GRAIL, Inc.(GRAL)Earnings Date, History & Expected Move
Next report date, beat rate and options-implied move
GRAL is scheduled to report on Nov 4, 2026, usually after the market closes. Analysts expect EPS of -$2.65.
EPS: Actual vs Estimate
Reported EPS against the consensus estimate, last 8 quarters.
Green beat or met, red missed, amber sources differ.
Stock Reaction After Earnings
Close-to-close move in the first session that reflected each report.
Dashed lines mark the average actual move (±15.9%).
Did the stock rise after good news?
The next-day move after each of its last 8 EPS beats and 0 misses.
In plain words: it beat expectations 8 times, but the stock still fell 5 of those 8 times.
- Aug '26Beat▼ -14.5%
- May '26Beat▲ +15.3%
- Feb '26Beat▼ -50.5%
- Nov '25Beat▼ -1.9%
- Aug '25Beat▲ +1.1%
- May '25Beat▼ -23.3%
- Feb '25Beat▼ -14.7%
- Nov '24Beat▲ +5.5%
Clear beats and misses with a known reaction only. What counts as a beat
Why did GRAL fall after beating earnings?
5 of GRAL's last 8 reactions went against the EPS result. What stands out in each:
GRAL beat EPS estimates in 8 quarters, and the stock still closed lower the next day 5 times. In 4 of the 5 where we have price data, the stock had already run up before the report.
- Aug 5, 2026EPS beat +44.9%stock -14.5% next day
- It had risen 5.8% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
- It opened 8.3% lower as soon as trading resumed.
- Feb 19, 2026EPS beat +3.6%stock -50.5% next day
- It opened 51.1% lower as soon as trading resumed.
- Nov 12, 2025EPS beat +24.5%stock -1.9% next day
- It had risen 12.2% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
- It opened 1.6% higher, but sellers took over and it closed -1.9%.
- May 13, 2025EPS beat +18.4%stock -23.3% next day
- It had risen 72.6% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
- It opened 12.8% lower as soon as trading resumed.
- Feb 20, 2025EPS beat +41.9%stock -14.7% next day
- It had risen 111.0% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
- It opened 2.6% higher, but sellers took over and it closed -14.7%.
Patterns in estimates and prices, not confirmed causes: how we read them.
Was GRAL's earnings move already priced in?
GRAL's move in the month before each of its last 8 reports, against what it did after.
How the run-up is measured (a move of 5% or more counts as large).
Before vs after each report
Grey: the month before each of the last 8 reports. Green or red: the day after.
Past reports only. How the run-up is measured
Does GRAL hold its opening gap after earnings?
GRAL's opening move after each report and where it closed that day.
In 8 reports GRAL opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 4 of 8 times (50%), and fully reversed 4 times. Gaps up faded 2 of 3; gaps down recovered 2 of 5.
- Aug 5, 2026HeldOpened -8.3%, closed -14.5%
- May 5, 2026HeldOpened +2.9%, closed +15.3%
- Feb 19, 2026HeldOpened -51.1%, closed -50.5%
- Nov 12, 2025ReversedOpened +1.6%, closed -1.9%
- Aug 12, 2025ReversedOpened -3.2%, closed +1.1%
- May 13, 2025HeldOpened -12.8%, closed -23.3%
- Feb 20, 2025ReversedOpened +2.6%, closed -14.7%
- Nov 12, 2024ReversedOpened -1.6%, closed +5.5%
What the history says
- GRAL has beaten EPS estimates in 8 straight quarters.
- It fell after 5 of its 8 EPS beats (63%): beating estimates has not been enough on its own.
GRAL earnings history
Last 8 reported quarters with the stock's reaction.
Swipe sideways to see every column →
| Report date | Time | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | 1-day move | 3-day move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | After close | -$2.43 | -$1.34 | +44.9% | -14.53% | +0.89% |
| May 5, 2026 | After close | -$1.96 | -$1.37 | +30.1% | +15.35% | +13.31% |
| Feb 19, 2026 | After close | -$2.53 | -$2.44 | +3.6% | -50.55% | -50.41% |
| Nov 12, 2025 | After close | -$3.26 | -$2.46 | +24.5% | -1.85% | +0.20% |
| Aug 12, 2025 | After close | -$3.56 | -$3.18 | +10.7% | +1.13% | -3.48% |
| May 13, 2025 | After close | -$3.80 | -$3.10 | +18.4% | -23.32% | -6.95% |
| Feb 20, 2025 | After close | -$4.97 | -$2.89 | +41.9% | -14.72% | -9.74% |
| Nov 12, 2024 | After close | -$6.43 | -$3.50 | +45.6% | +5.50% | -1.92% |
Consensus for the next report: EPS -$2.65, revenue $45.23M.
GRAL Earnings FAQ
Answers computed from GRAIL, Inc.'s reported history
GRAL is scheduled to report on Nov 4, 2026, usually after the market closes. Analysts expect EPS of -$2.65.
Over the last 8 quarters with a usable EPS surprise, GRAL beat the consensus estimate 8 times (100%), missed 0 and landed in line 0. It has beaten estimates in each of the last 8 counted quarters.
Across its last 8 quarters with a measured reaction, GRAL moved an average of ±15.9% in the first session after reporting. It closed higher 38% of the time; the largest gain was 15.4% and the largest drop -50.6%.
GRAL fell in the first session after 5 of its last 8 EPS beats (63%). A beat that was already priced in, or weaker guidance, can send a stock lower. In 4 of the 5 of those falls where price data is available, the stock had already risen before the report.
Across its last 8 quarters with price data, GRAL moved an average of +26.0% in the 20 trading sessions before reporting and was higher in 88% of them. After a run-up of 3% or more (6 quarters), it fell the next day 67% of the time, averaging -5.6%. This describes past reports; it is not a forecast.
In 8 reports GRAL opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 4 of 8 times (50%), and fully reversed 4 times. A fade means the opening move was partly undone during the first session.
How we calculate these numbers · GRAL: 8 reported quarters, latest Aug 5, 2026. Information only, not investment advice.
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