Orchestra BioMed Holdings, Inc.(OBIO)Earnings Date, History & Expected Move

Next report
Nov 16, 2026

OBIO is scheduled to report on Nov 16, 2026, usually after the market closes. Analysts expect EPS of -$0.41.

Next report
Nov 16, 2026
In 23 days · usually after close
EPS beat rate
58%
7 of 12 quarters
Avg move after earnings
±9.3%
Up 60% of the time · last 10
Options-implied move
—
No reliable options quote yet

EPS: Actual vs Estimate

Reported EPS against the consensus estimate, last 12 quarters.

Green beat or met, red missed, amber sources differ.

Stock Reaction After Earnings

Close-to-close move in the first session that reflected each report.

Dashed lines mark the average actual move (±9.3%).

Did the stock rise after good news?

The next-day move after each of its last 6 EPS beats and 3 misses.

When it beat expectations
6 reports
When it missed expectations
3 reports

In plain words: it beat expectations 6 times, but the stock still fell 2 of those 6 times.

Report by report
  • Mar '26
    Beat
    ▼ -4.8%
  • Nov '25
    Beat
    ▲ +8.5%
  • Aug '25
    Beat
    ▲ +7.9%
  • May '25
    Missed
    ▲ +10.9%
  • Mar '25
    Missed
    ▼ -24.3%
  • Nov '24
    Beat
    ▲ +7.2%
  • Aug '24
    Missed
    ▼ -2.5%
  • Mar '24
    Beat
    ▼ -0.7%
  • Nov '23
    Beat
    ▲ +13.1%

Clear beats and misses with a known reaction only. What counts as a beat

After an EPS beat
+5.2%
average next-day move · up 67% of 6 times
After an EPS miss
-5.3%
average next-day move · up 33% of 3 times

Why did OBIO fall after beating earnings?

3 of OBIO's last 9 reactions went against the EPS result. What stands out in each:

OBIO beat EPS estimates in 6 quarters, and the stock still closed lower the next day 2 times.

  • Mar 12, 2026EPS beat +168.4%stock -4.8% next day
    • It had risen 10.3% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
  • Mar 27, 2024EPS beat +5.9%stock -0.7% next day
    • It opened 1.2% lower as soon as trading resumed.

Rose despite an EPS miss (1 of 3)

  • May 12, 2025EPS missed -2.1%stock +10.9% next day
    • It had already fallen 11.1% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so weak results may have been expected.
    • It opened 2.6% higher as soon as trading resumed.

Patterns in estimates and prices, not confirmed causes: how we read them.

Was OBIO's earnings move already priced in?

OBIO's move in the month before each of its last 10 reports, against what it did after.

Avg move in the month before
-2.8%
last 10 reports
Higher before the report
50%
of the time
After a run-up of 3%+
Fell 40%
5 reports, avg -0.1%
After a drop of 3%+
Rose 60%
5 reports, avg +5.8%

How the run-up is measured (a move of 5% or more counts as large).

Before vs after each report

Grey: the month before each of the last 10 reports. Green or red: the day after.

Past reports only. How the run-up is measured

Does OBIO hold its opening gap after earnings?

OBIO's opening move after each report and where it closed that day.

In 7 reports OBIO opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 2 of 7 times (29%), and fully reversed 2 times. Gaps up faded 1 of 4; gaps down recovered 1 of 3.

  • Aug 12, 2025Held
    Opened +3.2%, closed +7.9%
  • May 12, 2025Held
    Opened +2.6%, closed +10.9%
  • Mar 31, 2025Held
    Opened -9.8%, closed -24.3%
  • Nov 12, 2024Held
    Opened +5.8%, closed +7.2%
  • Aug 12, 2024Reversed
    Opened +2.3%, closed -2.5%
  • Mar 27, 2024Held
    Opened -1.2%, closed -0.7%
  • Nov 13, 2023Reversed
    Opened -4.0%, closed +13.1%

How gaps, fades and reversals are defined

OBIO earnings history

Last 12 reported quarters with the stock's reaction.

Swipe sideways to see every column →

Report dateTimeEPS est.EPS actualSurprise1-day move3-day move
Aug 10, 2026After close-$0.37-$0.370.0%——
Mar 12, 2026Before open-$0.38$0.26+168.4%-4.78%-1.09%
Nov 10, 2025After close-$0.43-$0.40+7.0%+8.47%+10.58%
Aug 12, 2025Before open-$0.51-$0.50+2.0%+7.94%+5.56%
May 12, 2025After close-$0.48-$0.49-2.1%+10.94%+9.06%
Mar 31, 2025After close-$0.42-$0.43-2.4%-24.30%-27.34%
Nov 12, 2024After close-$0.44-$0.41+6.8%+7.24%+3.18%
Aug 12, 2024After close-$0.40-$0.45-12.5%-2.46%-0.82%
May 13, 2024After close-$0.38-$0.380.0%+13.04%+0.43%
Mar 27, 2024After close-$0.34-$0.32+5.9%-0.66%-5.00%
Nov 13, 2023After close-$0.39-$0.38+2.6%+13.08%+15.56%
Aug 10, 2023After close-$0.41-$0.35+14.6%——

Consensus for the next report: EPS -$0.41, revenue $108,120.00.

OBIO Earnings FAQ

Answers computed from Orchestra BioMed Holdings, Inc.'s reported history

OBIO is scheduled to report on Nov 16, 2026, usually after the market closes. Analysts expect EPS of -$0.41.

Over the last 12 quarters with a usable EPS surprise, OBIO beat the consensus estimate 7 times (58%), missed 3 and landed in line 2.

Across its last 10 quarters with a measured reaction, OBIO moved an average of ±9.3% in the first session after reporting. It closed higher 60% of the time; the largest gain was 13.1% and the largest drop -24.3%.

OBIO fell in the first session after 2 of its last 6 EPS beats (33%). A beat that was already priced in, or weaker guidance, can send a stock lower.

Across its last 10 quarters with price data, OBIO moved an average of -2.8% in the 20 trading sessions before reporting and was higher in 50% of them. After a run-up of 3% or more (5 quarters), it fell the next day 40% of the time, averaging -0.1%. After a drop of 3% or more (5 quarters), it rose the next day 60% of the time, averaging +5.8%. This describes past reports; it is not a forecast.

In 7 reports OBIO opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 2 of 7 times (29%), and fully reversed 2 times. A fade means the opening move was partly undone during the first session.

How we calculate these numbers · OBIO: 12 reported quarters, latest Aug 10, 2026. Information only, not investment advice.

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