Vale S.A.(VALE)Stock Price & Analysis
NYSE

VALE Stock Price Today (October 2026) — Vale S.A. Analysis & Key Metrics 2026-10-20

Vale S.A. (VALE) is trading at $13.02, down 0.69% today (as of October 2026). The stock continues to show pressure below major moving averages, attracting attention from investors looking for Basic Materials growth opportunities.

  • According to consensus analyst estimates, the 1-year price target is $16.36 (25.7% upside).
  • Volatility is low (21.44% annualized), implying relatively contained price movements for short-term traders.
  • The fundamental picture, based on the latest financial filings, is nuanced: solid revenue growth (6.40% YoY) alongside competitive pressures in the Other Industrial Metals & Mining space.

VALE Stock Analysis: Key Metrics & Valuation (October 2026)

Concise, actionable data for investors

Trend posture
Downtrend: below 50- and 200-day averages
Analyst 1Y target$16.36+25.7%
Volatility (30d ann.)21.44%Low
RSI (14-day)
32.57 (Neutral)
Debt$110.01B (0.55x D/E)

Vale S.A. - Historical Price & Volume

$13.02
+3.77 (+40.73%)
  • Price
  • Volume
  • Latest price
Range: 2Y

Market Cap

$55.41B

Enterprise Value: $135.58B

P/E Ratio

29.22

Forward P/E: 7.70

Revenue Growth

+6.40%

Year over Year

Analyst Target

$16.36

+25.7% upside potential

Key Investor Questions About VALE

What investors need to know before buying

Is it a good time to buy VALE stock?

Based on current market data, VALE presents a neutral technical setup with looking solid fundamentals.

  • Technicals say: Neutral (RSI 32.57)
  • Fundamentals say: Looking solid (debt and growth supportive)
Can VALE sustain revenue growth in the Other Industrial Metals & Mining market?

VALE's growth trajectory depends on its ability to expand within the Other Industrial Metals & Mining sector while managing margin pressures.

  • Future growth will depend on performance in core Other Industrial Metals & Mining operations.
  • The ability to manage competitive pressures will be crucial for sustained growth.
What are the biggest risks facing VALE stock?

The primary risks for VALE investors include debt exposure and competitive dynamics in the Other Industrial Metals & Mining industry.

  • $110.01B in debt could be a headwind in a high-rate environment.
  • Fierce competition from established players in Other Industrial Metals & Mining.

52-Week Trading Range

52-Week Low$11.23
52-Week High$17.94
Current Price$13.02

Over the past year, VALE stock traded between $11.23 and $17.94 and currently trades in the middle of that range. Big swings are less likely unless a major catalyst emerges.

Volatility & Risk Profile

30-Day Volatility21.44%
Beta1.07
RSI (14-day)32.57

With 21.44% annualized volatility and β=1.07, the stock exhibits moderate correlation to market moves—making VALE suitable for investors comfortable with active risk management.

Institutional & Insider Ownership

Insider Ownership0.00%
Institutional Ownership20.60%
Shares Short55.38M

Moderate ownership metrics suggest a balanced supply-demand dynamic.

Analyst Sentiment & Price Targets

Mean Target
$16.36
Upside Potential
+25.7%
Recommendation
buy
Analysts see strong upside potential with a target of $16.36. The 25.7% upside suggests optimistic growth expectations.

Earnings snapshot

Next report Oct 29, 2026 (after the close, usually)

EPS beat rate
17% (2/12)
Avg move after earnings
±1.9%
Options-implied move
—
Options vs history
—
VALE earnings history, charts and expected move

Frequently Asked Questions

Common investor questions about Vale S.A.

Vale S.A. (VALE) is currently trading at $13.02. The RSI (14-day) is at 32.6, indicating neutral territory. Wall Street analysts have a consensus "buy" recommendation. The mean analyst price target of $16.36 implies 25.7% upside from current levels. Volatility is moderate at 21.4% annualized, meaning price movements are relatively contained. Investors should consider their risk tolerance, investment horizon, and portfolio diversification before making a decision.

Based on current valuation metrics for Vale S.A. (VALE): The trailing P/E ratio is 29.22, which is in line with broader market averages. The forward P/E is 7.70, lower than the trailing P/E, suggesting analysts expect earnings improvement. The PEG ratio is 0.36, below 1.0, which generally indicates the stock is undervalued relative to its growth rate. Price-to-Book is 1.67. Price-to-Sales is 0.29. Valuation should be compared to Other Industrial Metals & Mining industry peers for context, as different sectors trade at different multiples.

Based on 25 analysts covering VALE, the consensus price target is $16.36. This represents a 25.7% upside from the current price of $13.02. The range spans from a low target of $12.00 to a high target of $22.00, reflecting varying levels of optimism among analysts. The consensus recommendation is "buy". Note: Analyst price targets are forward-looking estimates and not guarantees of future performance.

Yes, Vale S.A. (VALE) pays a dividend with a current yield of approximately 6.45%. The annualized dividend rate is $5.48 per share. The payout ratio is 159.1%, which exceeds 100%—this means the company is paying out more than it earns, which may not be sustainable long-term. The most recent ex-dividend date was Aug 13, 2026.

Key risks for Vale S.A. (VALE) investors include: 1. Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (159%) could lead to a dividend cut. 2. Broader market and macroeconomic risks (interest rates, inflation, geopolitical events). 3. Other Industrial Metals & Mining sector-specific competitive pressures. Investors should diversify and consider their risk tolerance before investing.

Here is Vale S.A.'s (VALE) current debt and financial health profile: Total debt stands at $110.01B. The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.55x, which is moderate and generally manageable for most companies. The current ratio is 1.19, indicating adequate short-term liquidity. The quick ratio is 0.68. The company holds $29.84B in cash and equivalents. Free cash flow is positive at $13.31B, providing a cushion for debt servicing and shareholder returns.