Firefly Aerospace Inc.(FLY)Earnings Date, History & Expected Move
Next report date, beat rate and options-implied move
FLY is scheduled to report on Nov 10, 2026, usually after the market closes. Analysts expect EPS of -$0.48.
EPS: Actual vs Estimate
Reported EPS against the consensus estimate, last 5 quarters.
Green beat or met, red missed, amber sources differ.
Stock Reaction After Earnings
Close-to-close move in the first session that reflected each report.
Dashed lines mark the average actual move (±7.9%).
Did the stock rise after good news?
The next-day move after each of its last 3 EPS beats and 1 misses.
In plain words: it beat expectations 3 times, but the stock still fell 1 of those 3 times.
- Aug '26Beat▲ +0.7%
- May '26Beat▼ -5.5%
- Mar '26Beat▲ +1.1%
- Sep '25Missed▼ -15.3%
Clear beats and misses with a known reaction only. What counts as a beat
Why did FLY fall after beating earnings?
1 of FLY's last 4 reactions went against the EPS result. What stands out in each:
FLY beat EPS estimates in 3 quarters, and the stock still closed lower the next day 1 time.
- May 4, 2026EPS beat +11.5%stock -5.5% next day
- It opened 15.9% higher, but sellers took over and it closed -5.5%.
Patterns in estimates and prices, not confirmed causes: how we read them.
Was FLY's earnings move already priced in?
FLY's move in the month before each of its last 5 reports, against what it did after.
How the run-up is measured (a move of 5% or more counts as large).
Before vs after each report
Grey: the month before each of the last 5 reports. Green or red: the day after.
Past reports only. How the run-up is measured
Does FLY hold its opening gap after earnings?
FLY's opening move after each report and where it closed that day.
In 5 reports FLY opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 2 of 5 times (40%), and fully reversed 1 time.
- Aug 11, 2026HeldOpened +1.3%, closed +0.7%
- May 4, 2026ReversedOpened +15.9%, closed -5.5%
- Mar 19, 2026FadedOpened +11.3%, closed +1.1%
- Nov 12, 2025HeldOpened +23.8%, closed +17.0%
- Sep 22, 2025HeldOpened -12.0%, closed -15.3%
What the history says
- FLY has beaten EPS estimates in 3 straight quarters (quarters where our data sources disagree are skipped).
FLY earnings history
Last 5 reported quarters with the stock's reaction.
Swipe sideways to see every column →
| Report date | Time | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | 1-day move | 3-day move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | After close | -$0.53 | -$0.42 | +20.8% | +0.68% | +1.18% |
| May 4, 2026 | After close | -$0.52 | -$0.46 | +11.5% | -5.54% | -3.03% |
| Mar 19, 2026 | After close | -$0.48 | -$0.38 | +20.8% | +1.13% | +3.35% |
| Nov 12, 2025 | After close | -$0.44 | -$0.55 | sources differ | +16.99% | +6.39% |
| Sep 22, 2025 | After close | -$0.46 | -$5.66 | -1130.4% | -15.31% | -23.95% |
Consensus for the next report: EPS -$0.48, revenue $103.32M.
FLY Earnings FAQ
Answers computed from Firefly Aerospace Inc.'s reported history
FLY is scheduled to report on Nov 10, 2026, usually after the market closes. Analysts expect EPS of -$0.48.
Over the last 4 quarters with a usable EPS surprise, FLY beat the consensus estimate 3 times (75%), missed 1 and landed in line 0. It has beaten estimates in each of the last 3 counted quarters. 1 quarter where our data sources disagree on beat versus miss are shown but not counted.
Across its last 5 quarters with a measured reaction, FLY moved an average of ±7.9% in the first session after reporting. It closed higher 60% of the time; the largest gain was 17.0% and the largest drop -15.3%.
Across its last 5 quarters with price data, FLY moved an average of -1.2% in the 20 trading sessions before reporting and was higher in 60% of them. After a run-up of 3% or more (3 quarters), it fell the next day 33% of the time, averaging -4.5%. This describes past reports; it is not a forecast.
In 5 reports FLY opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 2 of 5 times (40%), and fully reversed once. A fade means the opening move was partly undone during the first session.
How we calculate these numbers · FLY: 5 reported quarters, latest Aug 11, 2026. Information only, not investment advice.
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