Union Pacific Corporation(UNP)Earnings Date, History & Expected MoveNYSE
Next report date, beat rate and options-implied move
UNP is scheduled to report on Oct 22, 2026, before the market opens. Analysts expect EPS of $3.47.
EPS: Actual vs Estimate
Reported earnings per share against the consensus estimate, last 12 quarters.
Green = beat or met, red = missed, amber = our data sources disagree on beat vs miss for that quarter.
Stock Reaction After Earnings
Close-to-close move in the first session that reflected each report.
Dashed lines mark the average actual move (±3.4%).
Did the stock rise after good news?
"Beat" means the company earned more than analysts expected. Here is what the stock did the next day.
In plain words: it beat expectations 9 times, but the stock still fell 4 of those 9 times.
- Jul '26Beat▲ +4.0%
- Apr '26Beat▲ +8.8%
- Jan '26Missed▲ +0.7%
- Oct '25Beat▼ -2.3%
- Jul '25Beat▼ -4.5%
- Apr '25Missed▼ -2.0%
- Jan '25Beat▲ +5.2%
- Oct '24Missed▼ -4.4%
- Jul '24Beat▼ -0.9%
- Apr '24Beat▲ +5.0%
- Jan '24Beat▼ -0.3%
- Oct '23Beat▲ +2.1%
Only reports with a clear beat or miss and a known price reaction are counted. A beat does not guarantee a gain.
Why did UNP fall after beating earnings?
Beating or missing estimates is only part of the story. These are the measurable things that stand out for each surprising reaction.
UNP beat EPS estimates in 9 quarters, and the stock still closed lower the next day 4 times. In 1 of the 4 where we have price data, the stock had already run up before the report.
- Oct 23, 2025EPS beat +2.7%→stock -2.3% next day
Nothing in the price and estimate numbers we track stands out for this one. Guidance and management comments are not part of our data.
- Jul 24, 2025EPS beat +4.1%→stock -4.5% next day
- It opened 2.2% lower as soon as trading resumed.
- Jul 25, 2024EPS beat +1.1%→stock -0.9% next day
- It had risen 5.9% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
- The EPS beat was small (+1.1%).
- Jan 25, 2024EPS beat +5.4%→stock -0.3% next day
Nothing in the price and estimate numbers we track stands out for this one. Guidance and management comments are not part of our data.
Rose despite an EPS miss (1 of 3)
- Jan 27, 2026EPS missed -0.3%→stock +0.7% next day
- The EPS miss was small (-0.3%).
- It opened 1.8% higher as soon as trading resumed.
These are patterns visible in estimates and prices, not confirmed causes. Information only, not investment advice.
Was UNP's earnings move already priced in?
Stocks often move in the weeks before a report. This compares that run-up with what happened after the report.
“Month before” is the move over the 20 trading days up to the last close before the report. “Priced in” means the good news may already be in the price. A run-up of 5% or more is treated as large.
Before vs after each report
Grey: how the stock moved in the 20 trading days before the report. Green or red: how it moved the day after.
Past reports only: this shows what happened, not what will happen.
Does UNP hold its opening gap after earnings?
A gap is how far the stock opens from the previous close. A gap fades when the stock gives back at least half of it by the end of the day.
In 9 reports UNP opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 3 of 9 times (33%). Gaps up faded 2 of 6; gaps down recovered 1 of 3.
- Jul 23, 2026HeldOpened +5.9%, closed +4.0%
- Apr 23, 2026HeldOpened +5.4%, closed +8.8%
- Jan 27, 2026FadedOpened +1.8%, closed +0.7%
- Jul 24, 2025HeldOpened -2.2%, closed -4.5%
- Apr 24, 2025FadedOpened -5.2%, closed -2.0%
- Jan 23, 2025HeldOpened +4.6%, closed +5.2%
- Oct 24, 2024HeldOpened -4.9%, closed -4.4%
- Apr 25, 2024HeldOpened +3.6%, closed +5.0%
Gap = opening price vs the previous close. Close = the end of the first session that reflected the report. Reports without a clear opening time are left out.
What the history says
- It fell after 4 of its 9 EPS beats (44%): beating estimates has not been enough on its own.
UNP earnings history
Last 12 reported quarters with the stock's reaction.
Swipe sideways to see every column →
| Report date | Time | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | 1-day move | 3-day move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Before open | $3.24 | $3.41 | +5.2% | +4.02% | +2.30% |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Before open | $2.86 | $2.93 | +2.4% | +8.77% | +7.82% |
| Jan 27, 2026 | Before open | $2.87 | $2.86 | -0.3% | +0.72% | +1.17% |
| Oct 23, 2025 | Before open | $3.00 | $3.08 | +2.7% | -2.31% | -3.11% |
| Jul 24, 2025 | Before open | $2.91 | $3.03 | +4.1% | -4.54% | -0.76% |
| Apr 24, 2025 | Before open | $2.73 | $2.70 | -1.1% | -1.97% | -3.26% |
| Jan 23, 2025 | Before open | $2.79 | $2.98 | +6.8% | +5.20% | +7.90% |
| Oct 24, 2024 | Before open | $2.78 | $2.75 | -1.1% | -4.39% | -3.88% |
| Jul 25, 2024 | Before open | $2.71 | $2.74 | +1.1% | -0.86% | +2.01% |
| Apr 25, 2024 | Before open | $2.52 | $2.69 | +6.7% | +4.99% | +3.87% |
| Jan 25, 2024 | Before open | $2.57 | $2.71 | +5.4% | -0.31% | +1.17% |
| Oct 19, 2023 | Before open | $2.43 | $2.51 | +3.3% | +2.14% | +0.89% |
Consensus for the next report: EPS $3.47, revenue $7.07B.
UNP Earnings FAQ
Answers computed from Union Pacific Corporation's reported history
UNP is scheduled to report on Oct 22, 2026, before the market opens. Analysts expect EPS of $3.47.
Over the last 12 quarters with a usable EPS surprise, UNP beat the consensus estimate 9 times (75%), missed 3 and landed in line 0. It has beaten estimates in each of the last 2 counted quarters.
Across its last 12 quarters with a measured reaction, UNP moved an average of ±3.4% in the first session after reporting. It closed higher 50% of the time; the largest gain was 8.8% and the largest drop -4.5%.
UNP fell in the first session after 4 of its last 9 EPS beats (44%). A beat that was already priced in, or weaker guidance, can send a stock lower. In 1 of the 4 of those falls where price data is available, the stock had already risen before the report.
Across its last 12 quarters with price data, UNP moved an average of +0.9% in the 20 trading sessions before reporting and was higher in 42% of them. After a run-up of 3% or more (4 quarters), it fell the next day 25% of the time, averaging +4.3%. After a drop of 3% or more (3 quarters), it rose the next day 67% of the time, averaging +1.7%. This describes past reports; it is not a forecast.
In 9 reports UNP opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 3 of 9 times (33%), and fully reversed 0 times. A fade means the opening move was partly undone during the first session.
How we calculate these numbers
Reported EPS and estimates come from Yahoo Finance; report times, upcoming dates and revenue come from Finnhub. The 1-day move is the close-to-close change over the first session that reflects the report (the report-day close for after-close reports, the prior close for pre-market reports); reactions are left blank when the report time is unknown or looks inconsistent. The expected move is the price of the nearest at-the-money straddle that expires after the report divided by the share price, shown only when the quotes are liquid. Quarters where the two data sources disagree on beat versus miss are shown but never counted. Information only, not investment advice.