Freeport-McMoran Inc(FCX)Earnings Date, History & Expected Move

Next report date, beat rate and options-implied move

Next report

Oct 27, 2026

FCX is scheduled to report on Oct 27, 2026, before the market opens. Analysts expect EPS of $0.80.

Next report

Oct 27, 2026

In 3 days · before open

EPS beat rate

100%

12 of 12 quarters

Avg move after earnings

±3.3%

Up 33% of the time · last 12

Options-implied move

±6.5%

1.98x history · options look expensive

Options look expensive vs history (1.98x)

Add to calendar

EPS: Actual vs Estimate

Reported EPS against the consensus estimate, last 12 quarters.

Green beat or met, red missed, amber sources differ.

Stock Reaction After Earnings

Close-to-close move in the first session that reflected each report.

Dashed lines: average actual move (±3.3%) and what options price for the next report (±6.5%).

Did the stock rise after good news?

The next-day move after each of its last 12 EPS beats and 0 misses.

When it beat expectations

12 reports

▲ Rose 4×

▼ Fell 8×

In plain words: it beat expectations 12 times, but the stock still fell 8 of those 12 times.

Report by report

Jul '26
Beat
▼ -2.3%
Apr '26
Beat
▼ -12.6%
Jan '26
Beat
▼ -2.9%
Oct '25
Beat
▲ +1.1%
Jul '25
Beat
▼ -2.1%
Apr '25
Beat
▲ +6.9%
Jan '25
Beat
▼ -1.5%
Oct '24
Beat
▲ +1.2%
Jul '24
Beat
▼ -1.6%
Apr '24
Beat
▼ -2.0%
Jan '24
Beat
▲ +4.1%
Oct '23
Beat
▼ -1.1%

Clear beats and misses with a known reaction only. What counts as a beat

After an EPS beat

-1.1%

average next-day move · up 33% of 12 times

After an EPS miss

—

Not enough quarters yet

Why did FCX fall after beating earnings?

8 of FCX's last 12 reactions went against the EPS result. What stands out in each:

FCX beat EPS estimates in 12 quarters, and the stock still closed lower the next day 8 times. In 5 of the 8 where we have price data, the stock had already run up before the report.

Jul 23, 2026EPS beat +19.4%stock -2.3% next day
- It had risen 6.6% in the final week before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
- It opened 3.6% lower as soon as trading resumed.
Apr 23, 2026EPS beat +21.3%stock -12.6% next day
- It had risen 24.6% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
- It opened 11.5% lower as soon as trading resumed.
Jan 22, 2026EPS beat +46.9%stock -2.9% next day
- It had risen 23.3% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
Jul 23, 2025EPS beat +22.7%stock -2.1% next day
- It had risen 11.9% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
- It opened 2.5% lower as soon as trading resumed.
Jan 23, 2025EPS beat +40.9%stock -1.5% next day
- It opened 2.5% lower as soon as trading resumed.
Jul 23, 2024EPS beat +21.1%stock -1.6% next day
- It opened 2.2% lower as soon as trading resumed.

Patterns in estimates and prices, not confirmed causes: how we read them.

Was FCX's earnings move already priced in?

FCX's move in the month before each of its last 12 reports, against what it did after.

Avg move in the month before

+3.6%

last 12 reports

Higher before the report

67%

of the time

After a run-up of 3%+

Fell 67%

6 reports, avg -2.9%

After a drop of 3%+

Rose 50%

4 reports, avg +2.1%

How the run-up is measured (a move of 5% or more counts as large).

Before vs after each report

Grey: the month before each of the last 12 reports. Green or red: the day after.

Past reports only. How the run-up is measured

Does FCX hold its opening gap after earnings?

FCX's opening move after each report and where it closed that day.

In 10 reports FCX opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 1 of 10 times (10%). Gaps up faded 1 of 4; gaps down recovered 0 of 6.

Jul 23, 2026Held
Opened -3.6%, closed -2.3%
Apr 23, 2026Held
Opened -11.5%, closed -12.6%
Oct 23, 2025Held
Opened +1.6%, closed +1.1%
Jul 23, 2025Held
Opened -2.5%, closed -2.1%
Apr 24, 2025Held
Opened +1.1%, closed +6.9%
Jan 23, 2025Held
Opened -2.5%, closed -1.5%
Oct 22, 2024Faded
Opened +4.3%, closed +1.2%
Jul 23, 2024Held
Opened -2.2%, closed -1.6%

How gaps, fades and reversals are defined

What the history says

FCX has beaten EPS estimates in 12 straight quarters.
It fell after 8 of its 12 EPS beats (67%): beating estimates has not been enough on its own.
Options price a ±6.5% move, 1.98x its usual ±3.3%: the market expects more volatility than FCX has typically delivered.

FCX earnings history

Last 12 reported quarters with the stock's reaction.

Swipe sideways to see every column →

Report date	Time	EPS est.	EPS actual	Surprise	1-day move	3-day move
Jul 23, 2026	Before open	$0.62	$0.74	+19.4%	-2.31%	-3.51%
Apr 23, 2026	Before open	$0.47	$0.57	+21.3%	-12.62%	-13.91%
Jan 22, 2026	Before open	$0.32	$0.47	+46.9%	-2.86%	+0.97%
Oct 23, 2025	Before open	$0.41	$0.50	+22.0%	+1.10%	+0.78%
Jul 23, 2025	Before open	$0.44	$0.54	+22.7%	-2.10%	-1.99%
Apr 24, 2025	Before open	$0.23	$0.24	+4.3%	+6.93%	+5.83%
Jan 23, 2025	Before open	$0.22	$0.31	+40.9%	-1.51%	-6.19%
Oct 22, 2024	Before open	$0.37	$0.38	+2.7%	+1.23%	-2.29%
Jul 23, 2024	Before open	$0.38	$0.46	+21.1%	-1.61%	-3.22%
Apr 23, 2024	Before open	$0.28	$0.32	+14.3%	-1.96%	+0.92%
Jan 24, 2024	Before open	$0.23	$0.27	+17.4%	+4.06%	+3.72%
Oct 19, 2023	Before open	$0.34	$0.39	+14.7%	-1.07%	-5.90%

Consensus for the next report: EPS $0.80, revenue $7.48B.

FCX Earnings FAQ

Answers computed from Freeport-McMoran Inc's reported history

FCX is scheduled to report on Oct 27, 2026, before the market opens. Analysts expect EPS of $0.80.

Over the last 12 quarters with a usable EPS surprise, FCX beat the consensus estimate 12 times (100%), missed 0 and landed in line 0. It has beaten estimates in each of the last 12 counted quarters.

Across its last 12 quarters with a measured reaction, FCX moved an average of ±3.3% in the first session after reporting. It closed higher 33% of the time; the largest gain was 6.9% and the largest drop -12.6%.

Options currently price a move of about ±6.5% (nearest at-the-money straddle that expires after the report). It measures the size of the expected move, not its direction. That is 1.98x its average historical move of ±3.3%, so options look expensive relative to history.

FCX fell in the first session after 8 of its last 12 EPS beats (67%). A beat that was already priced in, or weaker guidance, can send a stock lower. In 5 of the 8 of those falls where price data is available, the stock had already risen before the report.

Across its last 12 quarters with price data, FCX moved an average of +3.6% in the 20 trading sessions before reporting and was higher in 67% of them. After a run-up of 3% or more (6 quarters), it fell the next day 67% of the time, averaging -2.9%. After a drop of 3% or more (4 quarters), it rose the next day 50% of the time, averaging +2.1%. This describes past reports; it is not a forecast.

In 10 reports FCX opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 1 of 10 times (10%), and fully reversed 0 times. A fade means the opening move was partly undone during the first session.

How we calculate these numbers · FCX: 12 reported quarters, latest Jul 23, 2026. Information only, not investment advice.

Earnings this week

Every report this week with expected moves.

Biggest expected earnings moves

Options-implied vs historical move, ranked.