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Paccar Inc(PCAR)Earnings Date, History & Expected Move

Next report
Oct 27, 2026

PCAR is scheduled to report on Oct 27, 2026, before the market opens. Analysts expect EPS of $1.63.

Next report
Oct 27, 2026
In 3 days · before open
EPS beat rate
55%
6 of 11 quarters (+1 not counted)
Avg move after earnings
±4.5%
Up 42% of the time · last 12
Options-implied move
±5.9%
1.32x history · options look expensive
Options look expensive vs history (1.32x)
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EPS: Actual vs Estimate

Reported EPS against the consensus estimate, last 12 quarters.

Green beat or met, red missed, amber sources differ.

Stock Reaction After Earnings

Close-to-close move in the first session that reflected each report.

Dashed lines: average actual move (±4.5%) and what options price for the next report (±5.9%).

Did the stock rise after good news?

The next-day move after each of its last 6 EPS beats and 5 misses.

When it beat expectations
6 reports
When it missed expectations
5 reports

In plain words: it beat expectations 6 times, but the stock still fell 2 of those 6 times.

Report by report
  • Jul '26
    Beat
    ▲ +3.6%
  • Apr '26
    Missed
    ▼ -6.0%
  • Oct '25
    Missed
    ▲ +2.4%
  • Jul '25
    Beat
    ▲ +6.1%
  • Apr '25
    Missed
    ▼ -1.9%
  • Jan '25
    Missed
    ▼ -2.4%
  • Oct '24
    Beat
    ▼ -4.4%
  • Jul '24
    Missed
    ▼ -11.0%
  • Apr '24
    Beat
    ▼ -6.6%
  • Jan '24
    Beat
    ▲ +4.0%
  • Oct '23
    Beat
    ▲ +4.3%

Clear beats and misses with a known reaction only. What counts as a beat

After an EPS beat
+1.2%
average next-day move · up 67% of 6 times
After an EPS miss
-3.8%
average next-day move · up 20% of 5 times

Why did PCAR fall after beating earnings?

3 of PCAR's last 11 reactions went against the EPS result. What stands out in each:

PCAR beat EPS estimates in 6 quarters, and the stock still closed lower the next day 2 times.

  • Oct 22, 2024EPS beat +1.6%stock -4.4% next day
    • It had risen 11.0% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
    • The EPS beat was small (+1.6%).
    • It opened 3.1% lower as soon as trading resumed.
  • Apr 30, 2024EPS beat +4.1%stock -6.6% next day
    • It opened 5.0% lower as soon as trading resumed.

Rose despite an EPS miss (1 of 5)

  • Oct 21, 2025EPS missed -2.6%stock +2.4% next day
    • It opened 1.3% higher as soon as trading resumed.

Patterns in estimates and prices, not confirmed causes: how we read them.

Was PCAR's earnings move already priced in?

PCAR's move in the month before each of its last 12 reports, against what it did after.

Avg move in the month before
+3.1%
last 12 reports
Higher before the report
75%
of the time
After a run-up of 3%+
Fell 80%
5 reports, avg -2.1%
After a drop of 3%+
Rose 33%
3 reports, avg -1.4%

How the run-up is measured (a move of 5% or more counts as large).

Before vs after each report

Grey: the month before each of the last 12 reports. Green or red: the day after.

Past reports only. How the run-up is measured

Does PCAR hold its opening gap after earnings?

PCAR's opening move after each report and where it closed that day.

In 10 reports PCAR opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 3 of 10 times (30%), and fully reversed 1 time. Gaps up faded 0 of 3; gaps down recovered 3 of 7.

  • Jul 28, 2026Reversed
    Opened -1.1%, closed +3.6%
  • Jan 27, 2026Faded
    Opened -4.6%, closed -1.1%
  • Oct 21, 2025Held
    Opened +1.3%, closed +2.4%
  • Jul 22, 2025Held
    Opened +3.8%, closed +6.1%
  • Apr 29, 2025Faded
    Opened -5.8%, closed -1.9%
  • Jan 28, 2025Held
    Opened -3.4%, closed -2.4%
  • Oct 22, 2024Held
    Opened -3.1%, closed -4.4%
  • Jul 23, 2024Held
    Opened -9.6%, closed -11.0%

How gaps, fades and reversals are defined

What the history says

  • Options price a ±5.9% move, 1.32x its usual ±4.5%: the market expects more volatility than PCAR has typically delivered.

PCAR earnings history

Last 12 reported quarters with the stock's reaction.

Swipe sideways to see every column →

Report dateTimeEPS est.EPS actualSurprise1-day move3-day move
Jul 28, 2026Before open$1.36$1.43+5.1%+3.57%+0.24%
Apr 28, 2026Before open$1.16$1.15-0.9%-5.97%-6.60%
Jan 27, 2026Before open$1.05$1.06sources differ-1.06%+0.99%
Oct 21, 2025Before open$1.15$1.12-2.6%+2.43%+1.95%
Jul 22, 2025Before open$1.31$1.37+4.6%+6.10%+9.17%
Apr 29, 2025Before open$1.59$0.96-39.6%-1.90%-2.46%
Jan 28, 2025Before open$1.69$1.66-1.8%-2.42%+2.37%
Oct 22, 2024Before open$1.82$1.85+1.6%-4.40%-4.35%
Jul 23, 2024Before open$2.15$2.13-0.9%-10.97%-10.51%
Apr 30, 2024Before open$2.18$2.27+4.1%-6.63%-6.32%
Jan 23, 2024Before open$2.17$2.70+24.4%+4.04%+5.07%
Oct 24, 2023Before open$2.12$2.34+10.4%+4.27%+3.13%

Consensus for the next report: EPS $1.63, revenue $8.03B.

PCAR Earnings FAQ

Answers computed from Paccar Inc's reported history

PCAR is scheduled to report on Oct 27, 2026, before the market opens. Analysts expect EPS of $1.63.

Over the last 11 quarters with a usable EPS surprise, PCAR beat the consensus estimate 6 times (55%), missed 5 and landed in line 0. 1 quarter where our data sources disagree on beat versus miss are shown but not counted.

Across its last 12 quarters with a measured reaction, PCAR moved an average of ±4.5% in the first session after reporting. It closed higher 42% of the time; the largest gain was 6.1% and the largest drop -11.0%.

Options currently price a move of about ±5.9% (nearest at-the-money straddle that expires after the report). It measures the size of the expected move, not its direction. That is 1.32x its average historical move of ±4.5%, so options look expensive relative to history.

PCAR fell in the first session after 2 of its last 6 EPS beats (33%). A beat that was already priced in, or weaker guidance, can send a stock lower.

Across its last 12 quarters with price data, PCAR moved an average of +3.1% in the 20 trading sessions before reporting and was higher in 75% of them. After a run-up of 3% or more (5 quarters), it fell the next day 80% of the time, averaging -2.1%. After a drop of 3% or more (3 quarters), it rose the next day 33% of the time, averaging -1.4%. This describes past reports; it is not a forecast.

In 10 reports PCAR opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 3 of 10 times (30%), and fully reversed once. A fade means the opening move was partly undone during the first session.

How we calculate these numbers · PCAR: 12 reported quarters, latest Jul 28, 2026. Information only, not investment advice.

Earnings this week
Every report this week with expected moves.
Biggest expected earnings moves
Options-implied vs historical move, ranked.

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