Mattel Inc(MAT)Earnings Date, History & Expected Move
Next report date, beat rate and options-implied move
MAT is scheduled to report on Nov 5, 2026, after the market closes. Analysts expect EPS of $0.95.
EPS: Actual vs Estimate
Reported EPS against the consensus estimate, last 12 quarters.
Green beat or met, red missed, amber sources differ.
Stock Reaction After Earnings
Close-to-close move in the first session that reflected each report.
Dashed lines mark the average actual move (±7.6%).
Did the stock rise after good news?
The next-day move after each of its last 8 EPS beats and 4 misses.
In plain words: it beat expectations 8 times, but the stock still fell 2 of those 8 times.
- Aug '26Missed▼ -2.7%
- Apr '26Beat▲ +1.3%
- Feb '26Missed▼ -25.0%
- Oct '25Missed▼ -2.8%
- Jul '25Beat▼ -16.4%
- May '25Beat▲ +2.8%
- Feb '25Beat▲ +15.3%
- Oct '24Beat▲ +4.4%
- Jul '24Beat▲ +9.8%
- Apr '24Beat▲ +2.4%
- Feb '24Missed▲ +0.3%
- Oct '23Beat▼ -7.6%
Clear beats and misses with a known reaction only. What counts as a beat
Why did MAT fall after beating earnings?
3 of MAT's last 12 reactions went against the EPS result. What stands out in each:
MAT beat EPS estimates in 8 quarters, and the stock still closed lower the next day 2 times.
- Jul 23, 2025EPS beat +18.8%stock -16.4% next day
- It had risen 3.1% in the final week before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
- It opened 6.5% lower as soon as trading resumed.
- Oct 25, 2023EPS beat +25.6%stock -7.6% next day
- It opened 16.5% lower as soon as trading resumed.
Rose despite an EPS miss (1 of 4)
- Feb 7, 2024EPS missed -9.4%stock +0.3% next day
- It opened 1.1% higher as soon as trading resumed.
Patterns in estimates and prices, not confirmed causes: how we read them.
Was MAT's earnings move already priced in?
MAT's move in the month before each of its last 12 reports, against what it did after.
How the run-up is measured (a move of 5% or more counts as large).
Before vs after each report
Grey: the month before each of the last 12 reports. Green or red: the day after.
Past reports only. How the run-up is measured
Does MAT hold its opening gap after earnings?
MAT's opening move after each report and where it closed that day.
In 12 reports MAT opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 6 of 12 times (50%), and fully reversed 3 times. Gaps up faded 2 of 6; gaps down recovered 4 of 6.
- Aug 4, 2026ReversedOpened +5.3%, closed -2.7%
- Apr 29, 2026ReversedOpened -1.5%, closed +1.3%
- Feb 10, 2026HeldOpened -28.4%, closed -25.0%
- Oct 21, 2025FadedOpened -6.7%, closed -2.8%
- Jul 23, 2025HeldOpened -6.5%, closed -16.4%
- May 5, 2025ReversedOpened -1.3%, closed +2.8%
- Feb 4, 2025HeldOpened +17.7%, closed +15.3%
- Oct 23, 2024HeldOpened +3.7%, closed +4.4%
MAT earnings history
Last 12 reported quarters with the stock's reaction.
Swipe sideways to see every column →
| Report date | Time | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | 1-day move | 3-day move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | After close | $0.04 | $0.01 | -75.0% | -2.69% | -0.47% |
| Apr 29, 2026 | After close | -$0.21 | -$0.20 | +4.8% | +1.28% | -0.27% |
| Feb 10, 2026 | After close | $0.55 | $0.39 | -29.1% | -24.98% | -21.79% |
| Oct 21, 2025 | After close | $1.06 | $0.89 | -16.0% | -2.76% | -1.97% |
| Jul 23, 2025 | After close | $0.16 | $0.19 | +18.8% | -16.39% | -12.57% |
| May 5, 2025 | After close | -$0.10 | -$0.03 | +70.0% | +2.78% | +6.60% |
| Feb 4, 2025 | After close | $0.20 | $0.35 | +75.0% | +15.33% | +18.87% |
| Oct 23, 2024 | After close | $0.95 | $1.14 | +20.0% | +4.44% | +10.91% |
| Jul 23, 2024 | After close | $0.17 | $0.19 | +11.8% | +9.80% | +11.19% |
| Apr 23, 2024 | After close | -$0.12 | -$0.05 | +58.3% | +2.40% | -1.98% |
| Feb 7, 2024 | After close | $0.32 | $0.29 | -9.4% | +0.32% | +1.91% |
| Oct 25, 2023 | After close | $0.86 | $1.08 | +25.6% | -7.61% | -6.66% |
Consensus for the next report: EPS $0.95, revenue $1.85B.
MAT Earnings FAQ
Answers computed from Mattel Inc's reported history
MAT is scheduled to report on Nov 5, 2026, after the market closes. Analysts expect EPS of $0.95.
Over the last 12 quarters with a usable EPS surprise, MAT beat the consensus estimate 8 times (67%), missed 4 and landed in line 0.
Across its last 12 quarters with a measured reaction, MAT moved an average of ±7.6% in the first session after reporting. It closed higher 58% of the time; the largest gain was 15.3% and the largest drop -25.0%.
MAT fell in the first session after 2 of its last 8 EPS beats (25%). A beat that was already priced in, or weaker guidance, can send a stock lower.
Across its last 12 quarters with price data, MAT moved an average of +0.9% in the 20 trading sessions before reporting and was higher in 58% of them. After a run-up of 3% or more (3 quarters), it fell the next day 100% of the time, averaging -7.3%. After a drop of 3% or more (3 quarters), it rose the next day 67% of the time, averaging -0.3%. This describes past reports; it is not a forecast.
In 12 reports MAT opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 6 of 12 times (50%), and fully reversed 3 times. A fade means the opening move was partly undone during the first session.
How we calculate these numbers · MAT: 12 reported quarters, latest Aug 4, 2026. Information only, not investment advice.
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