Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc(SPCE)Earnings Date, History & Expected Move

Next report date, beat rate and options-implied move

Next report

Nov 11, 2026

SPCE is scheduled to report on Nov 11, 2026, usually after the market closes. Analysts expect EPS of -$0.48.

Next report

Nov 11, 2026

In 18 days · usually after close

EPS beat rate

100%

12 of 12 quarters

Avg move after earnings

±12.5%

Up 46% of the time · last 11

Options-implied move

—

No reliable options quote yet

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EPS: Actual vs Estimate

Reported EPS against the consensus estimate, last 12 quarters.

Green beat or met, red missed, amber sources differ.

Stock Reaction After Earnings

Close-to-close move in the first session that reflected each report.

Dashed lines mark the average actual move (±12.5%).

Did the stock rise after good news?

The next-day move after each of its last 11 EPS beats and 0 misses.

When it beat expectations

11 reports

▲ Rose 5×

▼ Fell 6×

In plain words: it beat expectations 11 times, but the stock still fell 6 of those 11 times.

Report by report

Aug '26
Beat
▼ -4.8%
May '26
Beat
▼ -2.4%
Mar '26
Beat
▲ +12.0%
Nov '25
Beat
▲ +10.9%
Aug '25
Beat
▼ -9.5%
May '25
Beat
▲ +43.3%
Nov '24
Beat
▼ -11.8%
Aug '24
Beat
▲ +14.0%
May '24
Beat
▼ -1.5%
Feb '24
Beat
▼ -7.9%
Nov '23
Beat
▲ +19.2%

Clear beats and misses with a known reaction only. What counts as a beat

After an EPS beat

+5.6%

average next-day move · up 45% of 11 times

After an EPS miss

—

Not enough quarters yet

Why did SPCE fall after beating earnings?

6 of SPCE's last 11 reactions went against the EPS result. What stands out in each:

SPCE beat EPS estimates in 11 quarters, and the stock still closed lower the next day 6 times. In 6 of the 6 where we have price data, the stock had already run up before the report.

Aug 12, 2026EPS beat +10.8%stock -4.8% next day
- It had risen 21.8% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
- It opened 13.6% lower as soon as trading resumed.
May 14, 2026EPS beat +13.8%stock -2.4% next day
- It had risen 14.7% in the final week before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
- It opened 6.3% lower as soon as trading resumed.
Aug 6, 2025EPS beat +36.5%stock -9.5% next day
- It had risen 29.9% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
Nov 6, 2024EPS beat +35.6%stock -11.8% next day
- It had risen 16.0% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
- It opened 12.2% lower as soon as trading resumed.
May 7, 2024EPS beat +15.3%stock -1.5% next day
- It had risen 16.1% in the final week before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
- It opened 4.1% lower as soon as trading resumed.
Feb 27, 2024EPS beat +19.3%stock -7.9% next day
- It had risen 5.0% in the final week before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
- It opened 4.7% lower as soon as trading resumed.

Patterns in estimates and prices, not confirmed causes: how we read them.

Was SPCE's earnings move already priced in?

SPCE's move in the month before each of its last 11 reports, against what it did after.

Avg move in the month before

+0.6%

last 11 reports

Higher before the report

36%

of the time

After a run-up of 3%+

Fell 75%

4 reports, avg +4.3%

After a drop of 3%+

Rose 67%

6 reports, avg +8.7%

How the run-up is measured (a move of 5% or more counts as large).

Before vs after each report

Grey: the month before each of the last 11 reports. Green or red: the day after.

Past reports only. How the run-up is measured

Does SPCE hold its opening gap after earnings?

SPCE's opening move after each report and where it closed that day.

In 10 reports SPCE opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 4 of 10 times (40%), and fully reversed 1 time. Gaps up faded 0 of 4; gaps down recovered 4 of 6.

Aug 12, 2026Faded
Opened -13.6%, closed -4.8%
May 14, 2026Faded
Opened -6.3%, closed -2.4%
Mar 30, 2026Held
Opened +11.5%, closed +12.0%
Nov 13, 2025Reversed
Opened -1.5%, closed +10.9%
May 15, 2025Held
Opened +11.6%, closed +43.3%
Nov 6, 2024Held
Opened -12.2%, closed -11.8%
Aug 7, 2024Held
Opened +10.1%, closed +14.0%
May 7, 2024Faded
Opened -4.1%, closed -1.5%

How gaps, fades and reversals are defined

What the history says

SPCE has beaten EPS estimates in 12 straight quarters.
It fell after 6 of its 11 EPS beats (55%): beating estimates has not been enough on its own.

SPCE earnings history

Last 12 reported quarters with the stock's reaction.

Swipe sideways to see every column →

Report date	Time	EPS est.	EPS actual	Surprise	1-day move	3-day move
Aug 12, 2026	After close	-$0.65	-$0.58	+10.8%	-4.85%	-5.15%
May 14, 2026	After close	-$0.94	-$0.81	+13.8%	-2.43%	-13.19%
Mar 30, 2026	After close	-$1.07	-$0.93	+13.1%	+11.98%	+13.36%
Nov 13, 2025	After close	-$1.48	-$1.10	+25.7%	+10.88%	+7.25%
Aug 6, 2025	After close	-$2.22	-$1.41	+36.5%	-9.52%	-21.43%
May 15, 2025	After close	-$2.55	-$2.38	+6.7%	+43.28%	+20.30%
Feb 26, 2025	After close	-$3.00	-$2.53	+15.7%	—	—
Nov 6, 2024	After close	-$4.13	-$2.66	+35.6%	-11.80%	+6.04%
Aug 7, 2024	After close	-$4.88	-$4.36	+10.7%	+14.04%	+10.44%
May 7, 2024	After close	-$5.90	-$5.00	+15.3%	-1.49%	-5.74%
Feb 27, 2024	After close	-$6.17	-$4.98	+19.3%	-7.89%	-11.05%
Nov 8, 2023	After close	-$8.80	-$5.60	+36.4%	+19.23%	+21.15%

Consensus for the next report: EPS -$0.48, revenue $408,000.00.

SPCE Earnings FAQ

Answers computed from Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc's reported history

SPCE is scheduled to report on Nov 11, 2026, usually after the market closes. Analysts expect EPS of -$0.48.

Over the last 12 quarters with a usable EPS surprise, SPCE beat the consensus estimate 12 times (100%), missed 0 and landed in line 0. It has beaten estimates in each of the last 12 counted quarters.

Across its last 11 quarters with a measured reaction, SPCE moved an average of ±12.5% in the first session after reporting. It closed higher 46% of the time; the largest gain was 43.3% and the largest drop -11.8%.

SPCE fell in the first session after 6 of its last 11 EPS beats (55%). A beat that was already priced in, or weaker guidance, can send a stock lower. In 6 of the 6 of those falls where price data is available, the stock had already risen before the report.

Across its last 11 quarters with price data, SPCE moved an average of +0.6% in the 20 trading sessions before reporting and was higher in 36% of them. After a run-up of 3% or more (4 quarters), it fell the next day 75% of the time, averaging +4.3%. After a drop of 3% or more (6 quarters), it rose the next day 67% of the time, averaging +8.7%. This describes past reports; it is not a forecast.

In 10 reports SPCE opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 4 of 10 times (40%), and fully reversed once. A fade means the opening move was partly undone during the first session.

How we calculate these numbers · SPCE: 12 reported quarters, latest Aug 12, 2026. Information only, not investment advice.

Earnings this week

Every report this week with expected moves.

Biggest expected earnings moves

Options-implied vs historical move, ranked.