MP Materials Corp. / DE(MP)Earnings Date, History & Expected Move

Next report date, beat rate and options-implied move

Next report

Nov 5, 2026

MP is scheduled to report on Nov 5, 2026, usually after the market closes. Analysts expect EPS of -$0.01.

Next report

Nov 5, 2026

In 12 days · usually after close

EPS beat rate

70%

7 of 10 quarters

Avg move after earnings

±5.8%

Up 36% of the time · last 11

Options-implied move

—

No reliable options quote yet

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EPS: Actual vs Estimate

Reported EPS against the consensus estimate, last 12 quarters.

Green beat or met, red missed, amber sources differ.

Stock Reaction After Earnings

Close-to-close move in the first session that reflected each report.

Dashed lines mark the average actual move (±5.8%).

Did the stock rise after good news?

The next-day move after each of its last 7 EPS beats and 2 misses.

When it beat expectations

7 reports

▲ Rose 3×

▼ Fell 4×

When it missed expectations

2 reports

▼ Fell 2×

In plain words: it beat expectations 7 times, but the stock still fell 4 of those 7 times.

Report by report

May '26
Beat
▼ -2.5%
Feb '26
Beat
▼ -1.9%
Nov '25
Beat
▲ +12.8%
Aug '25
Beat
▲ +4.6%
Feb '25
Beat
▲ +4.8%
Nov '24
Beat
▼ -2.4%
Aug '24
Missed
▼ -11.9%
May '24
Missed
▼ -3.4%
Feb '24
Beat
▼ -4.2%

Clear beats and misses with a known reaction only. What counts as a beat

After an EPS beat

+1.6%

average next-day move · up 43% of 7 times

After an EPS miss

-7.7%

average next-day move · up 0% of 2 times

Why did MP fall after beating earnings?

4 of MP's last 9 reactions went against the EPS result. What stands out in each:

MP beat EPS estimates in 7 quarters, and the stock still closed lower the next day 4 times. In 2 of the 4 where we have price data, the stock had already run up before the report.

May 7, 2026EPS beat +175.0%stock -2.5% next day
- It had risen 28.3% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
- It opened 6.6% higher, but sellers took over and it closed -2.5%.
Feb 26, 2026EPS beat +350.0%stock -1.9% next day
- It opened 1.9% lower as soon as trading resumed.
Nov 7, 2024EPS beat +7.7%stock -2.4% next day
- It had risen 15.0% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
Feb 22, 2024EPS beat +33.3%stock -4.2% next day
- It opened 1.5% lower as soon as trading resumed.

Patterns in estimates and prices, not confirmed causes: how we read them.

Was MP's earnings move already priced in?

MP's move in the month before each of its last 11 reports, against what it did after.

Avg move in the month before

+5.4%

last 11 reports

Higher before the report

55%

of the time

After a run-up of 3%+

Fell 60%

5 reports, avg +0.2%

After a drop of 3%+

Rose 50%

4 reports, avg +1.7%

How the run-up is measured (a move of 5% or more counts as large).

Before vs after each report

Grey: the month before each of the last 11 reports. Green or red: the day after.

Past reports only. How the run-up is measured

Does MP hold its opening gap after earnings?

MP's opening move after each report and where it closed that day.

In 8 reports MP opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 2 of 8 times (25%), and fully reversed 2 times. Gaps up faded 1 of 4; gaps down recovered 1 of 4.

Aug 6, 2026Held
Opened +6.7%, closed +7.6%
May 7, 2026Reversed
Opened +6.6%, closed -2.5%
Feb 26, 2026Held
Opened -1.9%, closed -1.9%
Nov 6, 2025Reversed
Opened -2.8%, closed +12.8%
Aug 7, 2025Held
Opened +8.3%, closed +4.6%
Feb 20, 2025Held
Opened +6.0%, closed +4.8%
Aug 1, 2024Held
Opened -2.8%, closed -11.9%
Feb 22, 2024Held
Opened -1.5%, closed -4.2%

How gaps, fades and reversals are defined

What the history says

MP has beaten EPS estimates in 4 straight quarters.
It fell after 4 of its 7 EPS beats (57%): beating estimates has not been enough on its own.

MP earnings history

Last 12 reported quarters with the stock's reaction.

Swipe sideways to see every column →

Report date	Time	EPS est.	EPS actual	Surprise	1-day move	3-day move
Aug 6, 2026	After close	—	-$0.01	—	+7.62%	+16.32%
May 7, 2026	After close	-$0.04	$0.03	+175.0%	-2.46%	-5.12%
Feb 26, 2026	After close	$0.02	$0.09	+350.0%	-1.88%	+2.33%
Nov 6, 2025	After close	-$0.16	-$0.10	+37.5%	+12.80%	+19.25%
Aug 7, 2025	After close	-$0.20	-$0.13	+35.0%	+4.57%	+5.46%
May 8, 2025	After close	-$0.12	-$0.12	0.0%	-7.97%	-12.91%
Feb 20, 2025	After close	-$0.13	-$0.12	+7.7%	+4.83%	+1.64%
Nov 7, 2024	After close	-$0.13	-$0.12	+7.7%	-2.40%	-0.65%
Aug 1, 2024	After close	-$0.09	-$0.17	-88.9%	-11.91%	-13.41%
May 2, 2024	After close	-$0.03	-$0.04	-33.3%	-3.45%	+1.50%
Feb 22, 2024	After close	-$0.03	-$0.02	+33.3%	-4.21%	-0.26%
Nov 2, 2023	After close	—	$0.04	—	—	—

Consensus for the next report: EPS -$0.01, revenue $120.18M.

MP Earnings FAQ

Answers computed from MP Materials Corp. / DE's reported history

MP is scheduled to report on Nov 5, 2026, usually after the market closes. Analysts expect EPS of -$0.01.

Over the last 10 quarters with a usable EPS surprise, MP beat the consensus estimate 7 times (70%), missed 2 and landed in line 1. It has beaten estimates in each of the last 4 counted quarters.

Across its last 11 quarters with a measured reaction, MP moved an average of ±5.8% in the first session after reporting. It closed higher 36% of the time; the largest gain was 12.8% and the largest drop -11.9%.

MP fell in the first session after 4 of its last 7 EPS beats (57%). A beat that was already priced in, or weaker guidance, can send a stock lower. In 2 of the 4 of those falls where price data is available, the stock had already risen before the report.

Across its last 11 quarters with price data, MP moved an average of +5.4% in the 20 trading sessions before reporting and was higher in 55% of them. After a run-up of 3% or more (5 quarters), it fell the next day 60% of the time, averaging +0.2%. After a drop of 3% or more (4 quarters), it rose the next day 50% of the time, averaging +1.7%. This describes past reports; it is not a forecast.

In 8 reports MP opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 2 of 8 times (25%), and fully reversed 2 times. A fade means the opening move was partly undone during the first session.

How we calculate these numbers · MP: 12 reported quarters, latest Aug 6, 2026. Information only, not investment advice.

Earnings this week

Every report this week with expected moves.

Biggest expected earnings moves

Options-implied vs historical move, ranked.