings, is nuanced: solid revenue growth (2.70% YoY) alongside significant competitive pressures.

VALE Stock Analysis: Key Metrics & Valuation (May 2026)

Concise, actionable data for investors

Trend posture
Short-term pullback in long-term uptrend
Analyst 1Y target17.184.2%
Volatility (30d ann.)25.3935High
RSI (14-day)
49.51 (Neutral)
Debt$111.96B (57.15 D/E)

Vale S.A. - Historical Price & Volume

$16.48
+5.28 (+47.11%)
Price
Volume
Current Price Line
Range: 2Y

Market Cap

$69.00B

Enterprise Value: $158.11B

P/E Ratio

24.52

Forward P/E: 7.96

Revenue Growth

+2.70%

Year over Year

Analyst Target

$17.18

+4.2% upside potential

Key Investor Questions About VALE

What investors need to know before buying

Is it a good time to buy VALE stock?

Based on current market data, VALE presents a neutral technical setup with caution warranted fundamentals.

  • Technicals say: Neutral (RSI 49.51)
  • Fundamentals say: Caution warranted (high leverage concerns)
Can VALE sustain revenue growth in the Other Industrial Metals & Mining market?

VALE's growth trajectory depends on its ability to expand within the Other Industrial Metals & Mining sector while managing margin pressures.

  • Future growth will depend on performance in core Other Industrial Metals & Mining operations.
  • The ability to manage competitive pressures will be crucial for sustained growth.
What are the biggest risks facing VALE stock?

The primary risks for VALE investors include debt exposure and competitive dynamics in the Other Industrial Metals & Mining industry.

  • $111.96B in debt could be a headwind in a high-rate environment.
  • Fierce competition from established players in Other Industrial Metals & Mining.

52-Week Trading Range

52-Week Low$8.97
52-Week High$17.94
Current Price$16.48

Over the past year, VALE stock traded between $8.97 and $17.94—recovering meaningfully from lows and currently near the higher end. Big swings are likely unless a major catalyst emerges.

Volatility & Risk Profile

30-Day Volatility25.39%
Beta0.89
RSI (14-day)49.51

With 25.39% annualized volatility and β=0.89, the stock exhibits moderate correlation to market moves—making VALE suitable for investors comfortable with active risk management.

Institutional & Insider Ownership

Insider Ownership60.00%
Institutional Ownership24.66%
Shares Short70.43M

Lower institutional support combined with high short selling points to negative sentiment.

Analyst Sentiment & Price Targets

Mean Target
$17.18
Upside Potential
4.2%
Recommendation
buy
Analyst target of $17.18 suggests modest upside with 4.2% potential gain.

Latest News & Headlines

Recent headlines and coverage

GuruFocus.comMay 21, 2026

Vale, I Squared Advance In Bidding For $5 Billion Brazil Iron Ore Port

Porto Sudeste shipped a record 27.8 million tonnes of iron ore in 2025 despite operating below capacity.

ZacksMay 21, 2026

Investors Heavily Search VALE S.A. (VALE): Here is What You Need to Know

Zacks.com users have recently been watching VALE (VALE) quite a bit. Thus, it is worth knowing the facts that could determine the stock's prospects.

24/7 Wall St.May 19, 2026

Forget Crowded U.S. Mega Caps. These 3 Global Stocks Under $60 Are Undervalued And Pay Real Dividends

U.S. equity benchmarks remain richly valued, and a growing chorus of strategists is reminding retail investors that single-country exposure has historically been a portfolio risk. For investors scanning for non-U.S. revenue streams without paying up for crowded mega-caps, the under-$60 bucket is where some of the most globally diversified businesses currently trade. The opportunity is ... Forget Crowded U.S. Mega Caps. These 3 Global Stocks Under $60 Are Undervalued And Pay Real Dividends

GuruFocus.comMay 19, 2026

Tencent, CATL Join 10 Million-Ton Carbon Credit Push

Tencent and CATL join a Singapore-based coalition targeting at least 10 million metric tons of high-quality carbon credit purchases by 2030.

Mining TechnologyMay 15, 2026

Indonesia’s nickel dominance reshapes global supply outlook

Outside Indonesia, Brazil and Canada also contributed to the increase in nickel production, although on a smaller scale.

Oilprice.comMay 14, 2026

The Pentagon Has Less Than 8 Months to Break China’s Rare Earth Grip

The Pentagon is urgently accelerating domestic rare earth supply chains as China tightens export controls ahead of a 2027 U.S. defense ban on Chinese-origin rare earth materials.

24/7 Wall St.May 7, 2026

How EWZ and EWW Investors Are Riding Commodity and Supply Chain Tailwinds

Latin American equities have quietly become one of the strongest regional trades of 2026, and three exchange-traded funds capture the move from very different angles. iShares MSCI Brazil ETF (NYSEARCA:EWZ) is up about 26% year to date on a wave of commodity strength and improving fiscal signals. iShares MSCI Mexico ETF (NYSEARCA:EWW) has added roughly ... How EWZ and EWW Investors Are Riding Commodity and Supply Chain Tailwinds

ZacksMay 6, 2026

Here is What to Know Beyond Why VALE S.A. (VALE) is a Trending Stock

Recently, Zacks.com users have been paying close attention to VALE (VALE). This makes it worthwhile to examine what the stock has in store.

MarketBeatMay 2, 2026

Vale Q1 Earnings Call Highlights

Vale (NYSE:VALE) reported first-quarter 2026 results marked by higher iron ore volumes, stronger price realization and a sharp step-up in earnings from its Base Metals business, while executives emphasized ongoing cost discipline, shareholder returns and continued progress on safety and decarbonizat

ReutersApr 30, 2026

Brazilian miner Vale to more than double sail-equipped iron ore carrier fleet

By Marta Nogueira VITORIA, Brazil, April 30 (Reuters) - Vale plans to more than double its fleet of sail-equipped iron ore carriers, with the cost-saving technology to expand to at least 20 vessels

Frequently Asked Questions

Common investor questions about Vale S.A.

Vale S.A. (VALE) is currently trading at $16.48. The RSI (14-day) is at 49.5, indicating neutral territory. Wall Street analysts have a consensus "buy" recommendation. The mean analyst price target of $17.18 implies 4.2% upside from current levels. Volatility is moderate at 25.4% annualized, meaning price movements are relatively contained. Investors should consider their risk tolerance, investment horizon, and portfolio diversification before making a decision.

Based on current valuation metrics for Vale S.A. (VALE): The trailing P/E ratio is 24.52, which is in line with broader market averages. The forward P/E is 7.96, lower than the trailing P/E, suggesting analysts expect earnings improvement. The PEG ratio is 0.34, below 1.0, which generally indicates the stock is undervalued relative to its growth rate. Price-to-Book is 1.87. Price-to-Sales is 0.32. Valuation should be compared to Other Industrial Metals & Mining industry peers for context, as different sectors trade at different multiples.

Based on 25 analysts covering VALE, the consensus price target is $17.18. This represents a 4.2% upside from the current price of $16.48. The range spans from a low target of $14.10 to a high target of $21.00, reflecting varying levels of optimism among analysts. The consensus recommendation is "buy". Note: Analyst price targets are forward-looking estimates and not guarantees of future performance.

Yes, Vale S.A. (VALE) pays a dividend with a current yield of approximately 7.64%. The annualized dividend rate is $5.48 per share. The payout ratio is 120.5%, which exceeds 100%—this means the company is paying out more than it earns, which may not be sustainable long-term. The most recent ex-dividend date was 2025-12-12.

Key risks for Vale S.A. (VALE) investors include: 1. Moderate volatility (25.4% annualized)—price swings are notable. 2. Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (121%) could lead to a dividend cut. 3. Broader market and macroeconomic risks (interest rates, inflation, geopolitical events). 4. Other Industrial Metals & Mining sector-specific competitive pressures. Investors should diversify and consider their risk tolerance before investing.

Here is Vale S.A.'s (VALE) current debt and financial health profile: Total debt stands at $111.96B. The debt-to-equity ratio is 57.15, which is moderate and generally manageable for most companies. The current ratio is 1.24, indicating adequate short-term liquidity. The quick ratio is 0.67. The company holds $27.55B in cash and equivalents. Free cash flow is positive at $10.60B, providing a cushion for debt servicing and shareholder returns.