Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.(ODFL)Earnings Date, History & Expected Move
Next report date, beat rate and options-implied move
ODFL is scheduled to report on Oct 28, 2026, before the market opens. Analysts expect EPS of $1.65.
EPS: Actual vs Estimate
Reported EPS against the consensus estimate, last 12 quarters.
Green beat or met, red missed, amber sources differ.
Stock Reaction After Earnings
Close-to-close move in the first session that reflected each report.
Dashed lines: average actual move (±5.0%) and what options price for the next report (±5.4%).
Did the stock rise after good news?
The next-day move after each of its last 9 EPS beats and 1 misses.
In plain words: it beat expectations 9 times, but the stock still fell 5 of those 9 times.
- Jul '26Beat▼ -1.5%
- Apr '26Beat▼ -5.6%
- Feb '26Beat▲ +9.9%
- Oct '25Beat▲ +0.0%
- Jul '25Missed▼ -9.7%
- Apr '25Beat▲ +0.8%
- Feb '25Beat▲ +5.4%
- Oct '24Beat▼ -5.5%
- Jan '24Beat▼ -1.2%
- Oct '23Beat▼ -3.9%
Clear beats and misses with a known reaction only. What counts as a beat
Why did ODFL fall after beating earnings?
5 of ODFL's last 10 reactions went against the EPS result. What stands out in each:
ODFL beat EPS estimates in 9 quarters, and the stock still closed lower the next day 5 times. In 1 of the 5 where we have price data, the stock had already run up before the report.
- Jul 29, 2026EPS beat +9.8%stock -1.5% next day
- It opened 2.1% lower as soon as trading resumed.
- Apr 29, 2026EPS beat +8.6%stock -5.6% next day
- It had risen 16.9% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
- It opened 1.4% higher, but sellers took over and it closed -5.6%.
- Oct 23, 2024EPS beat +0.7%stock -5.5% next day
- The EPS beat was small (+0.7%).
- It opened 2.9% lower as soon as trading resumed.
- Jan 31, 2024EPS beat +3.5%stock -1.2% next day
- It opened 2.5% higher, but sellers took over and it closed -1.2%.
- Oct 25, 2023EPS beat +6.2%stock -3.9% next day
- It opened 1.2% higher, but sellers took over and it closed -3.9%.
Patterns in estimates and prices, not confirmed causes: how we read them.
Was ODFL's earnings move already priced in?
ODFL's move in the month before each of its last 11 reports, against what it did after.
How the run-up is measured (a move of 5% or more counts as large).
Before vs after each report
Grey: the month before each of the last 11 reports. Green or red: the day after.
Past reports only. How the run-up is measured
Does ODFL hold its opening gap after earnings?
ODFL's opening move after each report and where it closed that day.
In 10 reports ODFL opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 5 of 10 times (50%), and fully reversed 3 times. Gaps up faded 5 of 6; gaps down recovered 0 of 4.
- Jul 29, 2026HeldOpened -2.1%, closed -1.5%
- Apr 29, 2026ReversedOpened +1.4%, closed -5.6%
- Oct 29, 2025FadedOpened +4.4%, closed +0.0%
- Jul 30, 2025HeldOpened -5.9%, closed -9.7%
- Apr 23, 2025FadedOpened +4.6%, closed +0.8%
- Feb 5, 2025HeldOpened +6.6%, closed +5.4%
- Oct 23, 2024HeldOpened -2.9%, closed -5.5%
- Apr 24, 2024HeldOpened -5.1%, closed -11.0%
What the history says
- ODFL has beaten EPS estimates in 4 straight quarters.
- It fell after 5 of its 9 EPS beats (56%): beating estimates has not been enough on its own.
- Options price a ±5.4% move, in line with its usual ±5.0%.
ODFL earnings history
Last 12 reported quarters with the stock's reaction.
Swipe sideways to see every column →
| Report date | Time | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | 1-day move | 3-day move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Before open | $1.53 | $1.68 | +9.8% | -1.54% | -6.25% |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Before open | $1.05 | $1.14 | +8.6% | -5.60% | -7.20% |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Before open | $1.06 | $1.09 | +2.8% | +9.89% | +6.69% |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Before open | $1.22 | $1.28 | +4.9% | +0.03% | +3.18% |
| Jul 30, 2025 | Before open | $1.29 | $1.27 | -1.6% | -9.66% | -12.50% |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Before open | $1.14 | $1.19 | +4.4% | +0.76% | -3.51% |
| Feb 5, 2025 | Before open | $1.16 | $1.23 | +6.0% | +5.44% | +7.37% |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Before open | $1.42 | $1.43 | +0.7% | -5.45% | -0.88% |
| Jul 24, 2024 | Before open | $1.45 | $1.48 | +2.1% | — | — |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Before open | $1.34 | $1.34 | 0.0% | -11.05% | -16.81% |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Before open | $1.42 | $1.47 | +3.5% | -1.23% | +3.24% |
| Oct 25, 2023 | Before open | $1.46 | $1.55 | +6.2% | -3.86% | -4.52% |
Consensus for the next report: EPS $1.65, revenue $1.59B.
ODFL Earnings FAQ
Answers computed from Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.'s reported history
ODFL is scheduled to report on Oct 28, 2026, before the market opens. Analysts expect EPS of $1.65.
Over the last 12 quarters with a usable EPS surprise, ODFL beat the consensus estimate 10 times (83%), missed 1 and landed in line 1. It has beaten estimates in each of the last 4 counted quarters.
Across its last 11 quarters with a measured reaction, ODFL moved an average of ±5.0% in the first session after reporting. It closed higher 36% of the time; the largest gain was 9.9% and the largest drop -11.1%.
Options currently price a move of about ±5.4% (nearest at-the-money straddle that expires after the report). It measures the size of the expected move, not its direction. That is 1.09x its average historical move of ±5.0%, so options look fairly priced relative to history.
ODFL fell in the first session after 5 of its last 9 EPS beats (56%). A beat that was already priced in, or weaker guidance, can send a stock lower. In 1 of the 5 of those falls where price data is available, the stock had already risen before the report.
Across its last 11 quarters with price data, ODFL moved an average of +1.7% in the 20 trading sessions before reporting and was higher in 55% of them. After a drop of 3% or more (3 quarters), it rose the next day 67% of the time, averaging -1.0%. This describes past reports; it is not a forecast.
In 10 reports ODFL opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 5 of 10 times (50%), and fully reversed 3 times. A fade means the opening move was partly undone during the first session.
How we calculate these numbers · ODFL: 12 reported quarters, latest Jul 29, 2026. Information only, not investment advice.
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