MultiSensor AI Holdings, Inc.(MSAI)Earnings Date, History & Expected Move

Next report
Nov 18, 2026

MSAI is scheduled to report on Nov 18, 2026, usually after the market closes. Analysts expect EPS of -$1.25.

Next report
Nov 18, 2026
In 25 days · usually after close
EPS beat rate
57%
4 of 7 quarters
Avg move after earnings
±8.0%
Up 22% of the time · last 9
Options-implied move
—
No reliable options quote yet

EPS: Actual vs Estimate

Reported EPS against the consensus estimate, last 9 quarters.

Green beat or met, red missed, amber sources differ.

Stock Reaction After Earnings

Close-to-close move in the first session that reflected each report.

Dashed lines mark the average actual move (±8.0%).

Did the stock rise after good news?

The next-day move after each of its last 4 EPS beats and 3 misses.

When it beat expectations
4 reports
When it missed expectations
3 reports

In plain words: it beat expectations 4 times, but the stock still fell 3 of those 4 times.

Report by report
  • Aug '26
    Beat
    ▼ -9.5%
  • May '26
    Beat
    ▲ +7.5%
  • Nov '25
    Beat
    ▼ -17.8%
  • Aug '25
    Beat
    ▼ -6.7%
  • Nov '24
    Missed
    ▼ -6.3%
  • Aug '24
    Missed
    ▲ +1.3%
  • May '24
    Missed
    ▼ -1.5%

Clear beats and misses with a known reaction only. What counts as a beat

After an EPS beat
-6.6%
average next-day move · up 25% of 4 times
After an EPS miss
-2.2%
average next-day move · up 33% of 3 times

Why did MSAI fall after beating earnings?

4 of MSAI's last 7 reactions went against the EPS result. What stands out in each:

MSAI beat EPS estimates in 4 quarters, and the stock still closed lower the next day 3 times. In 3 of the 3 where we have price data, the stock had already run up before the report.

  • Aug 13, 2026EPS beat +9.2%stock -9.5% next day
    • It had risen 6.7% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
    • It opened 3.8% higher, but sellers took over and it closed -9.5%.
  • Nov 13, 2025EPS beat +52.2%stock -17.8% next day
    • It had risen 110.6% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
    • It opened 9.6% lower as soon as trading resumed.
  • Aug 13, 2025EPS beat +13.5%stock -6.7% next day
    • It had risen 4.6% in the final week before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
    • It opened 4.4% lower as soon as trading resumed.

Rose despite an EPS miss (1 of 3)

  • Aug 14, 2024EPS missed -438.8%stock +1.3% next day
    • It opened 4.5% higher as soon as trading resumed.

Patterns in estimates and prices, not confirmed causes: how we read them.

Was MSAI's earnings move already priced in?

MSAI's move in the month before each of its last 9 reports, against what it did after.

Avg move in the month before
+12.4%
last 9 reports
Higher before the report
56%
of the time
After a run-up of 3%+
Fell 100%
4 reports, avg -8.9%

How the run-up is measured (a move of 5% or more counts as large).

Before vs after each report

Grey: the month before each of the last 9 reports. Green or red: the day after.

Past reports only. How the run-up is measured

Does MSAI hold its opening gap after earnings?

MSAI's opening move after each report and where it closed that day.

In 8 reports MSAI opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 3 of 8 times (38%), and fully reversed 1 time. Gaps up faded 2 of 3; gaps down recovered 1 of 5.

  • Aug 13, 2026Reversed
    Opened +3.8%, closed -9.5%
  • May 13, 2026Held
    Opened +1.0%, closed +7.5%
  • Nov 13, 2025Held
    Opened -9.6%, closed -17.8%
  • Aug 13, 2025Held
    Opened -4.4%, closed -6.7%
  • May 13, 2025Faded
    Opened -8.9%, closed -4.0%
  • Mar 28, 2025Held
    Opened -7.1%, closed -17.0%
  • Aug 14, 2024Faded
    Opened +4.5%, closed +1.3%
  • May 15, 2024Held
    Opened -1.5%, closed -1.5%

How gaps, fades and reversals are defined

What the history says

  • MSAI has beaten EPS estimates in 4 straight quarters.
  • It fell after 3 of its 4 EPS beats (75%): beating estimates has not been enough on its own.

MSAI earnings history

Last 9 reported quarters with the stock's reaction.

Swipe sideways to see every column →

Report dateTimeEPS est.EPS actualSurprise1-day move3-day move
Aug 13, 2026After close-$1.20-$1.09+9.2%-9.53%-2.43%
May 13, 2026After close-$1.60-$1.15+28.1%+7.55%-1.80%
Nov 13, 2025After close-$3.60-$1.72+52.2%-17.76%-22.90%
Aug 13, 2025After close-$4.00-$3.46+13.5%-6.66%-7.26%
May 13, 2025After close—-$5.67—-4.05%-1.57%
Mar 28, 2025After close—-$1.60—-16.96%-12.41%
Nov 12, 2024After close-$0.80-$8.44-955.0%-6.26%-15.90%
Aug 14, 2024After close-$3.20-$17.24-438.8%+1.27%+43.95%
May 15, 2024After close-$2.00-$8.69-334.5%-1.52%-4.92%

Consensus for the next report: EPS -$1.25, revenue $2.14M.

MSAI Earnings FAQ

Answers computed from MultiSensor AI Holdings, Inc.'s reported history

MSAI is scheduled to report on Nov 18, 2026, usually after the market closes. Analysts expect EPS of -$1.25.

Over the last 7 quarters with a usable EPS surprise, MSAI beat the consensus estimate 4 times (57%), missed 3 and landed in line 0. It has beaten estimates in each of the last 4 counted quarters.

Across its last 9 quarters with a measured reaction, MSAI moved an average of ±8.0% in the first session after reporting. It closed higher 22% of the time; the largest gain was 7.6% and the largest drop -17.8%.

MSAI fell in the first session after 3 of its last 4 EPS beats (75%). A beat that was already priced in, or weaker guidance, can send a stock lower. In 3 of the 3 of those falls where price data is available, the stock had already risen before the report.

Across its last 9 quarters with price data, MSAI moved an average of +12.4% in the 20 trading sessions before reporting and was higher in 56% of them. After a run-up of 3% or more (4 quarters), it fell the next day 100% of the time, averaging -8.9%. This describes past reports; it is not a forecast.

In 8 reports MSAI opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 3 of 8 times (38%), and fully reversed once. A fade means the opening move was partly undone during the first session.

How we calculate these numbers · MSAI: 9 reported quarters, latest Aug 13, 2026. Information only, not investment advice.

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