Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.(BAER)Earnings Date, History & Expected MoveNASDAQ
Next report date, beat rate and options-implied move
BAER is scheduled to report on Nov 16, 2026, usually after the market closes. Analysts expect EPS of $0.61.
EPS: Actual vs Estimate
Reported EPS against the consensus estimate, last 9 quarters.
Green beat or met, red missed, amber sources differ.
Stock Reaction After Earnings
Close-to-close move in the first session that reflected each report.
Dashed lines mark the average actual move (±7.9%).
Did the stock rise after good news?
The next-day move after each of its last 1 EPS beats and 6 misses.
- Aug '26Missed▼ -25.4%
- May '26Missed▲ +2.0%
- Mar '26Missed▼ -5.8%
- Aug '25Beat▼ -8.3%
- Mar '25Missed▲ +4.9%
- Nov '24Missed▲ +4.9%
- Aug '24Missed▼ -3.9%
Clear beats and misses with a known reaction only. What counts as a beat
Why did BAER fall after beating earnings?
4 of BAER's last 7 reactions went against the EPS result. What stands out in each:
BAER beat EPS estimates in 1 quarters, and the stock still closed lower the next day 1 time.
- Aug 7, 2025EPS beat +57.1%→stock -8.3% next day
- It had risen 12.0% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
- It opened 3.9% higher, but sellers took over and it closed -8.3%.
Rose despite an EPS miss (3 of 6)
- May 5, 2026EPS missed -86.5%→stock +2.0% next day
- It had already fallen 6.2% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so weak results may have been expected.
- It opened 3.1% higher as soon as trading resumed.
- Mar 13, 2025EPS missed -56.5%→stock +4.9% next day
- It had already fallen 20.1% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so weak results may have been expected.
- It opened 1.4% higher as soon as trading resumed.
- Nov 11, 2024EPS missed -32.6%→stock +4.9% next day
- It opened 14.3% higher as soon as trading resumed.
Patterns in estimates and prices, not confirmed causes: how we read them.
Was BAER's earnings move already priced in?
BAER's move in the month before each of its last 7 reports, against what it did after.
How the run-up is measured (a move of 5% or more counts as large).
Before vs after each report
Grey: the month before each of the last 7 reports. Green or red: the day after.
Past reports only. How the run-up is measured
Does BAER hold its opening gap after earnings?
BAER's opening move after each report and where it closed that day.
In 7 reports BAER opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 3 of 7 times (43%), and fully reversed 2 times. Gaps up faded 3 of 5; gaps down recovered 0 of 2.
- Aug 6, 2026HeldOpened -24.9%, closed -25.4%
- May 5, 2026HeldOpened +3.1%, closed +2.0%
- Mar 5, 2026HeldOpened -5.6%, closed -5.8%
- Aug 7, 2025ReversedOpened +3.9%, closed -8.3%
- Mar 13, 2025HeldOpened +1.4%, closed +4.9%
- Nov 11, 2024FadedOpened +14.3%, closed +4.9%
- Aug 12, 2024ReversedOpened +6.3%, closed -3.9%
What the history says
- BAER has missed EPS estimates in 3 straight quarters.
BAER earnings history
Last 9 reported quarters with the stock's reaction.
Swipe sideways to see every column →
| Report date | Time | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | 1-day move | 3-day move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | After close | -$0.03 | -$0.13 | -333.3% | -25.44% | -23.08% |
| May 5, 2026 | After close | -$0.37 | -$0.69 | -86.5% | +2.04% | -13.78% |
| Mar 5, 2026 | After close | -$0.30 | -$0.40 | -33.3% | -5.77% | -14.53% |
| Nov 6, 2025 | After close | $0.32 | $0.37 | +15.6% | — | — |
| Aug 7, 2025 | After close | -$0.28 | -$0.12 | +57.1% | -8.29% | -2.93% |
| May 8, 2025 | After close | -$0.50 | -$0.41 | +18.0% | — | — |
| Mar 13, 2025 | After close | -$0.23 | -$0.36 | -56.5% | +4.86% | -1.14% |
| Nov 11, 2024 | After close | $0.46 | $0.31 | -32.6% | +4.86% | -2.86% |
| Aug 12, 2024 | After close | -$0.25 | -$0.33 | -32.0% | -3.89% | -2.69% |
Consensus for the next report: EPS $0.61, revenue $85.28M.
BAER Earnings FAQ
Answers computed from Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.'s reported history
BAER is scheduled to report on Nov 16, 2026, usually after the market closes. Analysts expect EPS of $0.61.
Over the last 9 quarters with a usable EPS surprise, BAER beat the consensus estimate 3 times (33%), missed 6 and landed in line 0. It has missed estimates in each of the last 3 counted quarters.
Across its last 7 quarters with a measured reaction, BAER moved an average of ±7.9% in the first session after reporting. It closed higher 43% of the time; the largest gain was 4.9% and the largest drop -25.4%.
Across its last 7 quarters with price data, BAER moved an average of +2.4% in the 20 trading sessions before reporting and was higher in 29% of them. After a drop of 3% or more (4 quarters), it rose the next day 50% of the time, averaging -6.1%. This describes past reports; it is not a forecast.
In 7 reports BAER opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 3 of 7 times (43%), and fully reversed 2 times. A fade means the opening move was partly undone during the first session.
How we calculate these numbers · BAER: 9 reported quarters, latest Aug 6, 2026. Information only, not investment advice.
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