Lear Corp(LEA)Earnings Date, History & Expected Move
Next report date, beat rate and options-implied move
LEA is scheduled to report on Oct 30, 2026, before the market opens. Analysts expect EPS of $3.40.
EPS: Actual vs Estimate
Reported EPS against the consensus estimate, last 12 quarters.
Green beat or met, red missed, amber sources differ.
Stock Reaction After Earnings
Close-to-close move in the first session that reflected each report.
Dashed lines mark the average actual move (±5.1%).
Did the stock rise after good news?
The next-day move after each of its last 10 EPS beats and 1 misses.
In plain words: it beat expectations 10 times, but the stock still fell 5 of those 10 times.
- Jul '26Beat▼ -10.7%
- May '26Beat▲ +4.2%
- Feb '26Beat▲ +10.7%
- Jul '25Beat▼ -8.1%
- May '25Beat▼ -2.5%
- Feb '25Beat▲ +1.3%
- Oct '24Beat▼ -6.5%
- Jul '24Beat▲ +3.7%
- Apr '24Beat▼ -8.3%
- Feb '24Missed▲ +0.6%
- Oct '23Beat▲ +2.9%
Clear beats and misses with a known reaction only. What counts as a beat
Why did LEA fall after beating earnings?
6 of LEA's last 11 reactions went against the EPS result. What stands out in each:
LEA beat EPS estimates in 10 quarters, and the stock still closed lower the next day 5 times. In 3 of the 5 where we have price data, the stock had already run up before the report.
- Jul 31, 2026EPS beat +7.5%stock -10.7% next day
- It had risen 12.2% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
- It opened 4.1% lower as soon as trading resumed.
- Jul 25, 2025EPS beat +5.2%stock -8.1% next day
- It had risen 16.6% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
- It opened 5.8% lower as soon as trading resumed.
- May 6, 2025EPS beat +15.6%stock -2.5% next day
- It had risen 8.5% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
- It opened 3.8% lower as soon as trading resumed.
- Oct 24, 2024EPS beat +12.9%stock -6.5% next day
- It opened 1.2% higher, but sellers took over and it closed -6.5%.
- Apr 30, 2024EPS beat +3.6%stock -8.3% next day
- It opened 3.9% lower as soon as trading resumed.
Rose despite an EPS miss (1 of 1)
- Feb 6, 2024EPS missed -2.6%stock +0.6% next day
Nothing in the price and estimate numbers we track stands out for this one. Guidance and management comments are not part of our data.
Patterns in estimates and prices, not confirmed causes: how we read them.
Was LEA's earnings move already priced in?
LEA's move in the month before each of its last 12 reports, against what it did after.
How the run-up is measured (a move of 5% or more counts as large).
Before vs after each report
Grey: the month before each of the last 12 reports. Green or red: the day after.
Past reports only. How the run-up is measured
Does LEA hold its opening gap after earnings?
LEA's opening move after each report and where it closed that day.
In 10 reports LEA opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 4 of 10 times (40%), and fully reversed 2 times. Gaps up faded 3 of 5; gaps down recovered 1 of 5.
- Jul 31, 2026HeldOpened -4.1%, closed -10.7%
- Feb 4, 2026HeldOpened +9.5%, closed +10.7%
- Oct 31, 2025FadedOpened +2.4%, closed +1.1%
- Jul 25, 2025HeldOpened -5.8%, closed -8.1%
- May 6, 2025HeldOpened -3.8%, closed -2.5%
- Feb 6, 2025FadedOpened +5.1%, closed +1.3%
- Oct 24, 2024ReversedOpened +1.2%, closed -6.5%
- Apr 30, 2024HeldOpened -3.9%, closed -8.3%
What the history says
- LEA has beaten EPS estimates in 3 straight quarters.
- It fell after 5 of its 10 EPS beats (50%): beating estimates has not been enough on its own.
LEA earnings history
Last 12 reported quarters with the stock's reaction.
Swipe sideways to see every column →
| Report date | Time | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | 1-day move | 3-day move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Before open | $3.98 | $4.28 | +7.5% | -10.72% | -13.94% |
| May 1, 2026 | Before open | $3.51 | $3.87 | +10.3% | +4.15% | +3.56% |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Before open | $2.80 | $3.41 | +21.8% | +10.74% | +17.85% |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Before open | $2.79 | $2.79 | 0.0% | +1.09% | +3.03% |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Before open | $3.30 | $3.47 | +5.2% | -8.09% | -10.63% |
| May 6, 2025 | Before open | $2.70 | $3.12 | +15.6% | -2.48% | +0.63% |
| Feb 6, 2025 | Before open | $2.58 | $2.94 | +14.0% | +1.31% | +3.18% |
| Oct 24, 2024 | Before open | $2.56 | $2.89 | +12.9% | -6.47% | -3.95% |
| Jul 25, 2024 | Before open | $3.39 | $3.60 | +6.2% | +3.68% | +4.58% |
| Apr 30, 2024 | Before open | $3.07 | $3.18 | +3.6% | -8.28% | -7.75% |
| Feb 6, 2024 | Before open | $3.11 | $3.03 | -2.6% | +0.62% | -0.78% |
| Oct 26, 2023 | Before open | $2.62 | $2.87 | +9.5% | +2.91% | -1.16% |
Consensus for the next report: EPS $3.40, revenue $5.87B.
LEA Earnings FAQ
Answers computed from Lear Corp's reported history
LEA is scheduled to report on Oct 30, 2026, before the market opens. Analysts expect EPS of $3.40.
Over the last 12 quarters with a usable EPS surprise, LEA beat the consensus estimate 10 times (83%), missed 1 and landed in line 1. It has beaten estimates in each of the last 3 counted quarters.
Across its last 12 quarters with a measured reaction, LEA moved an average of ±5.1% in the first session after reporting. It closed higher 58% of the time; the largest gain was 10.7% and the largest drop -10.7%.
LEA fell in the first session after 5 of its last 10 EPS beats (50%). A beat that was already priced in, or weaker guidance, can send a stock lower. In 3 of the 5 of those falls where price data is available, the stock had already risen before the report.
Across its last 12 quarters with price data, LEA moved an average of +2.6% in the 20 trading sessions before reporting and was higher in 50% of them. After a run-up of 3% or more (4 quarters), it fell the next day 75% of the time, averaging -4.3%. This describes past reports; it is not a forecast.
In 10 reports LEA opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 4 of 10 times (40%), and fully reversed 2 times. A fade means the opening move was partly undone during the first session.
How we calculate these numbers · LEA: 12 reported quarters, latest Jul 31, 2026. Information only, not investment advice.
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