Orange County Bancorp, Inc.(OBT)Earnings Date, History & Expected Move

Next report date, beat rate and options-implied move

Next report

Oct 27, 2026

OBT is scheduled to report on Oct 27, 2026, usually after the market closes. Analysts expect EPS of $0.85.

Next report

Oct 27, 2026

In 3 days · usually after close

EPS beat rate

83%

10 of 12 quarters

Avg move after earnings

±4.4%

Up 50% of the time · last 12

Options-implied move

—

No reliable options quote yet

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EPS: Actual vs Estimate

Reported EPS against the consensus estimate, last 12 quarters.

Green beat or met, red missed, amber sources differ.

Stock Reaction After Earnings

Close-to-close move in the first session that reflected each report.

Dashed lines mark the average actual move (±4.4%).

Did the stock rise after good news?

The next-day move after each of its last 10 EPS beats and 2 misses.

When it beat expectations

10 reports

▲ Rose 6×

▼ Fell 4×

When it missed expectations

2 reports

▼ Fell 2×

In plain words: it beat expectations 10 times, but the stock still fell 4 of those 10 times.

Report by report

Jul '26
Beat
▼ -0.8%
Apr '26
Beat
▼ -6.1%
Feb '26
Beat
▲ +4.6%
Oct '25
Beat
▲ +1.4%
Jul '25
Beat
▼ -1.8%
Apr '25
Beat
▲ +2.4%
Feb '25
Missed
▼ -1.1%
Oct '24
Missed
▼ -7.3%
Jul '24
Beat
▼ -9.7%
May '24
Beat
▲ +8.2%
Feb '24
Beat
▲ +4.5%
Oct '23
Beat
▲ +4.6%

Clear beats and misses with a known reaction only. What counts as a beat

After an EPS beat

+0.7%

average next-day move · up 60% of 10 times

After an EPS miss

-4.2%

average next-day move · up 0% of 2 times

Why did OBT fall after beating earnings?

4 of OBT's last 12 reactions went against the EPS result. What stands out in each:

OBT beat EPS estimates in 10 quarters, and the stock still closed lower the next day 4 times. In 3 of the 4 where we have price data, the stock had already run up before the report.

Jul 28, 2026EPS beat +27.5%stock -0.8% next day
- It had risen 3.3% in the final week before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
Apr 28, 2026EPS beat +9.0%stock -6.1% next day
- It had risen 12.4% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
Jul 30, 2025EPS beat +26.1%stock -1.8% next day
Nothing in the price and estimate numbers we track stands out for this one. Guidance and management comments are not part of our data.
Jul 31, 2024EPS beat +4.3%stock -9.7% next day
- It had risen 24.2% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
- It opened 1.5% higher, but sellers took over and it closed -9.7%.

Patterns in estimates and prices, not confirmed causes: how we read them.

Was OBT's earnings move already priced in?

OBT's move in the month before each of its last 12 reports, against what it did after.

Avg move in the month before

+2.2%

last 12 reports

Higher before the report

58%

of the time

After a run-up of 3%+

Fell 80%

5 reports, avg -3.9%

After a drop of 3%+

Rose 67%

3 reports, avg +1.4%

How the run-up is measured (a move of 5% or more counts as large).

Before vs after each report

Grey: the month before each of the last 12 reports. Green or red: the day after.

Past reports only. How the run-up is measured

Does OBT hold its opening gap after earnings?

OBT's opening move after each report and where it closed that day.

In 8 reports OBT opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 1 of 8 times (13%), and fully reversed 1 time. Gaps up faded 1 of 6; gaps down recovered 0 of 2.

Feb 4, 2026Held
Opened +4.2%, closed +4.6%
Oct 30, 2025Held
Opened +1.7%, closed +1.4%
Apr 30, 2025Held
Opened +1.9%, closed +2.4%
Feb 5, 2025Held
Opened -1.5%, closed -1.1%
Oct 30, 2024Held
Opened -3.2%, closed -7.3%
Jul 31, 2024Reversed
Opened +1.5%, closed -9.7%
May 1, 2024Held
Opened +3.1%, closed +8.2%
Oct 25, 2023Held
Opened +2.5%, closed +4.6%

How gaps, fades and reversals are defined

What the history says

OBT has beaten EPS estimates in 6 straight quarters.
It fell after 4 of its 10 EPS beats (40%): beating estimates has not been enough on its own.

OBT earnings history

Last 12 reported quarters with the stock's reaction.

Swipe sideways to see every column →

Report date	Time	EPS est.	EPS actual	Surprise	1-day move	3-day move
Jul 28, 2026	After close	$0.80	$1.02	+27.5%	-0.80%	-1.62%
Apr 28, 2026	After close	$0.78	$0.85	+9.0%	-6.15%	-5.98%
Feb 4, 2026	After close	$0.74	$0.93	+25.7%	+4.64%	+9.21%
Oct 30, 2025	Before open	$0.71	$0.75	+5.6%	+1.41%	+5.46%
Jul 30, 2025	After close	$0.69	$0.87	+26.1%	-1.85%	-4.12%
Apr 30, 2025	After close	$0.67	$0.77	+14.9%	+2.36%	+9.69%
Feb 5, 2025	After close	$0.70	$0.63	-10.0%	-1.06%	-1.36%
Oct 30, 2024	After close	$0.75	$0.28	-62.7%	-7.26%	-6.64%
Jul 31, 2024	After close	$0.70	$0.73	+4.3%	-9.74%	-16.82%
May 1, 2024	After close	$0.67	$0.83	+23.9%	+8.22%	+14.26%
Feb 1, 2024	Market hours	$0.67	$0.72	+7.5%	+4.49%	-8.61%
Oct 25, 2023	After close	$0.66	$0.81	+22.7%	+4.58%	+2.21%

Consensus for the next report: EPS $0.85, revenue $34.10M.

OBT Earnings FAQ

Answers computed from Orange County Bancorp, Inc.'s reported history

OBT is scheduled to report on Oct 27, 2026, usually after the market closes. Analysts expect EPS of $0.85.

Over the last 12 quarters with a usable EPS surprise, OBT beat the consensus estimate 10 times (83%), missed 2 and landed in line 0. It has beaten estimates in each of the last 6 counted quarters.

Across its last 12 quarters with a measured reaction, OBT moved an average of ±4.4% in the first session after reporting. It closed higher 50% of the time; the largest gain was 8.2% and the largest drop -9.7%.

OBT fell in the first session after 4 of its last 10 EPS beats (40%). A beat that was already priced in, or weaker guidance, can send a stock lower. In 3 of the 4 of those falls where price data is available, the stock had already risen before the report.

Across its last 12 quarters with price data, OBT moved an average of +2.2% in the 20 trading sessions before reporting and was higher in 58% of them. After a run-up of 3% or more (5 quarters), it fell the next day 80% of the time, averaging -3.9%. After a drop of 3% or more (3 quarters), it rose the next day 67% of the time, averaging +1.4%. This describes past reports; it is not a forecast.

In 8 reports OBT opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 1 of 8 times (13%), and fully reversed once. A fade means the opening move was partly undone during the first session.

How we calculate these numbers · OBT: 12 reported quarters, latest Jul 28, 2026. Information only, not investment advice.

Earnings this week

Every report this week with expected moves.

Biggest expected earnings moves

Options-implied vs historical move, ranked.