MARA Holdings, Inc.(MARA)
NASDAQ
$10.36
-0.61 (-5.56%)

MARA Holdings, Inc.(MARA)Earnings Date, History & Expected Move
NASDAQ

MARA is scheduled to report on Nov 2, 2026, usually after the market closes. Analysts expect EPS of -$0.20.

Next report
Nov 2, 2026
In 25 days · usually after close
EPS beat rate
50%
5 of 10 quarters (+2 not counted)
Avg move after earnings
±7.6%
Up 42% of the time · last 12
Options-implied move
—
No reliable options quote yet

EPS: Actual vs Estimate

Reported earnings per share against the consensus estimate, last 12 quarters.

Green = beat or met, red = missed, amber = our data sources disagree on beat vs miss for that quarter.

Stock Reaction After Earnings

Close-to-close move in the first session that reflected each report.

Dashed lines mark the average actual move (±7.6%).

Did the stock rise after good news?

"Beat" means the company earned more than analysts expected. Here is what the stock did the next day.

When it beat expectations
5 reports
When it missed expectations
5 reports

In plain words: it beat expectations 5 times, but the stock still fell 3 of those 5 times.

Report by report
  • Aug '26
    Missed
    ▼ -5.2%
  • Feb '26
    Missed
    ▲ +5.8%
  • Jul '25
    Beat
    ▼ -0.4%
  • May '25
    Missed
    ▲ +10.3%
  • Feb '25
    Beat
    ▲ +5.5%
  • Nov '24
    Beat
    ▼ -14.0%
  • Aug '24
    Missed
    ▼ -5.2%
  • May '24
    Beat
    ▼ -12.7%
  • Feb '24
    Missed
    ▼ -16.5%
  • Nov '23
    Beat
    ▲ +8.0%

Only reports with a clear beat or miss and a known price reaction are counted. A beat does not guarantee a gain.

After an EPS beat
-2.7%
average next-day move · up 40% of 5 times
After an EPS miss
-2.2%
average next-day move · up 40% of 5 times

Why did MARA fall after beating earnings?

Beating or missing estimates is only part of the story. These are the measurable things that stand out for each surprising reaction.

MARA beat EPS estimates in 5 quarters, and the stock still closed lower the next day 3 times. In 3 of the 3 where we have price data, the stock had already run up before the report.

  • Jul 29, 2025EPS beat +792.9%stock -0.4% next day
    • It had risen 5.9% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
    • It opened 4.9% higher, but sellers took over and it closed -0.4%.
  • Nov 12, 2024EPS beat +31.0%stock -14.0% next day
    • It had risen 49.1% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
    • It opened 3.6% lower as soon as trading resumed.
  • May 9, 2024EPS beat +51.7%stock -12.7% next day
    • It had risen 11.6% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.

Rose despite an EPS miss (2 of 5)

  • Feb 26, 2026EPS missed -3750.0%stock +5.8% next day
    • It had already fallen 18.5% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so weak results may have been expected.
    • It opened 14.6% higher as soon as trading resumed.
  • May 8, 2025EPS missed -319.4%stock +10.3% next day

    Nothing in the price and estimate numbers we track stands out for this one. Guidance and management comments are not part of our data.

These are patterns visible in estimates and prices, not confirmed causes. Information only, not investment advice.

Was MARA's earnings move already priced in?

Stocks often move in the weeks before a report. This compares that run-up with what happened after the report.

Avg move in the month before
+8.6%
last 12 reports
Higher before the report
58%
of the time
After a run-up of 3%+
Fell 71%
7 reports, avg -4.3%
After a drop of 3%+
Rose 60%
5 reports, avg +0.8%

“Month before” is the move over the 20 trading days up to the last close before the report. “Priced in” means the good news may already be in the price. A run-up of 5% or more is treated as large.

Before vs after each report

Grey: how the stock moved in the 20 trading days before the report. Green or red: how it moved the day after.

Past reports only: this shows what happened, not what will happen.

Does MARA hold its opening gap after earnings?

A gap is how far the stock opens from the previous close. A gap fades when the stock gives back at least half of it by the end of the day.

In 11 reports MARA opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 4 of 11 times (36%), and fully reversed 2 times. Gaps up faded 3 of 5; gaps down recovered 1 of 6.

  • Aug 5, 2026Held
    Opened -2.8%, closed -5.2%
  • May 11, 2026Held
    Opened -3.6%, closed -5.0%
  • Feb 26, 2026Faded
    Opened +14.6%, closed +5.8%
  • Nov 4, 2025Held
    Opened +3.6%, closed +3.1%
  • Jul 29, 2025Reversed
    Opened +4.9%, closed -0.4%
  • May 8, 2025Reversed
    Opened -1.1%, closed +10.3%
  • Feb 26, 2025Faded
    Opened +14.1%, closed +5.5%
  • Nov 12, 2024Held
    Opened -3.6%, closed -14.0%

Gap = opening price vs the previous close. Close = the end of the first session that reflected the report. Reports without a clear opening time are left out.

What the history says

  • It fell after 3 of its 5 EPS beats (60%): beating estimates has not been enough on its own.

MARA earnings history

Last 12 reported quarters with the stock's reaction.

Swipe sideways to see every column →

Report dateTimeEPS est.EPS actualSurprise1-day move3-day move
Aug 5, 2026After close-$0.48-$0.62-29.2%-5.25%-14.95%
May 11, 2026After close-$0.85-$0.63sources differ-5.00%-0.75%
Feb 26, 2026After close-$0.02-$0.77-3750.0%+5.80%+2.49%
Nov 4, 2025After close$0.35$0.37sources differ+3.07%-4.51%
Jul 29, 2025After close-$0.28$1.94+792.9%-0.36%-6.68%
May 8, 2025After close$0.72-$1.58-319.4%+10.29%+14.56%
Feb 26, 2025After close-$0.08$1.27+1687.5%+5.46%+10.76%
Nov 12, 2024After close-$0.29-$0.20+31.0%-13.99%-16.49%
Aug 1, 2024After close$0.09-$0.70-877.8%-5.24%-4.91%
May 9, 2024After close$0.87$1.32+51.7%-12.67%-8.04%
Feb 28, 2024After close$0.02-$0.04-300.0%-16.53%-17.14%
Nov 8, 2023After close-$0.19-$0.07+63.2%+7.95%+7.37%

Consensus for the next report: EPS -$0.20, revenue $185.58M.

MARA Earnings FAQ

Answers computed from MARA Holdings, Inc.'s reported history

MARA is scheduled to report on Nov 2, 2026, usually after the market closes. Analysts expect EPS of -$0.20.

Over the last 10 quarters with a usable EPS surprise, MARA beat the consensus estimate 5 times (50%), missed 5 and landed in line 0. It has missed estimates in each of the last 2 counted quarters. 2 quarters where our data sources disagree on beat versus miss are shown but not counted.

Across its last 12 quarters with a measured reaction, MARA moved an average of ±7.6% in the first session after reporting. It closed higher 42% of the time; the largest gain was 10.3% and the largest drop -16.5%.

MARA fell in the first session after 3 of its last 5 EPS beats (60%). A beat that was already priced in, or weaker guidance, can send a stock lower. In 3 of the 3 of those falls where price data is available, the stock had already risen before the report.

Across its last 12 quarters with price data, MARA moved an average of +8.6% in the 20 trading sessions before reporting and was higher in 58% of them. After a run-up of 3% or more (7 quarters), it fell the next day 71% of the time, averaging -4.3%. After a drop of 3% or more (5 quarters), it rose the next day 60% of the time, averaging +0.8%. This describes past reports; it is not a forecast.

In 11 reports MARA opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 4 of 11 times (36%), and fully reversed 2 times. A fade means the opening move was partly undone during the first session.

How we calculate these numbers

Reported EPS and estimates come from Yahoo Finance; report times, upcoming dates and revenue come from Finnhub. The 1-day move is the close-to-close change over the first session that reflects the report (the report-day close for after-close reports, the prior close for pre-market reports); reactions are left blank when the report time is unknown or looks inconsistent. The expected move is the price of the nearest at-the-money straddle that expires after the report divided by the share price, shown only when the quotes are liquid. Quarters where the two data sources disagree on beat versus miss are shown but never counted. Information only, not investment advice.