Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.(BAER)
NASDAQ
$0.49
0.02 (4.29%)

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.(BAER)Stock Price & Analysis
NASDAQ

BAER Stock Price Today (October 2026) — Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Analysis & Key Metrics 2026-10-23

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (BAER) is trading at $0.49, up 4.29% today (as of October 2026). The stock continues to show pressure below major moving averages, attracting attention from investors looking for Industrials growth opportunities.

  • According to consensus analyst estimates, the 1-year price target is $3.37 (586.1% upside).
  • Volatility is high (73.09% annualized), implying wide price swings for short-term traders.
  • The fundamental picture, based on the latest financial filings, is nuanced: declining revenue trends (-0.80% YoY) alongside competitive pressures in the Security & Protection Services space.

BAER Stock Analysis: Key Metrics & Valuation (October 2026)

Concise, actionable data for investors

Trend posture
Downtrend: below 50- and 200-day averages
Analyst 1Y target$3.37+586.1%
Volatility (30d ann.)73.09%High
RSI (14-day)
27.67 (Oversold)
Debt$268.01M (7.81x D/E)

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. - Historical Price & Volume

$0.49
-3.03 (-86.05%)
  • Price
  • Volume
  • Latest price
Range: 2Y

Market Cap

$28.90M

Enterprise Value: $289.05M

P/E Ratio

N/A

Forward P/E: N/A

Revenue Growth

-0.80%

Year over Year

Analyst Target

$3.37

+586.1% upside potential

Key Investor Questions About BAER

What investors need to know before buying

Is it a good time to buy BAER stock?

Based on current market data, BAER presents a oversold technical setup with challenging fundamentals.

  • Technicals say: Oversold (RSI 27.67)
  • Fundamentals say: Challenging (declining revenue trends)
Can BAER sustain revenue growth in the Security & Protection Services market?

BAER's growth trajectory depends on its ability to expand within the Security & Protection Services sector while managing margin pressures.

  • Future growth will depend on performance in core Security & Protection Services operations.
  • The ability to manage competitive pressures will be crucial for sustained growth.
What are the biggest risks facing BAER stock?

The primary risks for BAER investors include debt exposure and competitive dynamics in the Security & Protection Services industry.

  • $268.01M in debt could be a headwind in a high-rate environment.
  • Fierce competition from established players in Security & Protection Services.

52-Week Trading Range

52-Week Low$0.50
52-Week High$3.44
Current Price$0.49

Over the past year, BAER stock traded between $0.50 and $3.44 and currently trades near the low end of that range. Big swings are likely unless a major catalyst emerges.

Volatility & Risk Profile

30-Day Volatility73.09%
Beta1.63
RSI (14-day)27.67

With 73.09% annualized volatility and β=1.63, the stock exhibits high sensitivity to market moves—making BAER suitable for investors comfortable with active risk management.

Institutional & Insider Ownership

Insider Ownership20.87%
Institutional Ownership42.46%
Shares Short1.57M

Moderate ownership metrics suggest a balanced supply-demand dynamic.

Analyst Sentiment & Price Targets

Mean Target
$3.37
Upside Potential
+586.1%
Recommendation
Hold
Analysts see strong upside potential with a target of $3.37. The 586.1% upside suggests optimistic growth expectations.

Earnings snapshot

Next report Nov 16, 2026 (after the close, usually)

EPS beat rate
33% (3/9)
Avg move after earnings
±7.9%
Options-implied move
—
Options vs history
—
BAER earnings history, charts and expected move

Frequently Asked Questions

Common investor questions about Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (BAER) is currently trading at $0.49. The RSI (14-day) is at 27.7, indicating oversold territory (potentially undervalued). Wall Street analysts have a consensus "none" recommendation. The mean analyst price target of $3.37 implies 586.1% upside from current levels. Volatility is high at 73.1% annualized, meaning significant price swings are common. Investors should consider their risk tolerance, investment horizon, and portfolio diversification before making a decision.

Based on current valuation metrics for Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (BAER): The trailing P/E ratio is not available (the company may not be profitable). Price-to-Sales is 0.25. Valuation should be compared to Security & Protection Services industry peers for context, as different sectors trade at different multiples.

Based on 3 analysts covering BAER, the consensus price target is $3.37. This represents a 586.1% upside from the current price of $0.49. The range spans from a low target of $2.10 to a high target of $4.00, reflecting varying levels of optimism among analysts. The consensus recommendation is "none". Note: Analyst price targets are forward-looking estimates and not guarantees of future performance.

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (BAER) does not currently pay a regular dividend. The company may be reinvesting profits into growth initiatives, or may not yet be profitable enough to distribute earnings to shareholders.

Key risks for Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (BAER) investors include: 1. High volatility (73.1% annualized)—the stock can experience significant daily price swings. 2. Elevated debt levels (debt-to-equity of 7.81x) which could pressure margins in a rising rate environment. 3. The company is not currently profitable on a trailing basis, which creates earnings uncertainty. 4. Declining revenue (-0.8% YoY), indicating potential business headwinds. 5. Broader market and macroeconomic risks (interest rates, inflation, geopolitical events). 6. Security & Protection Services sector-specific competitive pressures. Investors should diversify and consider their risk tolerance before investing.

Here is Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.'s (BAER) current debt and financial health profile: Total debt stands at $268.01M. The debt-to-equity ratio is 7.81x, which is high and could pose financial risk if earnings decline or borrowing costs increase. The current ratio is 1.73, indicating strong short-term liquidity. The quick ratio is 1.52. The company holds $7.86M in cash and equivalents. Free cash flow is negative at -$90.47M, which could limit the company's ability to manage debt obligations.