Tesla, Inc.(TSLA)Earnings Date, History & Expected Move
NASDAQ

TSLA is scheduled to report on Oct 20, 2026, after the market closes. Analysts expect EPS of $0.43.

Next report
Oct 20, 2026
In 12 days · after close
EPS beat rate
25%
3 of 12 quarters
Avg move after earnings
±9.0%
Up 42% of the time · last 12
Options-implied move
—
No reliable options quote yet

EPS: Actual vs Estimate

Reported earnings per share against the consensus estimate, last 12 quarters.

Green = beat or met, red = missed, amber = our data sources disagree on beat vs miss for that quarter.

Stock Reaction After Earnings

Close-to-close move in the first session that reflected each report.

Dashed lines mark the average actual move (±9.0%).

Did the stock rise after good news?

"Beat" means the company earned more than analysts expected. Here is what the stock did the next day.

When it beat expectations
3 reports
When it missed expectations
8 reports

In plain words: it beat expectations 3 times, but the stock still fell 2 of those 3 times.

Report by report
  • Jul '26
    Missed
    ▼ -14.5%
  • Apr '26
    Beat
    ▼ -3.6%
  • Jan '26
    Beat
    ▼ -3.5%
  • Oct '25
    Missed
    ▲ +2.3%
  • Apr '25
    Missed
    ▲ +5.4%
  • Jan '25
    Missed
    ▲ +2.9%
  • Oct '24
    Beat
    ▲ +21.9%
  • Jul '24
    Missed
    ▼ -12.3%
  • Apr '24
    Missed
    ▲ +12.1%
  • Jan '24
    Missed
    ▼ -12.1%
  • Oct '23
    Missed
    ▼ -9.3%

Only reports with a clear beat or miss and a known price reaction are counted. A beat does not guarantee a gain.

After an EPS beat
+5.0%
average next-day move · up 33% of 3 times
After an EPS miss
-3.2%
average next-day move · up 50% of 8 times

Why did TSLA fall after beating earnings?

Beating or missing estimates is only part of the story. These are the measurable things that stand out for each surprising reaction.

TSLA beat EPS estimates in 3 quarters, and the stock still closed lower the next day 2 times.

  • Apr 22, 2026EPS beat +17.1%stock -3.6% next day
    • It opened 3.2% lower as soon as trading resumed.
  • Jan 28, 2026EPS beat +11.1%stock -3.5% next day
    • It opened 1.5% higher, but sellers took over and it closed -3.5%.

Rose despite an EPS miss (4 of 8)

  • Oct 22, 2025EPS missed -10.7%stock +2.3% next day

    Nothing in the price and estimate numbers we track stands out for this one. Guidance and management comments are not part of our data.

  • Apr 22, 2025EPS missed -34.1%stock +5.4% next day
    • It had already fallen 14.5% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so weak results may have been expected.
    • It opened 7.1% higher as soon as trading resumed.
  • Jan 29, 2025EPS missed -5.2%stock +2.9% next day
    • It had already fallen 9.9% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so weak results may have been expected.
    • It opened 5.6% higher as soon as trading resumed.
  • Apr 23, 2024EPS missed -8.2%stock +12.1% next day
    • It had already fallen 16.2% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so weak results may have been expected.
    • It opened 12.6% higher as soon as trading resumed.

These are patterns visible in estimates and prices, not confirmed causes. Information only, not investment advice.

Was TSLA's earnings move already priced in?

Stocks often move in the weeks before a report. This compares that run-up with what happened after the report.

Avg move in the month before
-4.8%
last 12 reports
Higher before the report
17%
of the time
After a drop of 3%+
Rose 57%
7 reports, avg +2.5%

“Month before” is the move over the 20 trading days up to the last close before the report. “Priced in” means the good news may already be in the price. A run-up of 5% or more is treated as large.

Before vs after each report

Grey: how the stock moved in the 20 trading days before the report. Green or red: how it moved the day after.

Past reports only: this shows what happened, not what will happen.

Does TSLA hold its opening gap after earnings?

A gap is how far the stock opens from the previous close. A gap fades when the stock gives back at least half of it by the end of the day.

In 12 reports TSLA opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 2 of 12 times (17%), and fully reversed 2 times. Gaps up faded 1 of 5; gaps down recovered 1 of 7.

  • Jul 22, 2026Held
    Opened -8.8%, closed -14.5%
  • Apr 22, 2026Held
    Opened -3.2%, closed -3.6%
  • Jan 28, 2026Reversed
    Opened +1.5%, closed -3.5%
  • Oct 22, 2025Reversed
    Opened -4.3%, closed +2.3%
  • Jul 23, 2025Held
    Opened -6.8%, closed -8.2%
  • Apr 22, 2025Held
    Opened +7.1%, closed +5.4%
  • Jan 29, 2025Held
    Opened +5.6%, closed +2.9%
  • Oct 23, 2024Held
    Opened +14.5%, closed +21.9%

Gap = opening price vs the previous close. Close = the end of the first session that reflected the report. Reports without a clear opening time are left out.

TSLA earnings history

Last 12 reported quarters with the stock's reaction.

Swipe sideways to see every column →

Report dateTimeEPS est.EPS actualSurprise1-day move3-day move
Jul 22, 2026After close$0.54$0.33-38.9%-14.52%-17.32%
Apr 22, 2026After close$0.35$0.41+17.1%-3.56%-2.28%
Jan 28, 2026After close$0.45$0.50+11.1%-3.45%-2.24%
Oct 22, 2025After close$0.56$0.50-10.7%+2.28%+3.06%
Jul 23, 2025After close$0.40$0.400.0%-8.20%-2.10%
Apr 22, 2025After close$0.41$0.27-34.1%+5.37%+19.74%
Jan 29, 2025After close$0.77$0.73-5.2%+2.87%-1.39%
Oct 23, 2024After close$0.60$0.72+20.0%+21.92%+22.87%
Jul 23, 2024After close$0.62$0.52-16.1%-12.33%-10.79%
Apr 23, 2024After close$0.49$0.45-8.2%+12.06%+16.32%
Jan 24, 2024After close$0.74$0.71-4.1%-12.13%-8.13%
Oct 18, 2023After close$0.73$0.66-9.6%-9.30%-12.61%

Consensus for the next report: EPS $0.43, revenue $28.07B.

TSLA Earnings FAQ

Answers computed from Tesla, Inc.'s reported history

TSLA is scheduled to report on Oct 20, 2026, after the market closes. Analysts expect EPS of $0.43.

Over the last 12 quarters with a usable EPS surprise, TSLA beat the consensus estimate 3 times (25%), missed 8 and landed in line 1.

Across its last 12 quarters with a measured reaction, TSLA moved an average of ±9.0% in the first session after reporting. It closed higher 42% of the time; the largest gain was 21.9% and the largest drop -14.5%.

Across its last 12 quarters with price data, TSLA moved an average of -4.8% in the 20 trading sessions before reporting and was higher in 17% of them. After a drop of 3% or more (7 quarters), it rose the next day 57% of the time, averaging +2.5%. This describes past reports; it is not a forecast.

In 12 reports TSLA opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 2 of 12 times (17%), and fully reversed 2 times. A fade means the opening move was partly undone during the first session.

How we calculate these numbers

Reported EPS and estimates come from Yahoo Finance; report times, upcoming dates and revenue come from Finnhub. The 1-day move is the close-to-close change over the first session that reflects the report (the report-day close for after-close reports, the prior close for pre-market reports); reactions are left blank when the report time is unknown or looks inconsistent. The expected move is the price of the nearest at-the-money straddle that expires after the report divided by the share price, shown only when the quotes are liquid. Quarters where the two data sources disagree on beat versus miss are shown but never counted. Information only, not investment advice.