4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc.(FDMT)
NASDAQ
$13.10
0.81 (6.59%)

4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc.(FDMT)Earnings Date, History & Expected Move
NASDAQ

FDMT is scheduled to report on Nov 11, 2026, usually after the market closes. Analysts expect EPS of -$1.07.

Next report
Nov 11, 2026
In 21 days · usually after close
EPS beat rate
33%
4 of 12 quarters
Avg move after earnings
±3.9%
Up 73% of the time · last 11
Options-implied move
—
No reliable options quote yet

EPS: Actual vs Estimate

Reported earnings per share against the consensus estimate, last 12 quarters.

Green = beat or met, red = missed, amber = our data sources disagree on beat vs miss for that quarter.

Stock Reaction After Earnings

Close-to-close move in the first session that reflected each report.

Dashed lines mark the average actual move (±3.9%).

Did the stock rise after good news?

"Beat" means the company earned more than analysts expected. Here is what the stock did the next day.

When it beat expectations
4 reports
When it missed expectations
6 reports
Report by report
  • Aug '26
    Missed
    ▲ +4.6%
  • May '26
    Missed
    ▲ +2.1%
  • Mar '26
    Beat
    ▲ +4.9%
  • Nov '25
    Missed
    ▼ -3.1%
  • Feb '25
    Missed
    ▼ -8.6%
  • Nov '24
    Missed
    ▲ +4.0%
  • Aug '24
    Beat
    ▲ +0.5%
  • May '24
    Beat
    ▲ +0.2%
  • Feb '24
    Missed
    ▲ +4.8%
  • Nov '23
    Beat
    ▲ +5.2%

Only reports with a clear beat or miss and a known price reaction are counted. A beat does not guarantee a gain.

After an EPS beat
+2.7%
average next-day move · up 100% of 4 times
After an EPS miss
+0.6%
average next-day move · up 67% of 6 times

Why did FDMT rise after missing earnings?

Beating or missing estimates is only part of the story. These are the measurable things that stand out for each surprising reaction.

Rose despite an EPS miss (4 of 6)

  • Aug 13, 2026EPS missed -2.0%stock +4.6% next day
    • The EPS miss was small (-2.0%).
  • May 7, 2026EPS missed -1.0%stock +2.1% next day
    • The EPS miss was small (-1.0%).
  • Nov 13, 2024EPS missed -12.9%stock +4.0% next day
    • It had already fallen 11.0% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so weak results may have been expected.
    • It opened 2.1% higher as soon as trading resumed.
  • Feb 29, 2024EPS missed -5.5%stock +4.8% next day
    • It opened 2.7% higher as soon as trading resumed.

These are patterns visible in estimates and prices, not confirmed causes. Information only, not investment advice.

Was FDMT's earnings move already priced in?

Stocks often move in the weeks before a report. This compares that run-up with what happened after the report.

Avg move in the month before
+2.0%
last 11 reports
Higher before the report
55%
of the time
After a run-up of 3%+
Fell 50%
4 reports, avg +0.3%
After a drop of 3%+
Rose 80%
5 reports, avg +0.2%

“Month before” is the move over the 20 trading days up to the last close before the report. “Priced in” means the good news may already be in the price. A run-up of 5% or more is treated as large.

Before vs after each report

Grey: how the stock moved in the 20 trading days before the report. Green or red: how it moved the day after.

Past reports only: this shows what happened, not what will happen.

Does FDMT hold its opening gap after earnings?

A gap is how far the stock opens from the previous close. A gap fades when the stock gives back at least half of it by the end of the day.

In 8 reports FDMT opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 4 of 8 times (50%), and fully reversed 2 times. Gaps up faded 2 of 5; gaps down recovered 2 of 3.

  • May 7, 2026Reversed
    Opened -8.6%, closed +2.1%
  • Mar 18, 2026Faded
    Opened +16.1%, closed +4.9%
  • Nov 10, 2025Held
    Opened -1.4%, closed -3.1%
  • Nov 13, 2024Held
    Opened +2.1%, closed +4.0%
  • Aug 8, 2024Faded
    Opened +6.4%, closed +0.5%
  • May 9, 2024Reversed
    Opened -1.8%, closed +0.2%
  • Feb 29, 2024Held
    Opened +2.7%, closed +4.8%
  • Nov 9, 2023Held
    Opened +5.7%, closed +5.2%

Gap = opening price vs the previous close. Close = the end of the first session that reflected the report. Reports without a clear opening time are left out.

FDMT earnings history

Last 12 reported quarters with the stock's reaction.

Swipe sideways to see every column →

Report dateTimeEPS est.EPS actualSurprise1-day move3-day move
Aug 13, 2026After close-$1.02-$1.04-2.0%+4.64%+26.35%
May 7, 2026After close-$1.00-$1.01-1.0%+2.11%+4.13%
Mar 18, 2026After close-$0.53$0.43+181.1%+4.91%+7.83%
Nov 10, 2025Before open-$0.98-$1.01-3.1%-3.14%+4.48%
Aug 11, 2025Before open-$0.69-$0.98-42.0%——
May 8, 2025After close-$0.86-$0.860.0%-4.94%+0.93%
Feb 28, 2025After close-$0.84-$0.90-7.1%-8.61%-8.17%
Nov 13, 2024After close-$0.70-$0.79-12.9%+4.02%+7.91%
Aug 8, 2024After close-$0.71-$0.63+11.3%+0.48%+1.43%
May 9, 2024After close-$0.76-$0.66+13.2%+0.23%+0.43%
Feb 29, 2024After close-$0.73-$0.77-5.5%+4.82%-3.50%
Nov 9, 2023After close-$0.60-$0.24+60.0%+5.24%+5.62%

Consensus for the next report: EPS -$1.07, revenue $2.75M.

FDMT Earnings FAQ

Answers computed from 4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc.'s reported history

FDMT is scheduled to report on Nov 11, 2026, usually after the market closes. Analysts expect EPS of -$1.07.

Over the last 12 quarters with a usable EPS surprise, FDMT beat the consensus estimate 4 times (33%), missed 7 and landed in line 1. It has missed estimates in each of the last 2 counted quarters.

Across its last 11 quarters with a measured reaction, FDMT moved an average of ±3.9% in the first session after reporting. It closed higher 73% of the time; the largest gain was 5.2% and the largest drop -8.6%.

FDMT fell in the first session after 0 of its last 4 EPS beats (0%). A beat that was already priced in, or weaker guidance, can send a stock lower.

Across its last 11 quarters with price data, FDMT moved an average of +2.0% in the 20 trading sessions before reporting and was higher in 55% of them. After a run-up of 3% or more (4 quarters), it fell the next day 50% of the time, averaging +0.3%. After a drop of 3% or more (5 quarters), it rose the next day 80% of the time, averaging +0.2%. This describes past reports; it is not a forecast.

In 8 reports FDMT opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 4 of 8 times (50%), and fully reversed 2 times. A fade means the opening move was partly undone during the first session.

How we calculate these numbers

Reported EPS and estimates come from Yahoo Finance; report times, upcoming dates and revenue come from Finnhub. The 1-day move is the close-to-close change over the first session that reflects the report (the report-day close for after-close reports, the prior close for pre-market reports); reactions are left blank when the report time is unknown or looks inconsistent. The expected move is the price of the nearest at-the-money straddle that expires after the report divided by the share price, shown only when the quotes are liquid. Quarters where the two data sources disagree on beat versus miss are shown but never counted. Information only, not investment advice.