Paychex Inc(PAYX)Earnings Date, History & Expected Move
Next report date, beat rate and options-implied move
PAYX has no upcoming report date in the calendar yet. It last reported on Sep 23, 2026; companies usually report every three months.
EPS: Actual vs Estimate
Reported EPS against the consensus estimate, last 12 quarters.
Green beat or met, red missed, amber sources differ.
Stock Reaction After Earnings
Close-to-close move in the first session that reflected each report.
Dashed lines mark the average actual move (±4.2%).
Did the stock rise after good news?
The next-day move after each of its last 11 EPS beats and 1 misses.
In plain words: it beat expectations 11 times, but the stock still fell 6 of those 11 times.
- Sep '26Beat▼ -8.8%
- Jun '26Beat▼ -1.7%
- Mar '26Beat▲ +3.0%
- Dec '25Beat▼ -1.7%
- Sep '25Beat▼ -1.4%
- Jun '25Missed▼ -9.4%
- Mar '25Beat▲ +4.2%
- Dec '24Beat▲ +1.4%
- Oct '24Beat▲ +4.9%
- Jun '24Beat▼ -6.1%
- Apr '24Beat▲ +0.4%
- Dec '23Beat▼ -7.0%
Clear beats and misses with a known reaction only. What counts as a beat
Why did PAYX fall after beating earnings?
6 of PAYX's last 12 reactions went against the EPS result. What stands out in each:
PAYX beat EPS estimates in 11 quarters, and the stock still closed lower the next day 6 times. In 1 of the 6 where we have price data, the stock had already run up before the report.
- Sep 23, 2026EPS beat +1.5%stock -8.8% next day
- The EPS beat was small (+1.5%).
- It opened 4.2% lower as soon as trading resumed.
- Jun 24, 2026EPS beat +0.8%stock -1.7% next day
- The EPS beat was small (+0.8%).
- Dec 19, 2025EPS beat +2.4%stock -1.7% next day
Nothing in the price and estimate numbers we track stands out for this one. Guidance and management comments are not part of our data.
- Sep 30, 2025EPS beat +1.7%stock -1.4% next day
- The EPS beat was small (+1.7%).
- It opened 5.4% lower as soon as trading resumed.
- Jun 26, 2024EPS beat +1.8%stock -6.1% next day
- The EPS beat was small (+1.8%).
- Dec 21, 2023EPS beat +0.9%stock -7.0% next day
- It had risen 8.0% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
- The EPS beat was small (+0.9%).
- It opened 4.4% lower as soon as trading resumed.
Patterns in estimates and prices, not confirmed causes: how we read them.
Was PAYX's earnings move already priced in?
PAYX's move in the month before each of its last 12 reports, against what it did after.
How the run-up is measured (a move of 5% or more counts as large).
Before vs after each report
Grey: the month before each of the last 12 reports. Green or red: the day after.
Past reports only. How the run-up is measured
Does PAYX hold its opening gap after earnings?
PAYX's opening move after each report and where it closed that day.
In 9 reports PAYX opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 3 of 9 times (33%), and fully reversed 1 time. Gaps up faded 1 of 4; gaps down recovered 2 of 5.
- Sep 23, 2026HeldOpened -4.2%, closed -8.8%
- Mar 25, 2026HeldOpened +5.1%, closed +3.0%
- Sep 30, 2025FadedOpened -5.4%, closed -1.4%
- Jun 25, 2025HeldOpened -4.6%, closed -9.4%
- Mar 26, 2025HeldOpened +3.2%, closed +4.2%
- Dec 19, 2024FadedOpened +3.7%, closed +1.4%
- Oct 1, 2024HeldOpened +2.6%, closed +4.9%
- Apr 2, 2024ReversedOpened -4.2%, closed +0.4%
What the history says
- PAYX has beaten EPS estimates in 5 straight quarters.
- It fell after 6 of its 11 EPS beats (55%): beating estimates has not been enough on its own.
PAYX earnings history
Last 12 reported quarters with the stock's reaction.
Swipe sideways to see every column →
| Report date | Time | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | 1-day move | 3-day move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | Before open | $1.32 | $1.34 | +1.5% | -8.77% | -11.49% |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Before open | $1.31 | $1.32 | +0.8% | -1.72% | +1.95% |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Before open | $1.67 | $1.71 | +2.4% | +3.04% | +1.18% |
| Dec 19, 2025 | Before open | $1.23 | $1.26 | +2.4% | -1.72% | -0.12% |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Before open | $1.20 | $1.22 | +1.7% | -1.38% | -3.98% |
| Jun 25, 2025 | Before open | $1.20 | $1.19 | -0.8% | -9.40% | -5.46% |
| Mar 26, 2025 | Before open | $1.48 | $1.49 | +0.7% | +4.20% | +4.79% |
| Dec 19, 2024 | Before open | $1.12 | $1.14 | +1.8% | +1.44% | +2.56% |
| Oct 1, 2024 | Before open | $1.14 | $1.16 | +1.8% | +4.92% | +3.85% |
| Jun 26, 2024 | Before open | $1.10 | $1.12 | +1.8% | -6.11% | -5.17% |
| Apr 2, 2024 | Before open | $1.37 | $1.38 | +0.7% | +0.38% | -1.34% |
| Dec 21, 2023 | Before open | $1.07 | $1.08 | +0.9% | -7.01% | -6.01% |
PAYX Earnings FAQ
Answers computed from Paychex Inc's reported history
PAYX has no upcoming report date in the calendar yet. It last reported on Sep 23, 2026; companies usually report every three months.
Over the last 12 quarters with a usable EPS surprise, PAYX beat the consensus estimate 11 times (92%), missed 1 and landed in line 0. It has beaten estimates in each of the last 5 counted quarters.
Across its last 12 quarters with a measured reaction, PAYX moved an average of ±4.2% in the first session after reporting. It closed higher 42% of the time; the largest gain was 4.9% and the largest drop -9.4%.
PAYX fell in the first session after 6 of its last 11 EPS beats (55%). A beat that was already priced in, or weaker guidance, can send a stock lower. In 1 of the 6 of those falls where price data is available, the stock had already risen before the report.
Across its last 12 quarters with price data, PAYX moved an average of -0.8% in the 20 trading sessions before reporting and was higher in 50% of them. After a drop of 3% or more (4 quarters), it rose the next day 50% of the time, averaging -1.1%. This describes past reports; it is not a forecast.
In 9 reports PAYX opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 3 of 9 times (33%), and fully reversed once. A fade means the opening move was partly undone during the first session.
How we calculate these numbers · PAYX: 12 reported quarters, latest Sep 23, 2026. Information only, not investment advice.
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