Vale S.A.(VALE)
NASDAQ

VALE Stock Analysis — September 2026

$15.31
-0.42 (-2.67%)

VALE Stock Price Today (September 2026) — Vale S.A. Analysis & Key Metrics 2026-09-03

Vale S.A. (VALE) is trading at $15.31, down 2.67% today (as of September 2026). The stock continues to show sustained strength above key moving averages, attracting attention from investors looking for Basic Materials growth opportunities.

  • According to consensus analyst estimates, the 1-year price target is $16.74 (9.3% upside).
  • Volatility remains elevated (25.81% annualized), implying wide price swings for short-term traders.
  • The fundamental picture, based on the latest financial filings, is nuanced: solid revenue growth (6.40% YoY) alongside significant competitive pressures.

VALE Stock Analysis: Key Metrics & Valuation (September 2026)

Concise, actionable data for investors

Trend posture
Short-term pullback in long-term uptrend
Analyst 1Y target16.7369.3%
Volatility (30d ann.)25.8102High
RSI (14-day)
61.14 (Neutral)
Debt$110.01B (54.60 D/E)

Vale S.A. - Historical Price & Volume

$15.31
+6.35 (+70.82%)
Price
Volume
Current Price Line
Range: 2Y

Market Cap

$64.22B

Enterprise Value: $148.96B

P/E Ratio

30.62

Forward P/E: 7.70

Revenue Growth

+6.40%

Year over Year

Analyst Target

$16.74

+9.3% upside potential

Key Investor Questions About VALE

What investors need to know before buying

Is it a good time to buy VALE stock?

Based on current market data, VALE presents a neutral technical setup with caution warranted fundamentals.

  • Technicals say: Neutral (RSI 61.14)
  • Fundamentals say: Caution warranted (high leverage concerns)
Can VALE sustain revenue growth in the Other Industrial Metals & Mining market?

VALE's growth trajectory depends on its ability to expand within the Other Industrial Metals & Mining sector while managing margin pressures.

  • Future growth will depend on performance in core Other Industrial Metals & Mining operations.
  • The ability to manage competitive pressures will be crucial for sustained growth.
What are the biggest risks facing VALE stock?

The primary risks for VALE investors include debt exposure and competitive dynamics in the Other Industrial Metals & Mining industry.

  • $110.01B in debt could be a headwind in a high-rate environment.
  • Fierce competition from established players in Other Industrial Metals & Mining.

52-Week Trading Range

52-Week Low$10.08
52-Week High$17.94
Current Price$15.31

Over the past year, VALE stock traded between $10.08 and $17.94—recovering meaningfully from lows and currently near the higher end. Big swings are likely unless a major catalyst emerges.

Volatility & Risk Profile

30-Day Volatility25.81%
Beta0.92
RSI (14-day)61.14

With 25.81% annualized volatility and β=0.92, the stock exhibits moderate correlation to market moves—making VALE suitable for investors comfortable with active risk management.

Institutional & Insider Ownership

Insider Ownership30.00%
Institutional Ownership20.82%
Shares Short46.43M

Lower institutional support combined with high short selling points to negative sentiment.

Analyst Sentiment & Price Targets

Mean Target
$16.74
Upside Potential
9.3%
Recommendation
buy
Analyst target of $16.74 suggests modest upside with 9.3% potential gain.

Latest News & Headlines

Recent headlines and coverage

24/7 Wall St.Aug 31, 2026

Jim Cramer Calls This Mining Stock an Inflation Hedge “Just as Good as Crypto”

Jim Cramer just put a Brazilian mining giant in the same sentence as cryptocurrency, and his reasoning has everything to do with where he thinks inflation is headed next.

MT NewswiresAug 24, 2026

Update: Market Chatter: Vale, BHP Compensation Deal For Mariana Dam Collapse Joined by 19 More Brazilian Cities

(Updates with BHP's response in the fourth paragraph.) Vale (VALE), BHP's (BHP) agreement regardi

Mining TechnologyAug 13, 2026

Vale, ABB sign deal to expand automation at Brazil iron ore plants

The Conceição II Model Plant, inaugurated in June 2026, is a central project within Vale’s Mining of the Future strategy.

Investing.comAug 9, 2026

Street Calls of the Week

Investing.com -- Here is your Pro Recap of the top takeaways from Wall Street analysts for the past week. InvestingPro subscribers always get first dibs on market-moving AI analyst comments. Upgrade today! Fair Isaac Corp. What’s the full story? Wolfe Research downgrades Fair Isaac Corporation (NYSE:FICO) to Peer Perform with a $1,100–$1,350 fair value range. The core engine is fracturing: lenders actively game FICO Classic against VantageScore 4.0 to give borrowers lower rates. Over 20% of the

24/7 Wall St.Aug 5, 2026

Here Are Wednesday’s Top Wall Street Analyst Research Calls: Archer-Daniels Midland, Best Buy, Burlington Stores, Dell Technologies, e.l.f. Beauty, Humana, Transdigm, Vale, and More

Wall Street analysts reshuffled their ratings on Wednesday, sending some familiar names higher while punishing others with sharp target cuts. Find out which stocks got surprise upgrades and which ones analysts are now walking away from.

Simply Wall St.Aug 4, 2026

Will Bartolomeo’s Board Appointment Reshape Albemarle’s (ALB) Energy Storage Strategy?

Albemarle Corporation recently added former Vale S.A. CEO Eduardo Bartolomeo to its Board of Directors, assigning him to the Audit & Finance and Safety, Sustainability, Operations & Capital Committees, bringing extensive mining, logistics, and operational leadership experience to the company. This appointment, alongside analysts’ expectations for higher earnings and revenue driven by strong growth in Albemarle’s Energy Storage segment, highlights how the company is reinforcing both...

ZacksAug 3, 2026

Vale Q2 Earnings Call Spotlights Copper Growth and Cost Reset

VALE's Q2 call puts faster copper growth, higher iron ore costs, freight protection and disciplined payouts at the center of its 2026 agenda.

MarketBeatAug 1, 2026

Vale Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

Vale (NYSE:VALE) said its second-quarter 2026 operating performance supported confidence in meeting annual production guidance, as higher volumes, improved price realization and gains at its base-metals operations lifted pro forma EBITDA 19% year over year to $4.1 billion. The company also announce

ZacksJul 31, 2026

Compared to Estimates, VALE (VALE) Q2 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics

Although the revenue and EPS for VALE (VALE) give a sense of how its business performed in the quarter ended June 2026, it might be worth considering how some key metrics compare with Wall Street estimates and the year-ago numbers.

24/7 Wall St.Jul 27, 2026

Here Are Monday’s Top Wall Street Analyst Research Calls: Alphabet, Clean Harbors, Ford, Huntington Bancshares, Rivian, Rocket Lab, Terawulf, Vale, Warner Bros. Discovery, and More

Wall Street analysts are reshuffling their bets ahead of the busiest earnings week of the quarter, and the moves span everything from legacy automakers to crypto miners to space launch companies. Find out which names just got upgraded, downgraded, or picked up for the first time.

Frequently Asked Questions

Common investor questions about Vale S.A.

Vale S.A. (VALE) is currently trading at $15.31. The RSI (14-day) is at 61.1, indicating neutral territory. Wall Street analysts have a consensus "buy" recommendation. The mean analyst price target of $16.74 implies 9.3% upside from current levels. Volatility is moderate at 25.8% annualized, meaning price movements are relatively contained. Investors should consider their risk tolerance, investment horizon, and portfolio diversification before making a decision.

Based on current valuation metrics for Vale S.A. (VALE): The trailing P/E ratio is 30.62, which is above the market average, indicating investors are pricing in higher growth expectations. The forward P/E is 7.70, lower than the trailing P/E, suggesting analysts expect earnings improvement. The PEG ratio is 0.36, below 1.0, which generally indicates the stock is undervalued relative to its growth rate. Price-to-Book is 1.75. Price-to-Sales is 0.30. Valuation should be compared to Other Industrial Metals & Mining industry peers for context, as different sectors trade at different multiples.

Based on 25 analysts covering VALE, the consensus price target is $16.74. This represents a 9.3% upside from the current price of $15.31. The range spans from a low target of $12.00 to a high target of $21.00, reflecting varying levels of optimism among analysts. The consensus recommendation is "buy". Note: Analyst price targets are forward-looking estimates and not guarantees of future performance.

Yes, Vale S.A. (VALE) pays a dividend with a current yield of approximately 7.84%. The annualized dividend rate is $5.48 per share. The payout ratio is 159.1%, which exceeds 100%—this means the company is paying out more than it earns, which may not be sustainable long-term. The most recent ex-dividend date was 2026-08-13T00:00:00.000Z.

Key risks for Vale S.A. (VALE) investors include: 1. Moderate volatility (25.8% annualized)—price swings are notable. 2. Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (159%) could lead to a dividend cut. 3. Broader market and macroeconomic risks (interest rates, inflation, geopolitical events). 4. Other Industrial Metals & Mining sector-specific competitive pressures. Investors should diversify and consider their risk tolerance before investing.

Here is Vale S.A.'s (VALE) current debt and financial health profile: Total debt stands at $110.01B. The debt-to-equity ratio is 54.60, which is moderate and generally manageable for most companies. The current ratio is 1.19, indicating adequate short-term liquidity. The quick ratio is 0.68. The company holds $29.84B in cash and equivalents. Free cash flow is positive at $13.31B, providing a cushion for debt servicing and shareholder returns.