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Etsy Inc(ETSY)Earnings Date, History & Expected Move

Next report
Oct 28, 2026

ETSY is scheduled to report on Oct 28, 2026, before the market opens. Analysts expect EPS of $0.81.

Next report
Oct 28, 2026
In 4 days · before open
EPS beat rate
36%
4 of 11 quarters (+1 not counted)
Avg move after earnings
±7.9%
Up 42% of the time · last 12
Options-implied move
±11.0%
1.39x history · options look expensive
Options look expensive vs history (1.39x)
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EPS: Actual vs Estimate

Reported EPS against the consensus estimate, last 12 quarters.

Green beat or met, red missed, amber sources differ.

Stock Reaction After Earnings

Close-to-close move in the first session that reflected each report.

Dashed lines: average actual move (±7.9%) and what options price for the next report (±11.0%).

Did the stock rise after good news?

The next-day move after each of its last 4 EPS beats and 6 misses.

When it beat expectations
4 reports
When it missed expectations
6 reports

In plain words: it beat expectations 4 times, but the stock still fell 2 of those 4 times.

Report by report
  • Aug '26
    Missed
    ▼ -4.2%
  • Feb '26
    Beat
    ▲ +9.3%
  • Oct '25
    Beat
    ▼ -12.8%
  • Jul '25
    Missed
    ▲ +2.8%
  • Apr '25
    Missed
    ▼ -5.7%
  • Feb '25
    Beat
    ▼ -10.1%
  • Oct '24
    Missed
    ▲ +7.2%
  • May '24
    Missed
    ▼ -15.1%
  • Feb '24
    Missed
    ▼ -8.4%
  • Nov '23
    Beat
    ▲ +1.6%

Clear beats and misses with a known reaction only. What counts as a beat

After an EPS beat
-3.0%
average next-day move · up 50% of 4 times
After an EPS miss
-3.9%
average next-day move · up 33% of 6 times

Why did ETSY fall after beating earnings?

4 of ETSY's last 10 reactions went against the EPS result. What stands out in each:

ETSY beat EPS estimates in 4 quarters, and the stock still closed lower the next day 2 times.

  • Oct 29, 2025EPS beat +21.2%stock -12.8% next day
    • It had risen 12.6% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
    • It opened 6.0% lower as soon as trading resumed.
  • Feb 19, 2025EPS beat +9.6%stock -10.1% next day
    • It had risen 7.9% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
    • It opened 5.7% lower as soon as trading resumed.

Rose despite an EPS miss (2 of 6)

  • Jul 30, 2025EPS missed -49.0%stock +2.8% next day
    • It had already fallen 5.3% in the final week before the report, so weak results may have been expected.
    • It opened 9.0% higher as soon as trading resumed.
  • Oct 30, 2024EPS missed -15.1%stock +7.2% next day
    • It had already fallen 7.4% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so weak results may have been expected.
    • It opened 9.3% higher as soon as trading resumed.

Patterns in estimates and prices, not confirmed causes: how we read them.

Was ETSY's earnings move already priced in?

ETSY's move in the month before each of its last 12 reports, against what it did after.

Avg move in the month before
+6.2%
last 12 reports
Higher before the report
67%
of the time
After a run-up of 3%+
Fell 75%
8 reports, avg -5.7%
After a drop of 3%+
Rose 100%
3 reports, avg +6.0%

How the run-up is measured (a move of 5% or more counts as large).

Before vs after each report

Grey: the month before each of the last 12 reports. Green or red: the day after.

Past reports only. How the run-up is measured

Does ETSY hold its opening gap after earnings?

ETSY's opening move after each report and where it closed that day.

In 12 reports ETSY opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 3 of 12 times (25%), and fully reversed 2 times. Gaps up faded 2 of 5; gaps down recovered 1 of 7.

  • Aug 5, 2026Held
    Opened -4.5%, closed -4.2%
  • Apr 29, 2026Held
    Opened +6.0%, closed +10.1%
  • Feb 19, 2026Held
    Opened +10.2%, closed +9.3%
  • Oct 29, 2025Held
    Opened -6.0%, closed -12.8%
  • Jul 30, 2025Faded
    Opened +9.0%, closed +2.8%
  • Apr 30, 2025Reversed
    Opened +1.0%, closed -5.7%
  • Feb 19, 2025Held
    Opened -5.7%, closed -10.1%
  • Oct 30, 2024Held
    Opened +9.3%, closed +7.2%

How gaps, fades and reversals are defined

What the history says

  • It fell after 2 of its 4 EPS beats (50%): beating estimates has not been enough on its own.
  • Options price a ±11.0% move, 1.39x its usual ±7.9%: the market expects more volatility than ETSY has typically delivered.

ETSY earnings history

Last 12 reported quarters with the stock's reaction.

Swipe sideways to see every column →

Report dateTimeEPS est.EPS actualSurprise1-day move3-day move
Aug 5, 2026After close$0.73-$0.36-149.3%-4.19%-6.36%
Apr 29, 2026Before open$0.62$0.60sources differ+10.11%-0.06%
Feb 19, 2026Before open$0.85$0.92+8.2%+9.28%+18.89%
Oct 29, 2025Before open$0.52$0.63+21.2%-12.80%-17.09%
Jul 30, 2025Before open$0.49$0.25-49.0%+2.79%-2.54%
Apr 30, 2025Before open$0.47-$0.49-204.3%-5.74%-3.97%
Feb 19, 2025Before open$0.94$1.03+9.6%-10.05%-10.53%
Oct 30, 2024After close$0.53$0.45-15.1%+7.19%+8.92%
Jul 31, 2024After close$0.98$0.980.0%-7.65%-14.88%
May 1, 2024After close$0.49$0.48-2.0%-15.06%-10.44%
Feb 21, 2024After close$0.78$0.62-20.5%-8.44%-6.70%
Nov 1, 2023After close$0.51$0.64+25.5%+1.60%+3.99%

Consensus for the next report: EPS $0.81, revenue $680.57M.

ETSY Earnings FAQ

Answers computed from Etsy Inc's reported history

ETSY is scheduled to report on Oct 28, 2026, before the market opens. Analysts expect EPS of $0.81.

Over the last 11 quarters with a usable EPS surprise, ETSY beat the consensus estimate 4 times (36%), missed 6 and landed in line 1. 1 quarter where our data sources disagree on beat versus miss are shown but not counted.

Across its last 12 quarters with a measured reaction, ETSY moved an average of ±7.9% in the first session after reporting. It closed higher 42% of the time; the largest gain was 10.1% and the largest drop -15.1%.

Options currently price a move of about ±11.0% (nearest at-the-money straddle that expires after the report). It measures the size of the expected move, not its direction. That is 1.39x its average historical move of ±7.9%, so options look expensive relative to history.

ETSY fell in the first session after 2 of its last 4 EPS beats (50%). A beat that was already priced in, or weaker guidance, can send a stock lower.

Across its last 12 quarters with price data, ETSY moved an average of +6.2% in the 20 trading sessions before reporting and was higher in 67% of them. After a run-up of 3% or more (8 quarters), it fell the next day 75% of the time, averaging -5.7%. After a drop of 3% or more (3 quarters), it rose the next day 100% of the time, averaging +6.0%. This describes past reports; it is not a forecast.

In 12 reports ETSY opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 3 of 12 times (25%), and fully reversed 2 times. A fade means the opening move was partly undone during the first session.

How we calculate these numbers · ETSY: 12 reported quarters, latest Aug 5, 2026. Information only, not investment advice.

Earnings this week
Every report this week with expected moves.
Biggest expected earnings moves
Options-implied vs historical move, ranked.

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