Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp(MGY)Earnings Date, History & Expected Move

Next report
Nov 4, 2026

MGY is scheduled to report on Nov 4, 2026, after the market closes. Analysts expect EPS of $0.60.

Next report
Nov 4, 2026
In 11 days · after close
EPS beat rate
67%
8 of 12 quarters
Avg move after earnings
±2.9%
Up 64% of the time · last 11
Options-implied move
—
No reliable options quote yet

EPS: Actual vs Estimate

Reported EPS against the consensus estimate, last 12 quarters.

Green beat or met, red missed, amber sources differ.

Stock Reaction After Earnings

Close-to-close move in the first session that reflected each report.

Dashed lines mark the average actual move (±2.9%).

Did the stock rise after good news?

The next-day move after each of its last 7 EPS beats and 3 misses.

When it beat expectations
7 reports
When it missed expectations
3 reports

In plain words: it beat expectations 7 times, but the stock still fell 2 of those 7 times.

Report by report
  • Aug '26
    Beat
    ▲ +4.3%
  • Feb '26
    Beat
    ▲ +3.0%
  • Jul '25
    Beat
    ▼ -2.3%
  • Apr '25
    Missed
    ▲ +2.7%
  • Feb '25
    Beat
    ▲ +1.5%
  • Oct '24
    Beat
    ▼ -1.1%
  • Jul '24
    Missed
    ▼ -6.2%
  • May '24
    Beat
    ▲ +0.5%
  • Feb '24
    Missed
    ▲ +4.7%
  • Nov '23
    Beat
    ▲ +3.5%

Clear beats and misses with a known reaction only. What counts as a beat

After an EPS beat
+1.3%
average next-day move · up 71% of 7 times
After an EPS miss
+0.4%
average next-day move · up 67% of 3 times

Why did MGY fall after beating earnings?

4 of MGY's last 10 reactions went against the EPS result. What stands out in each:

MGY beat EPS estimates in 7 quarters, and the stock still closed lower the next day 2 times.

  • Jul 30, 2025EPS beat +5.0%stock -2.3% next day
    • It had risen 6.9% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
  • Oct 30, 2024EPS beat +10.4%stock -1.1% next day
    • It opened 1.7% higher, but sellers took over and it closed -1.1%.

Rose despite an EPS miss (2 of 3)

  • Apr 30, 2025EPS missed -1.9%stock +2.7% next day
    • It had already fallen 19.5% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so weak results may have been expected.
    • The EPS miss was small (-1.9%).
    • It opened 1.9% higher as soon as trading resumed.
  • Feb 14, 2024EPS missed -15.1%stock +4.7% next day
    • It opened 2.1% higher as soon as trading resumed.

Patterns in estimates and prices, not confirmed causes: how we read them.

Was MGY's earnings move already priced in?

MGY's move in the month before each of its last 11 reports, against what it did after.

Avg move in the month before
+0.1%
last 11 reports
Higher before the report
55%
of the time
After a run-up of 3%+
Fell 40%
5 reports, avg +0.5%
After a drop of 3%+
Rose 80%
5 reports, avg +1.3%

How the run-up is measured (a move of 5% or more counts as large).

Before vs after each report

Grey: the month before each of the last 11 reports. Green or red: the day after.

Past reports only. How the run-up is measured

Does MGY hold its opening gap after earnings?

MGY's opening move after each report and where it closed that day.

In 7 reports MGY opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 2 of 7 times (29%), and fully reversed 2 times.

  • Aug 5, 2026Held
    Opened +6.5%, closed +4.3%
  • Feb 5, 2026Held
    Opened +4.8%, closed +3.0%
  • Apr 30, 2025Held
    Opened +1.9%, closed +2.7%
  • Feb 18, 2025Held
    Opened +1.9%, closed +1.5%
  • Oct 30, 2024Reversed
    Opened +1.7%, closed -1.1%
  • Jul 31, 2024Reversed
    Opened +1.2%, closed -6.2%
  • Feb 14, 2024Held
    Opened +2.1%, closed +4.7%

How gaps, fades and reversals are defined

What the history says

  • MGY has beaten EPS estimates in 3 straight quarters.

MGY earnings history

Last 12 reported quarters with the stock's reaction.

Swipe sideways to see every column →

Report dateTimeEPS est.EPS actualSurprise1-day move3-day move
Aug 5, 2026After close$0.94$0.99+5.3%+4.34%+9.65%
May 6, 2026After close$0.52$0.54+3.8%——
Feb 5, 2026After close$0.36$0.38+5.6%+2.98%+1.68%
Oct 29, 2025After close$0.42$0.420.0%-2.57%-2.00%
Jul 30, 2025After close$0.40$0.42+5.0%-2.30%-2.30%
Apr 30, 2025After close$0.53$0.52-1.9%+2.73%-0.10%
Feb 18, 2025After close$0.45$0.48+6.7%+1.51%+0.67%
Oct 30, 2024After close$0.48$0.53+10.4%-1.10%+0.63%
Jul 31, 2024After close$0.52$0.51-1.9%-6.24%-13.66%
May 7, 2024Market hours$0.47$0.55+17.0%+0.51%+3.23%
Feb 14, 2024After close$0.53$0.45-15.1%+4.65%+4.85%
Nov 1, 2023After close$0.53$0.54+1.9%+3.45%-0.40%

Consensus for the next report: EPS $0.60, revenue $446.46M.

MGY Earnings FAQ

Answers computed from Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp's reported history

MGY is scheduled to report on Nov 4, 2026, after the market closes. Analysts expect EPS of $0.60.

Over the last 12 quarters with a usable EPS surprise, MGY beat the consensus estimate 8 times (67%), missed 3 and landed in line 1. It has beaten estimates in each of the last 3 counted quarters.

Across its last 11 quarters with a measured reaction, MGY moved an average of ±2.9% in the first session after reporting. It closed higher 64% of the time; the largest gain was 4.7% and the largest drop -6.2%.

MGY fell in the first session after 2 of its last 7 EPS beats (29%). A beat that was already priced in, or weaker guidance, can send a stock lower.

Across its last 11 quarters with price data, MGY moved an average of +0.1% in the 20 trading sessions before reporting and was higher in 55% of them. After a run-up of 3% or more (5 quarters), it fell the next day 40% of the time, averaging +0.5%. After a drop of 3% or more (5 quarters), it rose the next day 80% of the time, averaging +1.3%. This describes past reports; it is not a forecast.

In 7 reports MGY opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 2 of 7 times (29%), and fully reversed 2 times. A fade means the opening move was partly undone during the first session.

How we calculate these numbers · MGY: 12 reported quarters, latest Aug 5, 2026. Information only, not investment advice.

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