Tectonic Therapeutic, Inc.(TECX)
NASDAQ
$20.07
-1.02 (-4.84%)

Tectonic Therapeutic, Inc.(TECX)Earnings Date, History & Expected Move
NASDAQ

TECX is scheduled to report on Nov 5, 2026, usually after the market closes. Analysts expect EPS of -$1.36.

Next report
Nov 5, 2026
In 12 days · usually after close
EPS beat rate
56%
5 of 9 quarters
Avg move after earnings
±4.4%
Up 43% of the time · last 7
Options-implied move
—
No reliable options quote yet

EPS: Actual vs Estimate

Reported EPS against the consensus estimate, last 9 quarters.

Green beat or met, red missed, amber sources differ.

Stock Reaction After Earnings

Close-to-close move in the first session that reflected each report.

Dashed lines mark the average actual move (±4.4%).

Did the stock rise after good news?

The next-day move after each of its last 4 EPS beats and 3 misses.

When it beat expectations
4 reports
When it missed expectations
3 reports

In plain words: it beat expectations 4 times, but the stock still fell 3 of those 4 times.

Report by report
  • Aug '26
    Beat
    ▲ +2.2%
  • May '26
    Missed
    ▲ +7.9%
  • Feb '26
    Beat
    ▼ -2.0%
  • May '25
    Beat
    ▼ -6.0%
  • Mar '25
    Beat
    ▼ -4.6%
  • Nov '24
    Missed
    ▼ -3.0%
  • Aug '24
    Missed
    ▲ +5.2%

Clear beats and misses with a known reaction only. What counts as a beat

After an EPS beat
-2.6%
average next-day move · up 25% of 4 times
After an EPS miss
+3.4%
average next-day move · up 67% of 3 times

Why did TECX fall after beating earnings?

5 of TECX's last 7 reactions went against the EPS result. What stands out in each:

TECX beat EPS estimates in 4 quarters, and the stock still closed lower the next day 3 times. In 2 of the 3 where we have price data, the stock had already run up before the report.

  • Feb 26, 2026EPS beat +7.2%stock -2.0% next day
    • It had risen 20.9% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
  • May 8, 2025EPS beat +14.7%stock -6.0% next day
    • It had risen 24.8% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
  • Mar 20, 2025EPS beat +39.6%stock -4.6% next day
    • It opened 4.0% higher, but sellers took over and it closed -4.6%.

Rose despite an EPS miss (2 of 3)

  • May 7, 2026EPS missed -14.5%stock +7.9% next day
    • It had already fallen 13.6% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so weak results may have been expected.
  • Aug 14, 2024EPS missed -233.8%stock +5.2% next day
    • It had already fallen 7.3% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so weak results may have been expected.
    • It opened 1.5% higher as soon as trading resumed.

Patterns in estimates and prices, not confirmed causes: how we read them.

Was TECX's earnings move already priced in?

TECX's move in the month before each of its last 7 reports, against what it did after.

Avg move in the month before
+3.8%
last 7 reports
Higher before the report
43%
of the time
After a run-up of 3%+
Fell 100%
3 reports, avg -3.7%
After a drop of 3%+
Rose 75%
4 reports, avg +2.7%

How the run-up is measured (a move of 5% or more counts as large).

Before vs after each report

Grey: the month before each of the last 7 reports. Green or red: the day after.

Past reports only. How the run-up is measured

Does TECX hold its opening gap after earnings?

TECX's opening move after each report and where it closed that day.

In 4 reports TECX opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 1 of 4 times (25%), and fully reversed 1 time.

  • Aug 5, 2026Held
    Opened +1.2%, closed +2.2%
  • Mar 20, 2025Reversed
    Opened +4.0%, closed -4.6%
  • Nov 7, 2024Held
    Opened -3.2%, closed -3.0%
  • Aug 14, 2024Held
    Opened +1.5%, closed +5.2%

How gaps, fades and reversals are defined

What the history says

  • It fell after 3 of its 4 EPS beats (75%): beating estimates has not been enough on its own.

TECX earnings history

Last 9 reported quarters with the stock's reaction.

Swipe sideways to see every column →

Report dateTimeEPS est.EPS actualSurprise1-day move3-day move
Aug 5, 2026After close-$1.35-$1.18+12.6%+2.23%+10.66%
May 7, 2026After close-$1.17-$1.34-14.5%+7.93%+4.06%
Feb 26, 2026After close-$1.11-$1.03+7.2%-2.01%+1.96%
Nov 6, 2025After close-$1.05-$1.02+2.9%——
Aug 7, 2025After close-$0.98-$1.07-9.2%——
May 8, 2025After close-$1.09-$0.93+14.7%-5.99%-3.95%
Mar 20, 2025After close-$1.39-$0.84+39.6%-4.64%-4.33%
Nov 7, 2024After close-$0.84-$1.20-42.9%-3.02%+5.34%
Aug 14, 2024After close-$1.30-$4.34-233.8%+5.23%+4.92%

Consensus for the next report: EPS -$1.36, revenue $0.00.

TECX Earnings FAQ

Answers computed from Tectonic Therapeutic, Inc.'s reported history

TECX is scheduled to report on Nov 5, 2026, usually after the market closes. Analysts expect EPS of -$1.36.

Over the last 9 quarters with a usable EPS surprise, TECX beat the consensus estimate 5 times (56%), missed 4 and landed in line 0.

Across its last 7 quarters with a measured reaction, TECX moved an average of ±4.4% in the first session after reporting. It closed higher 43% of the time; the largest gain was 7.9% and the largest drop -6.0%.

TECX fell in the first session after 3 of its last 4 EPS beats (75%). A beat that was already priced in, or weaker guidance, can send a stock lower. In 2 of the 3 of those falls where price data is available, the stock had already risen before the report.

Across its last 7 quarters with price data, TECX moved an average of +3.8% in the 20 trading sessions before reporting and was higher in 43% of them. After a run-up of 3% or more (3 quarters), it fell the next day 100% of the time, averaging -3.7%. After a drop of 3% or more (4 quarters), it rose the next day 75% of the time, averaging +2.7%. This describes past reports; it is not a forecast.

In 4 reports TECX opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 1 of 4 times (25%), and fully reversed once. A fade means the opening move was partly undone during the first session.

How we calculate these numbers · TECX: 9 reported quarters, latest Aug 5, 2026. Information only, not investment advice.