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Texas Pacific Land Corp(TPL)Earnings Date, History & Expected Move

Next report
Nov 4, 2026

TPL is scheduled to report on Nov 4, 2026, usually after the market closes. Analysts expect EPS of $2.35.

Next report
Nov 4, 2026
In 11 days · usually after close
EPS beat rate
46%
5 of 11 quarters (+1 not counted)
Avg move after earnings
±6.4%
Up 50% of the time · last 12
Options-implied move
—
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EPS: Actual vs Estimate

Reported EPS against the consensus estimate, last 12 quarters.

Green beat or met, red missed, amber sources differ.

Stock Reaction After Earnings

Close-to-close move in the first session that reflected each report.

Dashed lines mark the average actual move (±6.4%).

Did the stock rise after good news?

The next-day move after each of its last 5 EPS beats and 6 misses.

When it beat expectations
5 reports
When it missed expectations
6 reports

In plain words: it beat expectations 5 times, but the stock still fell 2 of those 5 times.

Report by report
  • Aug '26
    Beat
    ▼ -6.9%
  • May '26
    Beat
    ▼ -4.9%
  • Nov '25
    Missed
    ▲ +10.0%
  • Aug '25
    Missed
    ▼ -8.7%
  • Aug '24
    Missed
    ▲ +7.1%
  • May '24
    Beat
    ▲ +9.2%
  • Feb '24
    Beat
    ▲ +2.7%
  • Nov '23
    Missed
    ▼ -2.4%
  • Aug '23
    Beat
    ▲ +10.0%
  • May '23
    Missed
    ▼ -3.6%
  • Feb '23
    Missed
    ▼ -1.1%

Clear beats and misses with a known reaction only. What counts as a beat

After an EPS beat
+2.0%
average next-day move · up 60% of 5 times
After an EPS miss
+0.2%
average next-day move · up 33% of 6 times

Why did TPL fall after beating earnings?

4 of TPL's last 11 reactions went against the EPS result. What stands out in each:

TPL beat EPS estimates in 5 quarters, and the stock still closed lower the next day 2 times.

  • Aug 5, 2026EPS beat +2.3%stock -6.9% next day
    • It opened 3.2% higher, but sellers took over and it closed -6.9%.
  • May 6, 2026EPS beat +2.5%stock -4.9% next day
    • It opened 1.3% higher, but sellers took over and it closed -4.9%.

Rose despite an EPS miss (2 of 6)

  • Nov 5, 2025EPS missed -8.3%stock +10.0% next day

    Nothing in the price and estimate numbers we track stands out for this one. Guidance and management comments are not part of our data.

  • Aug 7, 2024EPS missed -7.3%stock +7.1% next day
    • It had already fallen 8.5% in the final week before the report, so weak results may have been expected.
    • It opened 1.4% higher as soon as trading resumed.

Patterns in estimates and prices, not confirmed causes: how we read them.

Was TPL's earnings move already priced in?

TPL's move in the month before each of its last 12 reports, against what it did after.

Avg move in the month before
-0.7%
last 12 reports
Higher before the report
33%
of the time
After a run-up of 3%+
Fell 33%
3 reports, avg +6.0%
After a drop of 3%+
Rose 29%
7 reports, avg -0.9%

How the run-up is measured (a move of 5% or more counts as large).

Before vs after each report

Grey: the month before each of the last 12 reports. Green or red: the day after.

Past reports only. How the run-up is measured

Does TPL hold its opening gap after earnings?

TPL's opening move after each report and where it closed that day.

In 9 reports TPL opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 3 of 9 times (33%), and fully reversed 3 times. Gaps up faded 2 of 6; gaps down recovered 1 of 3.

  • Aug 5, 2026Reversed
    Opened +3.2%, closed -6.9%
  • May 6, 2026Reversed
    Opened +1.3%, closed -4.9%
  • Feb 18, 2026Reversed
    Opened -2.4%, closed +10.4%
  • Aug 7, 2024Held
    Opened +1.4%, closed +7.1%
  • May 8, 2024Held
    Opened +3.5%, closed +9.2%
  • Feb 21, 2024Held
    Opened +2.9%, closed +2.7%
  • Aug 2, 2023Held
    Opened +2.0%, closed +10.0%
  • May 3, 2023Held
    Opened -2.0%, closed -3.6%

How gaps, fades and reversals are defined

What the history says

  • It fell after 2 of its 5 EPS beats (40%): beating estimates has not been enough on its own.

TPL earnings history

Last 12 reported quarters with the stock's reaction.

Swipe sideways to see every column →

Report dateTimeEPS est.EPS actualSurprise1-day move3-day move
Aug 5, 2026After close$2.18$2.23+2.3%-6.87%-8.23%
May 6, 2026After close$2.02$2.07+2.5%-4.92%-4.08%
Feb 18, 2026After close$3.60$1.79sources differ+10.40%+14.10%
Nov 5, 2025After close$1.92$1.76-8.3%+10.02%+8.14%
Aug 6, 2025After close$2.32$1.68-27.6%-8.75%-10.08%
Aug 7, 2024After close$1.79$1.66-7.3%+7.09%+7.73%
May 8, 2024After close$1.45$1.66+14.5%+9.18%+7.41%
Feb 21, 2024After close$1.50$1.64+9.3%+2.70%+2.49%
Nov 1, 2023After close$1.56$1.53-1.9%-2.44%-4.52%
Aug 2, 2023After close$1.25$1.45+16.0%+9.96%+19.16%
May 3, 2023After close$1.54$1.25-18.8%-3.62%-2.34%
Feb 22, 2023After close$1.59$1.44-9.4%-1.10%-0.52%

Consensus for the next report: EPS $2.35, revenue $250.48M.

TPL Earnings FAQ

Answers computed from Texas Pacific Land Corp's reported history

TPL is scheduled to report on Nov 4, 2026, usually after the market closes. Analysts expect EPS of $2.35.

Over the last 11 quarters with a usable EPS surprise, TPL beat the consensus estimate 5 times (46%), missed 6 and landed in line 0. It has beaten estimates in each of the last 2 counted quarters. 1 quarter where our data sources disagree on beat versus miss are shown but not counted.

Across its last 12 quarters with a measured reaction, TPL moved an average of ±6.4% in the first session after reporting. It closed higher 50% of the time; the largest gain was 10.4% and the largest drop -8.8%.

TPL fell in the first session after 2 of its last 5 EPS beats (40%). A beat that was already priced in, or weaker guidance, can send a stock lower.

Across its last 12 quarters with price data, TPL moved an average of -0.7% in the 20 trading sessions before reporting and was higher in 33% of them. After a run-up of 3% or more (3 quarters), it fell the next day 33% of the time, averaging +6.0%. After a drop of 3% or more (7 quarters), it rose the next day 29% of the time, averaging -0.9%. This describes past reports; it is not a forecast.

In 9 reports TPL opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 3 of 9 times (33%), and fully reversed 3 times. A fade means the opening move was partly undone during the first session.

How we calculate these numbers · TPL: 12 reported quarters, latest Aug 5, 2026. Information only, not investment advice.

Earnings this week
Every report this week with expected moves.
Biggest expected earnings moves
Options-implied vs historical move, ranked.

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