Polaris Inc.(PII)Earnings Date, History & Expected Move

Next report date, beat rate and options-implied move

Next report

Oct 27, 2026

PII is scheduled to report on Oct 27, 2026, before the market opens. Analysts expect EPS of $0.61.

Next report

Oct 27, 2026

In 3 days · before open

EPS beat rate

67%

8 of 12 quarters

Avg move after earnings

±6.0%

Up 25% of the time · last 12

Options-implied move

—

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EPS: Actual vs Estimate

Reported EPS against the consensus estimate, last 12 quarters.

Green beat or met, red missed, amber sources differ.

Stock Reaction After Earnings

Close-to-close move in the first session that reflected each report.

Dashed lines mark the average actual move (±6.0%).

Did the stock rise after good news?

The next-day move after each of its last 8 EPS beats and 3 misses.

When it beat expectations

8 reports

▲ Rose 3×

▼ Fell 5×

When it missed expectations

3 reports

▼ Fell 3×

In plain words: it beat expectations 8 times, but the stock still fell 5 of those 8 times.

Report by report

Jul '26
Beat
▼ -4.2%
Apr '26
Beat
▲ +8.9%
Jan '26
Beat
▼ -4.2%
Oct '25
Beat
▼ -5.3%
Jul '25
Beat
▲ +16.8%
Apr '25
Beat
▲ +0.3%
Jan '25
Beat
▼ -9.2%
Oct '24
Missed
▼ -9.9%
Jul '24
Missed
▼ -4.8%
Apr '24
Beat
▼ -1.9%
Jan '24
Missed
▼ -3.8%

Clear beats and misses with a known reaction only. What counts as a beat

After an EPS beat

+0.2%

average next-day move · up 38% of 8 times

After an EPS miss

-6.2%

average next-day move · up 0% of 3 times

Why did PII fall after beating earnings?

5 of PII's last 11 reactions went against the EPS result. What stands out in each:

PII beat EPS estimates in 8 quarters, and the stock still closed lower the next day 5 times. In 1 of the 5 where we have price data, the stock had already run up before the report.

Jul 28, 2026EPS beat +177.5%stock -4.2% next day
- It opened 2.5% higher, but sellers took over and it closed -4.2%.
Jan 27, 2026EPS beat +100.0%stock -4.2% next day
- It opened 7.0% lower as soon as trading resumed.
Oct 28, 2025EPS beat +78.3%stock -5.3% next day
- It had risen 19.6% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
- It opened 3.6% higher, but sellers took over and it closed -5.3%.
Jan 28, 2025EPS beat +2.2%stock -9.2% next day
- It opened 3.9% lower as soon as trading resumed.
Apr 23, 2024EPS beat +155.6%stock -1.9% next day
Nothing in the price and estimate numbers we track stands out for this one. Guidance and management comments are not part of our data.

Patterns in estimates and prices, not confirmed causes: how we read them.

Was PII's earnings move already priced in?

PII's move in the month before each of its last 12 reports, against what it did after.

Avg move in the month before

+1.6%

last 12 reports

Higher before the report

50%

of the time

After a run-up of 3%+

Fell 60%

5 reports, avg +2.3%

After a drop of 3%+

Rose 25%

4 reports, avg -2.1%

How the run-up is measured (a move of 5% or more counts as large).

Before vs after each report

Grey: the month before each of the last 12 reports. Green or red: the day after.

Past reports only. How the run-up is measured

Does PII hold its opening gap after earnings?

PII's opening move after each report and where it closed that day.

In 10 reports PII opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 4 of 10 times (40%), and fully reversed 3 times. Gaps up faded 3 of 4; gaps down recovered 1 of 6.

Jul 28, 2026Reversed
Opened +2.5%, closed -4.2%
Apr 28, 2026Reversed
Opened -3.6%, closed +8.9%
Jan 27, 2026Held
Opened -7.0%, closed -4.2%
Oct 28, 2025Reversed
Opened +3.6%, closed -5.3%
Jul 29, 2025Held
Opened +13.5%, closed +16.8%
Apr 29, 2025Faded
Opened +7.4%, closed +0.3%
Jan 28, 2025Held
Opened -3.9%, closed -9.2%
Jul 23, 2024Held
Opened -9.6%, closed -4.8%

How gaps, fades and reversals are defined

What the history says

PII has beaten EPS estimates in 7 straight quarters.
It fell after 5 of its 8 EPS beats (63%): beating estimates has not been enough on its own.

PII earnings history

Last 12 reported quarters with the stock's reaction.

Swipe sideways to see every column →

Report date	Time	EPS est.	EPS actual	Surprise	1-day move	3-day move
Jul 28, 2026	Before open	$0.71	$1.97	+177.5%	-4.16%	-8.71%
Apr 28, 2026	Before open	-$0.40	$0.13	+132.5%	+8.88%	+8.55%
Jan 27, 2026	Before open	$0.04	$0.08	+100.0%	-4.24%	-6.41%
Oct 28, 2025	Before open	$0.23	$0.41	+78.3%	-5.31%	-5.48%
Jul 29, 2025	Before open	-$0.02	$0.40	+2100.0%	+16.84%	+6.93%
Apr 29, 2025	Before open	-$0.91	-$0.90	+1.1%	+0.27%	+2.90%
Jan 28, 2025	Before open	$0.90	$0.92	+2.2%	-9.16%	-13.23%
Oct 22, 2024	Before open	$0.91	$0.73	-19.8%	-9.94%	-11.77%
Jul 23, 2024	Before open	$2.26	$1.38	-38.9%	-4.82%	-3.79%
Apr 23, 2024	Market hours	$0.09	$0.23	+155.6%	-1.93%	-5.58%
Jan 30, 2024	Before open	$2.60	$1.98	-23.8%	-3.79%	-2.23%
Oct 24, 2023	After close	$2.72	$2.72	0.0%	-2.97%	-4.74%

Consensus for the next report: EPS $0.61, revenue $1.93B.

PII Earnings FAQ

Answers computed from Polaris Inc.'s reported history

PII is scheduled to report on Oct 27, 2026, before the market opens. Analysts expect EPS of $0.61.

Over the last 12 quarters with a usable EPS surprise, PII beat the consensus estimate 8 times (67%), missed 3 and landed in line 1. It has beaten estimates in each of the last 7 counted quarters.

Across its last 12 quarters with a measured reaction, PII moved an average of ±6.0% in the first session after reporting. It closed higher 25% of the time; the largest gain was 16.8% and the largest drop -9.9%.

PII fell in the first session after 5 of its last 8 EPS beats (63%). A beat that was already priced in, or weaker guidance, can send a stock lower. In 1 of the 5 of those falls where price data is available, the stock had already risen before the report.

Across its last 12 quarters with price data, PII moved an average of +1.6% in the 20 trading sessions before reporting and was higher in 50% of them. After a run-up of 3% or more (5 quarters), it fell the next day 60% of the time, averaging +2.3%. After a drop of 3% or more (4 quarters), it rose the next day 25% of the time, averaging -2.1%. This describes past reports; it is not a forecast.

In 10 reports PII opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 4 of 10 times (40%), and fully reversed 3 times. A fade means the opening move was partly undone during the first session.

How we calculate these numbers · PII: 12 reported quarters, latest Jul 28, 2026. Information only, not investment advice.

Earnings this week

Every report this week with expected moves.

Biggest expected earnings moves

Options-implied vs historical move, ranked.