Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.(CMG)
NYSE
$29.65
-0.20 (-0.67%)

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.(CMG)Stock Price & Analysis
NYSE

CMG Stock Price Today (October 2026) — Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. Analysis & Key Metrics 2026-10-20

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) is trading at $29.65, down 0.67% today (as of October 2026). The stock continues to show pressure below major moving averages, attracting attention from investors looking for Consumer Cyclical growth opportunities.

  • According to consensus analyst estimates, the 1-year price target is $43.55 (46.9% upside).
  • Volatility is moderate (34.58% annualized), implying notable price swings for short-term traders.
  • The fundamental picture, based on the latest financial filings, is nuanced: solid revenue growth (9.30% YoY) alongside competitive pressures in the Restaurants space.

CMG Stock Analysis: Key Metrics & Valuation (October 2026)

Concise, actionable data for investors

Trend posture
Downtrend: below 50- and 200-day averages
Analyst 1Y target$43.55+46.9%
Volatility (30d ann.)34.58%Moderate
RSI (14-day)
30.21 (Neutral)
Debt$5.42B (2.46x D/E)

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. - Historical Price & Volume

$29.65
-30.05 (-50.34%)
  • Price
  • Volume
  • Latest price
Range: 2Y

Market Cap

$37.52B

Enterprise Value: $42.26B

P/E Ratio

26.95

Forward P/E: 21.86

Revenue Growth

+9.30%

Year over Year

Analyst Target

$43.55

+46.9% upside potential

Key Investor Questions About CMG

What investors need to know before buying

Is it a good time to buy CMG stock?

Based on current market data, CMG presents a neutral technical setup with mixed signals fundamentals.

  • Technicals say: Neutral (RSI 30.21)
  • Fundamentals say: Mixed signals (nuanced financial profile)
Can CMG sustain revenue growth in the Restaurants market?

CMG's growth trajectory depends on its ability to expand within the Restaurants sector while managing margin pressures.

  • Future growth will depend on performance in core Restaurants operations.
  • The ability to manage competitive pressures will be crucial for sustained growth.
What are the biggest risks facing CMG stock?

The primary risks for CMG investors include debt exposure and competitive dynamics in the Restaurants industry.

  • $5.42B in debt could be a headwind in a high-rate environment.
  • Fierce competition from established players in Restaurants.

52-Week Trading Range

52-Week Low$28.04
52-Week High$42.74
Current Price$29.65

Over the past year, CMG stock traded between $28.04 and $42.74 and currently trades near the low end of that range. Big swings are likely unless a major catalyst emerges.

Volatility & Risk Profile

30-Day Volatility34.58%
Beta0.68
RSI (14-day)30.21

With 34.58% annualized volatility and β=0.68, the stock exhibits low sensitivity to market moves—making CMG suitable for investors comfortable with active risk management.

Institutional & Insider Ownership

Insider Ownership0.72%
Institutional Ownership92.64%
Shares Short37.81M

High institutional ownership with low short interest suggests steadier hands and low immediate risk.

Analyst Sentiment & Price Targets

Mean Target
$43.55
Upside Potential
+46.9%
Recommendation
buy
Analysts see strong upside potential with a target of $43.55. The 46.9% upside suggests optimistic growth expectations.

Earnings snapshot

Next report Oct 28, 2026 (after the close)

EPS beat rate
67% (8/12)
Avg move after earnings
±6.7%
Options-implied move
±8.3%
Options vs history
Fair
CMG earnings history, charts and expected move

Frequently Asked Questions

Common investor questions about Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) is currently trading at $29.65. The RSI (14-day) is at 30.2, indicating neutral territory. Wall Street analysts have a consensus "buy" recommendation. The mean analyst price target of $43.55 implies 46.9% upside from current levels. Volatility is moderate at 34.6% annualized, meaning price movements are relatively contained. Investors should consider their risk tolerance, investment horizon, and portfolio diversification before making a decision.

Based on current valuation metrics for Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG): The trailing P/E ratio is 26.95, which is in line with broader market averages. The forward P/E is 21.86, lower than the trailing P/E, suggesting analysts expect earnings improvement. Price-to-Book is 17.09. Price-to-Sales is 3.02. Valuation should be compared to Restaurants industry peers for context, as different sectors trade at different multiples.

Based on 31 analysts covering CMG, the consensus price target is $43.55. This represents a 46.9% upside from the current price of $29.65. The range spans from a low target of $35.00 to a high target of $53.00, reflecting varying levels of optimism among analysts. The consensus recommendation is "buy". Note: Analyst price targets are forward-looking estimates and not guarantees of future performance.

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) does not currently pay a regular dividend. The company may be reinvesting profits into growth initiatives, or may not yet be profitable enough to distribute earnings to shareholders.

Key risks for Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) investors include: 1. Moderate volatility (34.6% annualized)—price swings are notable. 2. Elevated debt levels (debt-to-equity of 2.46x) which could pressure margins in a rising rate environment. 3. Broader market and macroeconomic risks (interest rates, inflation, geopolitical events). 4. Restaurants sector-specific competitive pressures. Investors should diversify and consider their risk tolerance before investing.

Here is Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.'s (CMG) current debt and financial health profile: Total debt stands at $5.42B. The debt-to-equity ratio is 2.46x, which is high and could pose financial risk if earnings decline or borrowing costs increase. The current ratio is 0.72, which is below 1.0 and may indicate short-term liquidity concerns. The quick ratio is 0.59. The company holds $677.86M in cash and equivalents. Free cash flow is positive at $1.57B, providing a cushion for debt servicing and shareholder returns.