Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.(HLT)Earnings Date, History & Expected Move
Next report date, beat rate and options-implied move
HLT is scheduled to report on Oct 27, 2026, before the market opens. Analysts expect EPS of $2.38.
EPS: Actual vs Estimate
Reported EPS against the consensus estimate, last 12 quarters.
Green beat or met, red missed, amber sources differ.
Stock Reaction After Earnings
Close-to-close move in the first session that reflected each report.
Dashed lines: average actual move (±2.3%) and what options price for the next report (±4.2%).
Did the stock rise after good news?
The next-day move after each of its last 11 EPS beats and 0 misses.
In plain words: it beat expectations 11 times, but the stock still fell 4 of those 11 times.
- Apr '26Beat▼ -2.7%
- Feb '26Beat▲ +0.4%
- Oct '25Beat▲ +3.4%
- Jul '25Beat▼ -2.6%
- Apr '25Beat▲ +2.2%
- Feb '25Beat▲ +4.9%
- Oct '24Beat▼ -1.9%
- Aug '24Beat▼ -1.7%
- Apr '24Beat▲ +3.9%
- Feb '24Beat▲ +0.7%
- Oct '23Beat▲ +0.7%
Clear beats and misses with a known reaction only. What counts as a beat
Why did HLT fall after beating earnings?
4 of HLT's last 11 reactions went against the EPS result. What stands out in each:
HLT beat EPS estimates in 11 quarters, and the stock still closed lower the next day 4 times. In 2 of the 4 where we have price data, the stock had already run up before the report.
- Apr 28, 2026EPS beat +2.0%stock -2.7% next day
- It had risen 13.1% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
- It opened 2.7% lower as soon as trading resumed.
- Jul 23, 2025EPS beat +7.8%stock -2.6% next day
- It had risen 8.5% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
- It opened 3.3% lower as soon as trading resumed.
- Oct 23, 2024EPS beat +4.3%stock -1.9% next day
Nothing in the price and estimate numbers we track stands out for this one. Guidance and management comments are not part of our data.
- Aug 7, 2024EPS beat +2.7%stock -1.7% next day
Nothing in the price and estimate numbers we track stands out for this one. Guidance and management comments are not part of our data.
Patterns in estimates and prices, not confirmed causes: how we read them.
Was HLT's earnings move already priced in?
HLT's move in the month before each of its last 12 reports, against what it did after.
How the run-up is measured (a move of 5% or more counts as large).
Before vs after each report
Grey: the month before each of the last 12 reports. Green or red: the day after.
Past reports only. How the run-up is measured
Does HLT hold its opening gap after earnings?
HLT's opening move after each report and where it closed that day.
In 7 reports HLT opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 1 of 7 times (14%), and fully reversed 1 time. Gaps up faded 0 of 3; gaps down recovered 1 of 4.
- Jul 28, 2026HeldOpened -3.1%, closed -2.5%
- Apr 28, 2026HeldOpened -2.7%, closed -2.7%
- Oct 22, 2025HeldOpened +3.0%, closed +3.4%
- Jul 23, 2025HeldOpened -3.3%, closed -2.6%
- Apr 29, 2025HeldOpened +1.4%, closed +2.2%
- Apr 24, 2024HeldOpened +4.3%, closed +3.9%
- Feb 7, 2024ReversedOpened -1.1%, closed +0.7%
What the history says
- HLT has beaten EPS estimates in 11 straight quarters (quarters where our data sources disagree are skipped).
- Options price a ±4.2% move, 1.81x its usual ±2.3%: the market expects more volatility than HLT has typically delivered.
HLT earnings history
Last 12 reported quarters with the stock's reaction.
Swipe sideways to see every column →
| Report date | Time | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | 1-day move | 3-day move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | Before open | $2.27 | $2.29 | sources differ | -2.55% | -2.67% |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Before open | $1.97 | $2.01 | +2.0% | -2.73% | -2.52% |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Before open | $2.02 | $2.08 | +3.0% | +0.44% | -2.81% |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Before open | $2.05 | $2.11 | +2.9% | +3.42% | +0.68% |
| Jul 23, 2025 | Before open | $2.04 | $2.20 | +7.8% | -2.55% | -0.07% |
| Apr 29, 2025 | Before open | $1.61 | $1.72 | +6.8% | +2.17% | +5.64% |
| Feb 6, 2025 | Before open | $1.68 | $1.76 | +4.8% | +4.86% | +3.73% |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Before open | $1.84 | $1.92 | +4.3% | -1.94% | -0.85% |
| Aug 7, 2024 | Before open | $1.86 | $1.91 | +2.7% | -1.74% | -0.39% |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Before open | $1.42 | $1.53 | +7.7% | +3.89% | +2.58% |
| Feb 7, 2024 | Before open | $1.57 | $1.68 | +7.0% | +0.72% | -1.26% |
| Oct 25, 2023 | Before open | $1.66 | $1.67 | +0.6% | +0.74% | -0.32% |
Consensus for the next report: EPS $2.38, revenue $3.40B.
HLT Earnings FAQ
Answers computed from Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.'s reported history
HLT is scheduled to report on Oct 27, 2026, before the market opens. Analysts expect EPS of $2.38.
Over the last 11 quarters with a usable EPS surprise, HLT beat the consensus estimate 11 times (100%), missed 0 and landed in line 0. It has beaten estimates in each of the last 11 counted quarters. 1 quarter where our data sources disagree on beat versus miss are shown but not counted.
Across its last 12 quarters with a measured reaction, HLT moved an average of ±2.3% in the first session after reporting. It closed higher 58% of the time; the largest gain was 4.9% and the largest drop -2.7%.
Options currently price a move of about ±4.2% (nearest at-the-money straddle that expires after the report). It measures the size of the expected move, not its direction. That is 1.81x its average historical move of ±2.3%, so options look expensive relative to history.
HLT fell in the first session after 4 of its last 11 EPS beats (36%). A beat that was already priced in, or weaker guidance, can send a stock lower. In 2 of the 4 of those falls where price data is available, the stock had already risen before the report.
Across its last 12 quarters with price data, HLT moved an average of +3.0% in the 20 trading sessions before reporting and was higher in 67% of them. After a run-up of 3% or more (6 quarters), it fell the next day 50% of the time, averaging -0.2%. This describes past reports; it is not a forecast.
In 7 reports HLT opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 1 of 7 times (14%), and fully reversed once. A fade means the opening move was partly undone during the first session.
How we calculate these numbers · HLT: 12 reported quarters, latest Jul 28, 2026. Information only, not investment advice.
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