Alibaba Group Holding Limited(BABA)
NYSE
$108.61
0.04 (0.04%)

Alibaba Group Holding Limited(BABA)Earnings Date, History & Expected Move
NYSE

BABA is scheduled to report on Nov 23, 2026, usually before the market opens. Analysts expect EPS of $11.48.

Next report
Nov 23, 2026
In 33 days · usually before open
EPS beat rate
33%
4 of 12 quarters
Avg move after earnings
±6.3%
Up 36% of the time · last 11
Options-implied move
—
No reliable options quote yet

EPS: Actual vs Estimate

Reported earnings per share against the consensus estimate, last 12 quarters.

Green = beat or met, red = missed, amber = our data sources disagree on beat vs miss for that quarter.

Stock Reaction After Earnings

Close-to-close move in the first session that reflected each report.

Dashed lines mark the average actual move (±6.3%).

Did the stock rise after good news?

"Beat" means the company earned more than analysts expected. Here is what the stock did the next day.

When it beat expectations
4 reports
When it missed expectations
7 reports

In plain words: it beat expectations 4 times, but the stock still fell 2 of those 4 times.

Report by report
  • May '26
    Missed
    ▲ +8.2%
  • Mar '26
    Missed
    ▼ -7.1%
  • Nov '25
    Missed
    ▼ -2.3%
  • Aug '25
    Missed
    ▲ +12.9%
  • May '25
    Missed
    ▼ -7.6%
  • Feb '25
    Beat
    ▲ +8.1%
  • Nov '24
    Beat
    ▼ -2.2%
  • Aug '24
    Beat
    ▲ +0.1%
  • May '24
    Missed
    ▼ -6.0%
  • Feb '24
    Missed
    ▼ -5.9%
  • Nov '23
    Beat
    ▼ -9.1%

Only reports with a clear beat or miss and a known price reaction are counted. A beat does not guarantee a gain.

After an EPS beat
-0.8%
average next-day move · up 50% of 4 times
After an EPS miss
-1.1%
average next-day move · up 29% of 7 times

Why did BABA fall after beating earnings?

Beating or missing estimates is only part of the story. These are the measurable things that stand out for each surprising reaction.

BABA beat EPS estimates in 4 quarters, and the stock still closed lower the next day 2 times.

  • Nov 15, 2024EPS beat +2.0%stock -2.2% next day
    • The EPS beat was small (+2.0%).
  • Nov 16, 2023EPS beat +3.4%stock -9.1% next day
    • It opened 8.7% lower as soon as trading resumed.

Rose despite an EPS miss (2 of 7)

  • May 13, 2026EPS missed -89.2%stock +8.2% next day

    Nothing in the price and estimate numbers we track stands out for this one. Guidance and management comments are not part of our data.

  • Aug 29, 2025EPS missed -4.7%stock +12.9% next day
    • It opened 7.8% higher as soon as trading resumed.

These are patterns visible in estimates and prices, not confirmed causes. Information only, not investment advice.

Was BABA's earnings move already priced in?

Stocks often move in the weeks before a report. This compares that run-up with what happened after the report.

Avg move in the month before
+6.4%
last 11 reports
Higher before the report
64%
of the time
After a run-up of 3%+
Fell 67%
6 reports, avg -3.4%
After a drop of 3%+
Rose 0%
3 reports, avg -3.9%

“Month before” is the move over the 20 trading days up to the last close before the report. “Priced in” means the good news may already be in the price. A run-up of 5% or more is treated as large.

Before vs after each report

Grey: how the stock moved in the 20 trading days before the report. Green or red: how it moved the day after.

Past reports only: this shows what happened, not what will happen.

Does BABA hold its opening gap after earnings?

A gap is how far the stock opens from the previous close. A gap fades when the stock gives back at least half of it by the end of the day.

In 10 reports BABA opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 3 of 10 times (30%), and fully reversed 3 times. Gaps up faded 1 of 3; gaps down recovered 2 of 7.

  • May 13, 2026Reversed
    Opened -2.0%, closed +8.2%
  • Mar 19, 2026Held
    Opened -8.5%, closed -7.1%
  • Nov 25, 2025Reversed
    Opened +2.8%, closed -2.3%
  • Aug 29, 2025Held
    Opened +7.8%, closed +12.9%
  • May 15, 2025Held
    Opened -5.8%, closed -7.6%
  • Feb 20, 2025Held
    Opened +9.6%, closed +8.1%
  • Aug 15, 2024Reversed
    Opened -2.0%, closed +0.1%
  • May 14, 2024Held
    Opened -5.9%, closed -6.0%

Gap = opening price vs the previous close. Close = the end of the first session that reflected the report. Reports without a clear opening time are left out.

What the history says

  • BABA has missed EPS estimates in 6 straight quarters.
  • It fell after 2 of its 4 EPS beats (50%): beating estimates has not been enough on its own.

BABA earnings history

Last 12 reported quarters with the stock's reaction.

Swipe sideways to see every column →

Report dateTimeEPS est.EPS actualSurprise1-day move3-day move
Aug 20, 2026Before open$10.82$8.52-21.3%——
May 13, 2026Before open$5.74$0.62-89.2%+8.18%-1.62%
Mar 19, 2026Before open$10.94$7.09-35.2%-7.09%-6.23%
Nov 25, 2025Before open$5.78$4.36-24.6%-2.31%-2.13%
Aug 29, 2025Before open$15.47$14.75-4.7%+12.90%+14.12%
May 15, 2025Before open$12.81$12.52-2.3%-7.57%-8.27%
Feb 20, 2025Before open$19.38$21.39+10.4%+8.09%+2.58%
Nov 15, 2024Before open$14.77$15.06+2.0%-2.20%-3.83%
Aug 15, 2024Before open$14.94$16.44+10.0%+0.09%+5.59%
May 14, 2024Before open$10.24$10.14-1.0%-6.02%+2.48%
Feb 7, 2024Before open$19.00$18.97-0.2%-5.87%-7.94%
Nov 16, 2023Before open$15.11$15.63+3.4%-9.14%-9.89%

Consensus for the next report: EPS $11.48, revenue $275.54B.

BABA Earnings FAQ

Answers computed from Alibaba Group Holding Limited's reported history

BABA is scheduled to report on Nov 23, 2026, usually before the market opens. Analysts expect EPS of $11.48.

Over the last 12 quarters with a usable EPS surprise, BABA beat the consensus estimate 4 times (33%), missed 8 and landed in line 0. It has missed estimates in each of the last 6 counted quarters.

Across its last 11 quarters with a measured reaction, BABA moved an average of ±6.3% in the first session after reporting. It closed higher 36% of the time; the largest gain was 12.9% and the largest drop -9.1%.

BABA fell in the first session after 2 of its last 4 EPS beats (50%). A beat that was already priced in, or weaker guidance, can send a stock lower.

Across its last 11 quarters with price data, BABA moved an average of +6.4% in the 20 trading sessions before reporting and was higher in 64% of them. After a run-up of 3% or more (6 quarters), it fell the next day 67% of the time, averaging -3.4%. After a drop of 3% or more (3 quarters), it rose the next day 0% of the time, averaging -3.9%. This describes past reports; it is not a forecast.

In 10 reports BABA opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 3 of 10 times (30%), and fully reversed 3 times. A fade means the opening move was partly undone during the first session.

How we calculate these numbers

Reported EPS and estimates come from Yahoo Finance; report times, upcoming dates and revenue come from Finnhub. The 1-day move is the close-to-close change over the first session that reflects the report (the report-day close for after-close reports, the prior close for pre-market reports); reactions are left blank when the report time is unknown or looks inconsistent. The expected move is the price of the nearest at-the-money straddle that expires after the report divided by the share price, shown only when the quotes are liquid. Quarters where the two data sources disagree on beat versus miss are shown but never counted. Information only, not investment advice.