LyondellBasell Industries N.V.(LYB)Earnings Date, History & Expected Move

Next report date, beat rate and options-implied move

Next report

Oct 30, 2026

LYB is scheduled to report on Oct 30, 2026, before the market opens. Analysts expect EPS of $2.59.

Next report

Oct 30, 2026

In 6 days · before open

EPS beat rate

58%

7 of 12 quarters

Avg move after earnings

±2.1%

Up 50% of the time · last 12

Options-implied move

±4.4%

2.08x history · options look expensive

Options look expensive vs history (2.08x)

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EPS: Actual vs Estimate

Reported EPS against the consensus estimate, last 12 quarters.

Green beat or met, red missed, amber sources differ.

Stock Reaction After Earnings

Close-to-close move in the first session that reflected each report.

Dashed lines: average actual move (±2.1%) and what options price for the next report (±4.4%).

Did the stock rise after good news?

The next-day move after each of its last 7 EPS beats and 5 misses.

When it beat expectations

7 reports

▲ Rose 5×

▼ Fell 2×

When it missed expectations

5 reports

▲ Rose 1×

▼ Fell 4×

In plain words: it beat expectations 7 times, but the stock still fell 2 of those 7 times.

Report by report

Jul '26
Beat
▲ +2.7%
May '26
Beat
▲ +0.5%
Jan '26
Missed
▼ -1.9%
Oct '25
Beat
▲ +2.7%
Aug '25
Missed
▼ -7.8%
Apr '25
Missed
▲ +0.3%
Jan '25
Beat
▼ -0.6%
Nov '24
Missed
▼ -0.3%
Aug '24
Beat
▼ -3.8%
Apr '24
Beat
▲ +2.5%
Feb '24
Missed
▼ -1.8%
Oct '23
Beat
▲ +0.6%

Clear beats and misses with a known reaction only. What counts as a beat

After an EPS beat

+0.7%

average next-day move · up 71% of 7 times

After an EPS miss

-2.3%

average next-day move · up 20% of 5 times

Why did LYB fall after beating earnings?

3 of LYB's last 12 reactions went against the EPS result. What stands out in each:

LYB beat EPS estimates in 7 quarters, and the stock still closed lower the next day 2 times.

Jan 31, 2025EPS beat +7.1%stock -0.6% next day
- It opened 2.3% higher, but sellers took over and it closed -0.6%.
Aug 2, 2024EPS beat +0.9%stock -3.8% next day
- The EPS beat was small (+0.9%).
- It opened 3.1% lower as soon as trading resumed.

Rose despite an EPS miss (1 of 5)

Apr 25, 2025EPS missed -23.3%stock +0.3% next day
- It had already fallen 16.6% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so weak results may have been expected.

Patterns in estimates and prices, not confirmed causes: how we read them.

Was LYB's earnings move already priced in?

LYB's move in the month before each of its last 12 reports, against what it did after.

Avg move in the month before

-1.4%

last 12 reports

Higher before the report

33%

of the time

After a run-up of 3%+

Fell 75%

4 reports, avg -0.9%

After a drop of 3%+

Rose 67%

6 reports, avg -0.3%

How the run-up is measured (a move of 5% or more counts as large).

Before vs after each report

Grey: the month before each of the last 12 reports. Green or red: the day after.

Past reports only. How the run-up is measured

Does LYB hold its opening gap after earnings?

LYB's opening move after each report and where it closed that day.

In 8 reports LYB opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 4 of 8 times (50%), and fully reversed 3 times. Gaps up faded 3 of 5; gaps down recovered 1 of 3.

Jul 31, 2026Held
Opened +1.4%, closed +2.7%
Jan 30, 2026Reversed
Opened +2.5%, closed -1.9%
Oct 31, 2025Faded
Opened +6.3%, closed +2.7%
Apr 25, 2025Reversed
Opened -2.9%, closed +0.3%
Jan 31, 2025Reversed
Opened +2.3%, closed -0.6%
Aug 2, 2024Held
Opened -3.1%, closed -3.8%
Apr 26, 2024Held
Opened +1.7%, closed +2.5%
Feb 1, 2024Held
Opened -2.1%, closed -1.8%

How gaps, fades and reversals are defined

What the history says

Options price a ±4.4% move, 2.08x its usual ±2.1%: the market expects more volatility than LYB has typically delivered.

LYB earnings history

Last 12 reported quarters with the stock's reaction.

Swipe sideways to see every column →

Report date	Time	EPS est.	EPS actual	Surprise	1-day move	3-day move
Jul 31, 2026	Before open	$3.42	$4.30	+25.7%	+2.71%	+1.11%
May 1, 2026	Before open	$0.28	$0.49	+75.0%	+0.52%	+4.24%
Jan 30, 2026	Before open	$0.25	-$0.26	-204.0%	-1.90%	+7.01%
Oct 31, 2025	Before open	$0.80	$1.01	+26.3%	+2.70%	-1.68%
Aug 1, 2025	Before open	$0.78	$0.62	-20.5%	-7.79%	-10.27%
Apr 25, 2025	Before open	$0.43	$0.33	-23.3%	+0.32%	-0.71%
Jan 31, 2025	Before open	$0.70	$0.75	+7.1%	-0.55%	+2.79%
Nov 1, 2024	Before open	$1.96	$1.88	-4.1%	-0.33%	-1.70%
Aug 2, 2024	Before open	$2.22	$2.24	+0.9%	-3.82%	-2.63%
Apr 26, 2024	Before open	$1.37	$1.53	+11.7%	+2.46%	+0.29%
Feb 1, 2024	After close	$1.34	$1.26	-6.0%	-1.85%	-0.15%
Oct 27, 2023	Before open	$2.01	$2.46	+22.4%	+0.65%	+0.42%

Consensus for the next report: EPS $2.59, revenue $8.96B.

LYB Earnings FAQ

Answers computed from LyondellBasell Industries N.V.'s reported history

LYB is scheduled to report on Oct 30, 2026, before the market opens. Analysts expect EPS of $2.59.

Over the last 12 quarters with a usable EPS surprise, LYB beat the consensus estimate 7 times (58%), missed 5 and landed in line 0. It has beaten estimates in each of the last 2 counted quarters.

Across its last 12 quarters with a measured reaction, LYB moved an average of ±2.1% in the first session after reporting. It closed higher 50% of the time; the largest gain was 2.7% and the largest drop -7.8%.

Options currently price a move of about ±4.4% (nearest at-the-money straddle that expires after the report). It measures the size of the expected move, not its direction. That is 2.08x its average historical move of ±2.1%, so options look expensive relative to history.

LYB fell in the first session after 2 of its last 7 EPS beats (29%). A beat that was already priced in, or weaker guidance, can send a stock lower.

Across its last 12 quarters with price data, LYB moved an average of -1.4% in the 20 trading sessions before reporting and was higher in 33% of them. After a run-up of 3% or more (4 quarters), it fell the next day 75% of the time, averaging -0.9%. After a drop of 3% or more (6 quarters), it rose the next day 67% of the time, averaging -0.3%. This describes past reports; it is not a forecast.

In 8 reports LYB opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 4 of 8 times (50%), and fully reversed 3 times. A fade means the opening move was partly undone during the first session.

How we calculate these numbers · LYB: 12 reported quarters, latest Jul 31, 2026. Information only, not investment advice.

Earnings this week

Every report this week with expected moves.

Biggest expected earnings moves

Options-implied vs historical move, ranked.