UnitedHealth Group Incorporated(UNH)
NYSE
$375.98
-0.34 (-0.09%)

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated(UNH)Earnings Date, History & Expected Move
NYSE

UNH is scheduled to report on Oct 13, 2026, before the market opens. Analysts expect EPS of $4.19.

Next report
Oct 13, 2026
In 5 days · before open
EPS beat rate
75%
9 of 12 quarters
Avg move after earnings
±7.5%
Up 50% of the time · last 12
Options-implied move
±8.0%
1.06x history · options look fairly priced
Options fairly priced vs history (1.06x)
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EPS: Actual vs Estimate

Reported earnings per share against the consensus estimate, last 12 quarters.

Green = beat or met, red = missed, amber = our data sources disagree on beat vs miss for that quarter.

Stock Reaction After Earnings

Close-to-close move in the first session that reflected each report.

Dashed lines: average actual move (±7.5%) and what options price for the next report (±8.0%).

Did the stock rise after good news?

"Beat" means the company earned more than analysts expected. Here is what the stock did the next day.

When it beat expectations
9 reports
When it missed expectations
2 reports

In plain words: it beat expectations 9 times, but the stock still fell 3 of those 9 times.

Report by report
  • Jul '26
    Beat
    ▲ +1.2%
  • Apr '26
    Beat
    ▲ +7.0%
  • Oct '25
    Beat
    ▲ +0.5%
  • Jul '25
    Missed
    ▼ -7.5%
  • Apr '25
    Missed
    ▼ -22.4%
  • Jan '25
    Beat
    ▼ -6.0%
  • Oct '24
    Beat
    ▼ -8.1%
  • Jul '24
    Beat
    ▲ +6.5%
  • Apr '24
    Beat
    ▲ +5.2%
  • Jan '24
    Beat
    ▼ -3.4%
  • Oct '23
    Beat
    ▲ +2.6%

Only reports with a clear beat or miss and a known price reaction are counted. A beat does not guarantee a gain.

After an EPS beat
+0.6%
average next-day move · up 67% of 9 times
After an EPS miss
-14.9%
average next-day move · up 0% of 2 times

Why did UNH fall after beating earnings?

Beating or missing estimates is only part of the story. These are the measurable things that stand out for each surprising reaction.

UNH beat EPS estimates in 9 quarters, and the stock still closed lower the next day 3 times. In 2 of the 3 where we have price data, the stock had already run up before the report.

  • Jan 16, 2025EPS beat +1.0%stock -6.0% next day
    • It had risen 5.7% in the final week before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
    • The EPS beat was small (+1.0%).
    • It opened 2.4% lower as soon as trading resumed.
  • Oct 15, 2024EPS beat +1.7%stock -8.1% next day
    • It had risen 3.7% in the final week before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
    • The EPS beat was small (+1.7%).
    • It opened 8.8% lower as soon as trading resumed.
  • Jan 12, 2024EPS beat +2.8%stock -3.4% next day
    • It opened 3.9% lower as soon as trading resumed.

These are patterns visible in estimates and prices, not confirmed causes. Information only, not investment advice.

Was UNH's earnings move already priced in?

Stocks often move in the weeks before a report. This compares that run-up with what happened after the report.

Avg move in the month before
+4.1%
last 12 reports
Higher before the report
75%
of the time
After a run-up of 3%+
Fell 43%
7 reports, avg -4.5%

“Month before” is the move over the 20 trading days up to the last close before the report. “Priced in” means the good news may already be in the price. A run-up of 5% or more is treated as large.

Before vs after each report

Grey: how the stock moved in the 20 trading days before the report. Green or red: how it moved the day after.

Past reports only: this shows what happened, not what will happen.

Does UNH hold its opening gap after earnings?

A gap is how far the stock opens from the previous close. A gap fades when the stock gives back at least half of it by the end of the day.

In 12 reports UNH opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 2 of 12 times (17%). Gaps up faded 2 of 6; gaps down recovered 0 of 6.

  • Jul 16, 2026Faded
    Opened +7.4%, closed +1.2%
  • Apr 21, 2026Held
    Opened +9.1%, closed +7.0%
  • Jan 27, 2026Held
    Opened -16.4%, closed -19.6%
  • Oct 28, 2025Faded
    Opened +4.0%, closed +0.5%
  • Jul 29, 2025Held
    Opened -5.8%, closed -7.5%
  • Apr 17, 2025Held
    Opened -17.6%, closed -22.4%
  • Jan 16, 2025Held
    Opened -2.4%, closed -6.0%
  • Oct 15, 2024Held
    Opened -8.8%, closed -8.1%

Gap = opening price vs the previous close. Close = the end of the first session that reflected the report. Reports without a clear opening time are left out.

What the history says

  • Options price a ±8.0% move, in line with its usual ±7.5%.

UNH earnings history

Last 12 reported quarters with the stock's reaction.

Swipe sideways to see every column →

Report dateTimeEPS est.EPS actualSurprise1-day move3-day move
Jul 16, 2026Before open$4.92$6.38+29.7%+1.16%+0.72%
Apr 21, 2026Before open$6.60$7.23+9.5%+6.96%+9.61%
Jan 27, 2026Before open$2.11$2.110.0%-19.61%-16.88%
Oct 28, 2025Before open$2.81$2.92+3.9%+0.51%-5.80%
Jul 29, 2025Before open$4.45$4.08-8.3%-7.46%-11.54%
Apr 17, 2025Before open$7.29$7.20-1.2%-22.38%-26.98%
Jan 16, 2025Before open$6.74$6.81+1.0%-6.04%-3.39%
Oct 15, 2024Before open$7.03$7.15+1.7%-8.11%-6.50%
Jul 16, 2024Before open$6.63$6.80+2.6%+6.50%+9.50%
Apr 16, 2024Before open$6.62$6.91+4.4%+5.22%+10.67%
Jan 12, 2024Before open$5.99$6.16+2.8%-3.37%-2.73%
Oct 13, 2023Before open$6.35$6.56+3.3%+2.64%+2.11%

Consensus for the next report: EPS $4.19, revenue $112.52B.

UNH Earnings FAQ

Answers computed from UnitedHealth Group Incorporated's reported history

UNH is scheduled to report on Oct 13, 2026, before the market opens. Analysts expect EPS of $4.19.

Over the last 12 quarters with a usable EPS surprise, UNH beat the consensus estimate 9 times (75%), missed 2 and landed in line 1. It has beaten estimates in each of the last 2 counted quarters.

Across its last 12 quarters with a measured reaction, UNH moved an average of ±7.5% in the first session after reporting. It closed higher 50% of the time; the largest gain was 7.0% and the largest drop -22.4%.

Options currently price a move of about ±8.0% (nearest at-the-money straddle that expires after the report). It measures the size of the expected move, not its direction. That is 1.06x its average historical move of ±7.5%, so options look fairly priced relative to history.

UNH fell in the first session after 3 of its last 9 EPS beats (33%). A beat that was already priced in, or weaker guidance, can send a stock lower. In 2 of the 3 of those falls where price data is available, the stock had already risen before the report.

Across its last 12 quarters with price data, UNH moved an average of +4.1% in the 20 trading sessions before reporting and was higher in 75% of them. After a run-up of 3% or more (7 quarters), it fell the next day 43% of the time, averaging -4.5%. This describes past reports; it is not a forecast.

In 12 reports UNH opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 2 of 12 times (17%), and fully reversed 0 times. A fade means the opening move was partly undone during the first session.

How we calculate these numbers

Reported EPS and estimates come from Yahoo Finance; report times, upcoming dates and revenue come from Finnhub. The 1-day move is the close-to-close change over the first session that reflects the report (the report-day close for after-close reports, the prior close for pre-market reports); reactions are left blank when the report time is unknown or looks inconsistent. The expected move is the price of the nearest at-the-money straddle that expires after the report divided by the share price, shown only when the quotes are liquid. Quarters where the two data sources disagree on beat versus miss are shown but never counted. Information only, not investment advice.