Raymond James Financial, Inc.(RJF)
NYSE
$157.25
-2.18 (-1.37%)

Raymond James Financial, Inc.(RJF)Earnings Date, History & Expected Move
NYSE

RJF is scheduled to report on Oct 28, 2026, after the market closes. Analysts expect EPS of $3.39.

Next report
Oct 28, 2026
In 20 days · after close
EPS beat rate
64%
7 of 11 quarters (+1 not counted)
Avg move after earnings
±2.7%
Up 50% of the time · last 12
Options-implied move
—
No reliable options quote yet

EPS: Actual vs Estimate

Reported earnings per share against the consensus estimate, last 12 quarters.

Green = beat or met, red = missed, amber = our data sources disagree on beat vs miss for that quarter.

Stock Reaction After Earnings

Close-to-close move in the first session that reflected each report.

Dashed lines mark the average actual move (±2.7%).

Did the stock rise after good news?

"Beat" means the company earned more than analysts expected. Here is what the stock did the next day.

When it beat expectations
7 reports
When it missed expectations
3 reports

In plain words: it beat expectations 7 times, but the stock still fell 4 of those 7 times.

Report by report
  • Jul '26
    Beat
    ▼ -1.1%
  • Apr '26
    Beat
    ▼ -0.7%
  • Oct '25
    Beat
    ▼ -0.6%
  • Jul '25
    Missed
    ▲ +3.7%
  • Apr '25
    Missed
    ▲ +1.4%
  • Jan '25
    Beat
    ▼ -0.8%
  • Oct '24
    Beat
    ▲ +7.3%
  • Jul '24
    Beat
    ▲ +5.2%
  • Jan '24
    Beat
    ▲ +1.2%
  • Oct '23
    Missed
    ▲ +5.0%

Only reports with a clear beat or miss and a known price reaction are counted. A beat does not guarantee a gain.

After an EPS beat
+1.5%
average next-day move · up 43% of 7 times
After an EPS miss
+3.4%
average next-day move · up 100% of 3 times

Why did RJF fall after beating earnings?

Beating or missing estimates is only part of the story. These are the measurable things that stand out for each surprising reaction.

RJF beat EPS estimates in 7 quarters, and the stock still closed lower the next day 4 times. In 3 of the 4 where we have price data, the stock had already run up before the report.

  • Jul 22, 2026EPS beat +7.9%stock -1.1% next day
    • It had risen 6.7% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
  • Apr 22, 2026EPS beat +0.4%stock -0.7% next day
    • It had risen 6.3% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
    • The EPS beat was small (+0.4%).
    • It opened 1.5% lower as soon as trading resumed.
  • Oct 22, 2025EPS beat +9.9%stock -0.6% next day
    • It opened 3.9% higher, but sellers took over and it closed -0.6%.
  • Jan 29, 2025EPS beat +8.9%stock -0.8% next day
    • It had risen 9.6% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
    • It opened 1.1% lower as soon as trading resumed.

Rose despite an EPS miss (3 of 3)

  • Jul 23, 2025EPS missed -7.6%stock +3.7% next day
    • It opened 1.6% higher as soon as trading resumed.
  • Apr 23, 2025EPS missed -0.8%stock +1.4% next day
    • It had already fallen 7.1% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so weak results may have been expected.
    • The EPS miss was small (-0.8%).
  • Oct 25, 2023EPS missed -6.6%stock +5.0% next day
    • It had already fallen 7.8% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so weak results may have been expected.
    • It opened 3.9% higher as soon as trading resumed.

These are patterns visible in estimates and prices, not confirmed causes. Information only, not investment advice.

Was RJF's earnings move already priced in?

Stocks often move in the weeks before a report. This compares that run-up with what happened after the report.

Avg move in the month before
+1.5%
last 12 reports
Higher before the report
67%
of the time
After a run-up of 3%+
Fell 60%
5 reports, avg +1.7%
After a drop of 3%+
Rose 75%
4 reports, avg +2.7%

“Month before” is the move over the 20 trading days up to the last close before the report. “Priced in” means the good news may already be in the price. A run-up of 5% or more is treated as large.

Before vs after each report

Grey: how the stock moved in the 20 trading days before the report. Green or red: how it moved the day after.

Past reports only: this shows what happened, not what will happen.

Does RJF hold its opening gap after earnings?

A gap is how far the stock opens from the previous close. A gap fades when the stock gives back at least half of it by the end of the day.

In 9 reports RJF opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 4 of 9 times (44%), and fully reversed 2 times. Gaps up faded 2 of 5; gaps down recovered 2 of 4.

  • Apr 22, 2026Faded
    Opened -1.5%, closed -0.7%
  • Oct 22, 2025Reversed
    Opened +3.9%, closed -0.6%
  • Jul 23, 2025Held
    Opened +1.6%, closed +3.7%
  • Apr 23, 2025Reversed
    Opened -1.2%, closed +1.4%
  • Jan 29, 2025Held
    Opened -1.1%, closed -0.8%
  • Oct 23, 2024Held
    Opened +5.4%, closed +7.3%
  • Apr 24, 2024Held
    Opened -3.6%, closed -4.4%
  • Jan 24, 2024Faded
    Opened +3.1%, closed +1.2%

Gap = opening price vs the previous close. Close = the end of the first session that reflected the report. Reports without a clear opening time are left out.

What the history says

  • RJF has beaten EPS estimates in 3 straight quarters (quarters where our data sources disagree are skipped).
  • It fell after 4 of its 7 EPS beats (57%): beating estimates has not been enough on its own.

RJF earnings history

Last 12 reported quarters with the stock's reaction.

Swipe sideways to see every column →

Report dateTimeEPS est.EPS actualSurprise1-day move3-day move
Jul 22, 2026After close$2.91$3.14+7.9%-1.11%+3.33%
Apr 22, 2026After close$2.71$2.72+0.4%-0.72%-0.14%
Jan 28, 2026After close$2.83$2.86sources differ-0.42%-0.58%
Oct 22, 2025After close$2.83$3.11+9.9%-0.58%-2.60%
Jul 23, 2025After close$2.36$2.18-7.6%+3.71%+4.07%
Apr 23, 2025After close$2.44$2.42-0.8%+1.43%+1.66%
Jan 29, 2025After close$2.69$2.93+8.9%-0.80%-3.51%
Oct 23, 2024After close$2.41$2.95+22.4%+7.31%+7.86%
Jul 24, 2024After close$2.33$2.39+2.6%+5.16%+2.90%
Apr 24, 2024After close$2.31$2.310.0%-4.38%-3.41%
Jan 24, 2024After close$2.26$2.40+6.2%+1.17%-0.23%
Oct 25, 2023After close$2.28$2.13-6.6%+4.98%+3.99%

Consensus for the next report: EPS $3.39, revenue $4.28B.

RJF Earnings FAQ

Answers computed from Raymond James Financial, Inc.'s reported history

RJF is scheduled to report on Oct 28, 2026, after the market closes. Analysts expect EPS of $3.39.

Over the last 11 quarters with a usable EPS surprise, RJF beat the consensus estimate 7 times (64%), missed 3 and landed in line 1. It has beaten estimates in each of the last 3 counted quarters. 1 quarter where our data sources disagree on beat versus miss are shown but not counted.

Across its last 12 quarters with a measured reaction, RJF moved an average of ±2.7% in the first session after reporting. It closed higher 50% of the time; the largest gain was 7.3% and the largest drop -4.4%.

RJF fell in the first session after 4 of its last 7 EPS beats (57%). A beat that was already priced in, or weaker guidance, can send a stock lower. In 3 of the 4 of those falls where price data is available, the stock had already risen before the report.

Across its last 12 quarters with price data, RJF moved an average of +1.5% in the 20 trading sessions before reporting and was higher in 67% of them. After a run-up of 3% or more (5 quarters), it fell the next day 60% of the time, averaging +1.7%. After a drop of 3% or more (4 quarters), it rose the next day 75% of the time, averaging +2.7%. This describes past reports; it is not a forecast.

In 9 reports RJF opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 4 of 9 times (44%), and fully reversed 2 times. A fade means the opening move was partly undone during the first session.

How we calculate these numbers

Reported EPS and estimates come from Yahoo Finance; report times, upcoming dates and revenue come from Finnhub. The 1-day move is the close-to-close change over the first session that reflects the report (the report-day close for after-close reports, the prior close for pre-market reports); reactions are left blank when the report time is unknown or looks inconsistent. The expected move is the price of the nearest at-the-money straddle that expires after the report divided by the share price, shown only when the quotes are liquid. Quarters where the two data sources disagree on beat versus miss are shown but never counted. Information only, not investment advice.