Hanover Insurance Group, Inc.(THG)Earnings Date, History & Expected Move

Next report date, beat rate and options-implied move

Next report

Oct 28, 2026

THG is scheduled to report on Oct 28, 2026, after the market closes. Analysts expect EPS of $4.58.

Next report

Oct 28, 2026

In 4 days · after close

EPS beat rate

83%

10 of 12 quarters

Avg move after earnings

±2.4%

Up 50% of the time · last 12

Options-implied move

—

No reliable options quote yet

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EPS: Actual vs Estimate

Reported EPS against the consensus estimate, last 12 quarters.

Green beat or met, red missed, amber sources differ.

Stock Reaction After Earnings

Close-to-close move in the first session that reflected each report.

Dashed lines mark the average actual move (±2.4%).

Did the stock rise after good news?

The next-day move after each of its last 10 EPS beats and 1 misses.

When it beat expectations

10 reports

▲ Rose 6×

▼ Fell 4×

When it missed expectations

1 report

▼ Fell 1×

In plain words: it beat expectations 10 times, but the stock still fell 4 of those 10 times.

Report by report

Jul '26
Beat
▲ +3.7%
Apr '26
Beat
▲ +5.7%
Feb '26
Beat
▲ +0.6%
Oct '25
Beat
▲ +1.1%
Jul '25
Beat
▲ +3.9%
Apr '25
Beat
▼ -0.3%
Feb '25
Beat
▲ +4.8%
Oct '24
Beat
▼ -2.0%
May '24
Beat
▼ -0.4%
Jan '24
Beat
▼ -0.5%
Oct '23
Missed
▼ -4.0%

Clear beats and misses with a known reaction only. What counts as a beat

After an EPS beat

+1.7%

average next-day move · up 60% of 10 times

After an EPS miss

—

Not enough quarters yet

Why did THG fall after beating earnings?

4 of THG's last 11 reactions went against the EPS result. What stands out in each:

THG beat EPS estimates in 10 quarters, and the stock still closed lower the next day 4 times. In 1 of the 4 where we have price data, the stock had already run up before the report.

Apr 30, 2025EPS beat +10.3%stock -0.3% next day
- It opened 2.8% lower as soon as trading resumed.
Oct 30, 2024EPS beat +21.0%stock -2.0% next day
- It opened 2.2% higher, but sellers took over and it closed -2.0%.
May 1, 2024EPS beat +14.1%stock -0.4% next day
- It opened 2.9% higher, but sellers took over and it closed -0.4%.
Jan 31, 2024EPS beat +21.8%stock -0.5% next day
- It had risen 7.4% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
- It opened 2.1% higher, but sellers took over and it closed -0.5%.

Patterns in estimates and prices, not confirmed causes: how we read them.

Was THG's earnings move already priced in?

THG's move in the month before each of its last 12 reports, against what it did after.

Avg move in the month before

+1.2%

last 12 reports

Higher before the report

50%

of the time

After a run-up of 3%+

Fell 75%

4 reports, avg -0.6%

After a drop of 3%+

Rose 67%

3 reports, avg +0.5%

How the run-up is measured (a move of 5% or more counts as large).

Before vs after each report

Grey: the month before each of the last 12 reports. Green or red: the day after.

Past reports only. How the run-up is measured

Does THG hold its opening gap after earnings?

THG's opening move after each report and where it closed that day.

In 11 reports THG opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 5 of 11 times (46%), and fully reversed 3 times. Gaps up faded 4 of 9; gaps down recovered 1 of 2.

Jul 28, 2026Held
Opened +1.1%, closed +3.7%
Apr 29, 2026Held
Opened +8.0%, closed +5.7%
Feb 3, 2026Faded
Opened +1.8%, closed +0.6%
Oct 29, 2025Held
Opened +1.0%, closed +1.1%
Jul 30, 2025Held
Opened +1.6%, closed +3.9%
Apr 30, 2025Faded
Opened -2.8%, closed -0.3%
Feb 4, 2025Held
Opened +4.0%, closed +4.8%
Oct 30, 2024Reversed
Opened +2.2%, closed -2.0%

How gaps, fades and reversals are defined

What the history says

THG has beaten EPS estimates in 8 straight quarters.
It fell after 4 of its 10 EPS beats (40%): beating estimates has not been enough on its own.

THG earnings history

Last 12 reported quarters with the stock's reaction.

Swipe sideways to see every column →

Report date	Time	EPS est.	EPS actual	Surprise	1-day move	3-day move
Jul 28, 2026	After close	$3.76	$5.31	+41.2%	+3.65%	+3.78%
Apr 29, 2026	After close	$4.22	$5.25	+24.4%	+5.73%	+3.25%
Feb 3, 2026	After close	$5.03	$5.79	+15.1%	+0.59%	+1.10%
Oct 29, 2025	After close	$4.22	$5.09	+20.6%	+1.11%	+1.40%
Jul 30, 2025	After close	$3.11	$4.35	+39.9%	+3.87%	+3.72%
Apr 30, 2025	After close	$3.51	$3.87	+10.3%	-0.31%	+1.36%
Feb 4, 2025	After close	$3.39	$5.32	+56.9%	+4.76%	+7.94%
Oct 30, 2024	After close	$2.52	$3.05	+21.0%	-2.05%	-2.83%
Jul 31, 2024	After close	$1.88	$1.88	0.0%	-1.79%	-2.82%
May 1, 2024	After close	$2.70	$3.08	+14.1%	-0.36%	+2.73%
Jan 31, 2024	After close	$2.57	$3.13	+21.8%	-0.47%	-1.27%
Oct 18, 2023	After close	$1.93	$0.19	-90.2%	-3.97%	-4.64%

Consensus for the next report: EPS $4.58, revenue $1.82B.

THG Earnings FAQ

Answers computed from Hanover Insurance Group, Inc.'s reported history

THG is scheduled to report on Oct 28, 2026, after the market closes. Analysts expect EPS of $4.58.

Over the last 12 quarters with a usable EPS surprise, THG beat the consensus estimate 10 times (83%), missed 1 and landed in line 1. It has beaten estimates in each of the last 8 counted quarters.

Across its last 12 quarters with a measured reaction, THG moved an average of ±2.4% in the first session after reporting. It closed higher 50% of the time; the largest gain was 5.7% and the largest drop -4.0%.

THG fell in the first session after 4 of its last 10 EPS beats (40%). A beat that was already priced in, or weaker guidance, can send a stock lower. In 1 of the 4 of those falls where price data is available, the stock had already risen before the report.

Across its last 12 quarters with price data, THG moved an average of +1.2% in the 20 trading sessions before reporting and was higher in 50% of them. After a run-up of 3% or more (4 quarters), it fell the next day 75% of the time, averaging -0.6%. After a drop of 3% or more (3 quarters), it rose the next day 67% of the time, averaging +0.5%. This describes past reports; it is not a forecast.

In 11 reports THG opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 5 of 11 times (46%), and fully reversed 3 times. A fade means the opening move was partly undone during the first session.

How we calculate these numbers · THG: 12 reported quarters, latest Jul 28, 2026. Information only, not investment advice.

Earnings this week

Every report this week with expected moves.

Biggest expected earnings moves

Options-implied vs historical move, ranked.