Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.(HGV)Earnings Date, History & Expected Move

Next report date, beat rate and options-implied move

Next report

Oct 29, 2026

HGV is scheduled to report on Oct 29, 2026, before the market opens. Analysts expect EPS of $1.12.

Next report

Oct 29, 2026

In 5 days · before open

EPS beat rate

42%

5 of 12 quarters

Avg move after earnings

±6.8%

Up 33% of the time · last 12

Options-implied move

—

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EPS: Actual vs Estimate

Reported EPS against the consensus estimate, last 12 quarters.

Green beat or met, red missed, amber sources differ.

Stock Reaction After Earnings

Close-to-close move in the first session that reflected each report.

Dashed lines mark the average actual move (±6.8%).

Did the stock rise after good news?

The next-day move after each of its last 5 EPS beats and 7 misses.

When it beat expectations

5 reports

▲ Rose 2×

▼ Fell 3×

When it missed expectations

7 reports

▲ Rose 2×

▼ Fell 5×

In plain words: it beat expectations 5 times, but the stock still fell 3 of those 5 times.

Report by report

Jul '26
Missed
▼ -9.9%
Apr '26
Beat
▲ +8.2%
Feb '26
Missed
▼ -3.5%
Oct '25
Missed
▼ -6.7%
Jul '25
Missed
▼ -11.7%
May '25
Missed
▲ +9.3%
Feb '25
Missed
▲ +4.9%
Nov '24
Beat
▲ +3.5%
Aug '24
Missed
▼ -7.8%
May '24
Beat
▼ -0.6%
Feb '24
Beat
▼ -7.7%
Nov '23
Beat
▼ -8.1%

Clear beats and misses with a known reaction only. What counts as a beat

After an EPS beat

-0.9%

average next-day move · up 40% of 5 times

After an EPS miss

-3.6%

average next-day move · up 29% of 7 times

Why did HGV fall after beating earnings?

5 of HGV's last 12 reactions went against the EPS result. What stands out in each:

HGV beat EPS estimates in 5 quarters, and the stock still closed lower the next day 3 times. In 3 of the 3 where we have price data, the stock had already run up before the report.

May 9, 2024EPS beat +28.4%stock -0.6% next day
- It had risen 4.0% in the final week before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
Feb 29, 2024EPS beat +8.6%stock -7.7% next day
- It had risen 14.1% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
Nov 6, 2023EPS beat +5.4%stock -8.1% next day
- It had risen 4.2% in the final week before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
- It opened 6.0% lower as soon as trading resumed.

Rose despite an EPS miss (2 of 7)

May 1, 2025EPS missed -83.0%stock +9.3% next day
- It had already fallen 8.4% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so weak results may have been expected.
- It opened 1.2% higher as soon as trading resumed.
Feb 27, 2025EPS missed -32.9%stock +4.9% next day
- It had already fallen 5.6% in the final week before the report, so weak results may have been expected.
- It opened 8.2% higher as soon as trading resumed.

Patterns in estimates and prices, not confirmed causes: how we read them.

Was HGV's earnings move already priced in?

HGV's move in the month before each of its last 12 reports, against what it did after.

Avg move in the month before

+3.9%

last 12 reports

Higher before the report

50%

of the time

After a run-up of 3%+

Fell 67%

6 reports, avg -3.0%

After a drop of 3%+

Rose 50%

4 reports, avg +1.5%

How the run-up is measured (a move of 5% or more counts as large).

Before vs after each report

Grey: the month before each of the last 12 reports. Green or red: the day after.

Past reports only. How the run-up is measured

Does HGV hold its opening gap after earnings?

HGV's opening move after each report and where it closed that day.

In 9 reports HGV opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 1 of 9 times (11%), and fully reversed 1 time. Gaps up faded 1 of 4; gaps down recovered 0 of 5.

Jul 30, 2026Held
Opened -6.7%, closed -9.9%
Apr 30, 2026Held
Opened +3.7%, closed +8.2%
Feb 26, 2026Reversed
Opened +2.9%, closed -3.5%
Oct 30, 2025Held
Opened -7.6%, closed -6.7%
Jul 31, 2025Held
Opened -3.7%, closed -11.7%
May 1, 2025Held
Opened +1.2%, closed +9.3%
Feb 27, 2025Held
Opened +8.2%, closed +4.9%
Aug 8, 2024Held
Opened -13.3%, closed -7.8%

How gaps, fades and reversals are defined

What the history says

It fell after 3 of its 5 EPS beats (60%): beating estimates has not been enough on its own.

HGV earnings history

Last 12 reported quarters with the stock's reaction.

Swipe sideways to see every column →

Report date	Time	EPS est.	EPS actual	Surprise	1-day move	3-day move
Jul 30, 2026	Before open	$1.01	$0.89	-11.9%	-9.92%	-11.92%
Apr 30, 2026	Before open	$0.59	$0.99	+67.8%	+8.23%	+4.49%
Feb 26, 2026	Before open	$1.16	$0.88	-24.1%	-3.50%	-11.30%
Oct 30, 2025	Before open	$0.97	$0.60	-38.1%	-6.66%	-5.23%
Jul 31, 2025	Before open	$0.81	$0.54	-33.3%	-11.74%	-12.84%
May 1, 2025	Before open	$0.53	$0.09	-83.0%	+9.34%	+14.24%
Feb 27, 2025	Before open	$0.73	$0.49	-32.9%	+4.91%	+4.84%
Nov 7, 2024	Before open	$0.66	$0.67	+1.5%	+3.51%	+5.57%
Aug 8, 2024	Before open	$1.05	$0.62	-41.0%	-7.79%	-11.79%
May 9, 2024	Before open	$0.74	$0.95	+28.4%	-0.55%	-3.55%
Feb 29, 2024	Before open	$0.93	$1.01	+8.6%	-7.73%	-8.88%
Nov 6, 2023	Before open	$0.93	$0.98	+5.4%	-8.05%	-8.32%

Consensus for the next report: EPS $1.12, revenue $1.42B.

HGV Earnings FAQ

Answers computed from Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.'s reported history

HGV is scheduled to report on Oct 29, 2026, before the market opens. Analysts expect EPS of $1.12.

Over the last 12 quarters with a usable EPS surprise, HGV beat the consensus estimate 5 times (42%), missed 7 and landed in line 0.

Across its last 12 quarters with a measured reaction, HGV moved an average of ±6.8% in the first session after reporting. It closed higher 33% of the time; the largest gain was 9.3% and the largest drop -11.7%.

HGV fell in the first session after 3 of its last 5 EPS beats (60%). A beat that was already priced in, or weaker guidance, can send a stock lower. In 3 of the 3 of those falls where price data is available, the stock had already risen before the report.

Across its last 12 quarters with price data, HGV moved an average of +3.9% in the 20 trading sessions before reporting and was higher in 50% of them. After a run-up of 3% or more (6 quarters), it fell the next day 67% of the time, averaging -3.0%. After a drop of 3% or more (4 quarters), it rose the next day 50% of the time, averaging +1.5%. This describes past reports; it is not a forecast.

In 9 reports HGV opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 1 of 9 times (11%), and fully reversed once. A fade means the opening move was partly undone during the first session.

How we calculate these numbers · HGV: 12 reported quarters, latest Jul 30, 2026. Information only, not investment advice.

Earnings this week

Every report this week with expected moves.

Biggest expected earnings moves

Options-implied vs historical move, ranked.