MAIA Biotechnology, Inc.(MAIA)Earnings Date, History & Expected Move
Next report date, beat rate and options-implied move
MAIA is scheduled to report on Nov 5, 2026. Analysts expect EPS of -$0.13.
EPS: Actual vs Estimate
Reported EPS against the consensus estimate, last 12 quarters.
Green beat or met, red missed, amber sources differ.
Stock Reaction After Earnings
Close-to-close move in the first session that reflected each report.
Dashed lines mark the average actual move (±4.0%).
Did the stock rise after good news?
The next-day move after each of its last 6 EPS beats and 4 misses.
In plain words: it beat expectations 6 times, but the stock still fell 4 of those 6 times.
- Aug '26Missed▼ -0.7%
- May '26Beat▼ -0.8%
- Mar '26Missed▲ +2.1%
- Nov '25Missed▲ +2.7%
- May '25Beat▼ -5.9%
- Mar '25Beat▼ -5.1%
- Nov '24Beat▼ -8.8%
- Aug '24Beat▲ +1.5%
- Mar '24Missed▲ +8.8%
- Nov '23Beat▲ +4.2%
Clear beats and misses with a known reaction only. What counts as a beat
Why did MAIA fall after beating earnings?
7 of MAIA's last 10 reactions went against the EPS result. What stands out in each:
MAIA beat EPS estimates in 6 quarters, and the stock still closed lower the next day 4 times. In 2 of the 4 where we have price data, the stock had already run up before the report.
- May 11, 2026EPS beat +22.2%stock -0.8% next day
- It opened 2.3% lower as soon as trading resumed.
- May 9, 2025EPS beat +11.1%stock -5.9% next day
- It had risen 39.7% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
- Mar 21, 2025EPS beat +42.9%stock -5.1% next day
- It had risen 13.5% in the final week before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
- It opened 3.4% lower as soon as trading resumed.
- Nov 12, 2024EPS beat +76.6%stock -8.8% next day
Nothing in the price and estimate numbers we track stands out for this one. Guidance and management comments are not part of our data.
Rose despite an EPS miss (3 of 4)
- Mar 23, 2026EPS missed -7.7%stock +2.1% next day
- It had already fallen 29.8% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so weak results may have been expected.
- Nov 7, 2025EPS missed -42.1%stock +2.7% next day
- It had already fallen 26.3% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so weak results may have been expected.
- Mar 21, 2024EPS missed -7.7%stock +8.8% next day
- It opened 1.0% higher as soon as trading resumed.
Patterns in estimates and prices, not confirmed causes: how we read them.
Was MAIA's earnings move already priced in?
MAIA's move in the month before each of its last 10 reports, against what it did after.
How the run-up is measured (a move of 5% or more counts as large).
Before vs after each report
Grey: the month before each of the last 10 reports. Green or red: the day after.
Past reports only. How the run-up is measured
Does MAIA hold its opening gap after earnings?
MAIA's opening move after each report and where it closed that day.
In 6 reports MAIA opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 4 of 6 times (67%), and fully reversed 2 times.
- Aug 10, 2026FadedOpened -2.8%, closed -0.7%
- May 11, 2026FadedOpened -2.3%, closed -0.8%
- Mar 21, 2025HeldOpened -3.4%, closed -5.1%
- Aug 9, 2024ReversedOpened -4.5%, closed +1.5%
- Mar 21, 2024HeldOpened +1.0%, closed +8.8%
- Nov 7, 2023ReversedOpened -1.4%, closed +4.2%
What the history says
- It fell after 4 of its 6 EPS beats (67%): beating estimates has not been enough on its own.
MAIA earnings history
Last 12 reported quarters with the stock's reaction.
Swipe sideways to see every column →
| Report date | Time | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | 1-day move | 3-day move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2026 | Before open | -$0.11 | -$0.13 | -18.2% | -0.70% | -2.82% |
| May 11, 2026 | Before open | -$0.18 | -$0.14 | +22.2% | -0.76% | -2.27% |
| Mar 23, 2026 | Before open | -$0.13 | -$0.14 | -7.7% | +2.05% | +0.68% |
| Nov 7, 2025 | After close | -$0.19 | -$0.27 | -42.1% | +2.68% | -4.46% |
| Aug 11, 2025 | Before open | -$0.25 | -$0.17 | +32.0% | — | — |
| May 9, 2025 | After close | -$0.18 | -$0.16 | +11.1% | -5.88% | -13.73% |
| Mar 21, 2025 | After close | -$0.35 | -$0.20 | +42.9% | -5.11% | -6.25% |
| Nov 12, 2024 | After close | -$0.47 | -$0.11 | +76.6% | -8.78% | -13.74% |
| Aug 9, 2024 | After close | -$0.41 | -$0.40 | +2.4% | +1.50% | +4.14% |
| May 14, 2024 | After close | -$0.39 | -$0.46 | -17.9% | — | — |
| Mar 21, 2024 | After close | -$0.39 | -$0.42 | -7.7% | +8.76% | +25.77% |
| Nov 7, 2023 | Before open | -$0.38 | -$0.36 | +5.3% | +4.17% | -4.17% |
Consensus for the next report: EPS -$0.13, revenue $0.00.
MAIA Earnings FAQ
Answers computed from MAIA Biotechnology, Inc.'s reported history
MAIA is scheduled to report on Nov 5, 2026. Analysts expect EPS of -$0.13.
Over the last 12 quarters with a usable EPS surprise, MAIA beat the consensus estimate 7 times (58%), missed 5 and landed in line 0.
Across its last 10 quarters with a measured reaction, MAIA moved an average of ±4.0% in the first session after reporting. It closed higher 50% of the time; the largest gain was 8.8% and the largest drop -8.8%.
MAIA fell in the first session after 4 of its last 6 EPS beats (67%). A beat that was already priced in, or weaker guidance, can send a stock lower. In 2 of the 4 of those falls where price data is available, the stock had already risen before the report.
Across its last 10 quarters with price data, MAIA moved an average of -2.4% in the 20 trading sessions before reporting and was higher in 40% of them. After a run-up of 3% or more (4 quarters), it fell the next day 75% of the time, averaging -1.7%. After a drop of 3% or more (5 quarters), it rose the next day 80% of the time, averaging +1.1%. This describes past reports; it is not a forecast.
In 6 reports MAIA opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 4 of 6 times (67%), and fully reversed 2 times. A fade means the opening move was partly undone during the first session.
How we calculate these numbers · MAIA: 12 reported quarters, latest Aug 10, 2026. Information only, not investment advice.
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