Blue Bird Corp(BLBD)Earnings Date, History & Expected Move
Next report date, beat rate and options-implied move
BLBD is scheduled to report on Nov 23, 2026, after the market closes. Analysts expect EPS of $1.51.
EPS: Actual vs Estimate
Reported EPS against the consensus estimate, last 12 quarters.
Green beat or met, red missed, amber sources differ.
Stock Reaction After Earnings
Close-to-close move in the first session that reflected each report.
Dashed lines mark the average actual move (±9.0%).
Did the stock rise after good news?
The next-day move after each of its last 11 EPS beats and 1 misses.
In plain words: it beat expectations 11 times, but the stock still fell 4 of those 11 times.
- Aug '26Missed▼ -14.2%
- May '26Beat▲ +8.9%
- Feb '26Beat▲ +11.8%
- Nov '25Beat▼ -5.5%
- Aug '25Beat▲ +18.5%
- May '25Beat▼ -1.4%
- Feb '25Beat▲ +4.2%
- Nov '24Beat▼ -5.0%
- Aug '24Beat▲ +0.3%
- May '24Beat▲ +24.5%
- Feb '24Beat▼ -2.9%
- Dec '23Beat▲ +10.5%
Clear beats and misses with a known reaction only. What counts as a beat
Why did BLBD fall after beating earnings?
4 of BLBD's last 12 reactions went against the EPS result. What stands out in each:
BLBD beat EPS estimates in 11 quarters, and the stock still closed lower the next day 4 times. In 4 of the 4 where we have price data, the stock had already run up before the report.
- Nov 24, 2025EPS beat +29.4%stock -5.5% next day
- It had risen 9.7% in the final week before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
- It opened 1.8% higher, but sellers took over and it closed -5.5%.
- May 7, 2025EPS beat +1.1%stock -1.4% next day
- It had risen 20.7% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
- The EPS beat was small (+1.1%).
- It opened 3.8% lower as soon as trading resumed.
- Nov 25, 2024EPS beat +18.5%stock -5.0% next day
- It had risen 14.0% in the final week before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
- It opened 9.2% lower as soon as trading resumed.
- Feb 7, 2024EPS beat +175.8%stock -2.9% next day
- It had risen 23.4% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
- It opened 5.6% higher, but sellers took over and it closed -2.9%.
Patterns in estimates and prices, not confirmed causes: how we read them.
Was BLBD's earnings move already priced in?
BLBD's move in the month before each of its last 12 reports, against what it did after.
How the run-up is measured (a move of 5% or more counts as large).
Before vs after each report
Grey: the month before each of the last 12 reports. Green or red: the day after.
Past reports only. How the run-up is measured
Does BLBD hold its opening gap after earnings?
BLBD's opening move after each report and where it closed that day.
In 11 reports BLBD opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 4 of 11 times (36%), and fully reversed 3 times. Gaps up faded 2 of 7; gaps down recovered 2 of 4.
- Aug 5, 2026HeldOpened -8.9%, closed -14.2%
- May 6, 2026HeldOpened +17.1%, closed +8.9%
- Feb 4, 2026HeldOpened +4.5%, closed +11.8%
- Nov 24, 2025ReversedOpened +1.8%, closed -5.5%
- Aug 6, 2025HeldOpened +17.3%, closed +18.5%
- May 7, 2025FadedOpened -3.8%, closed -1.4%
- Nov 25, 2024HeldOpened -9.2%, closed -5.0%
- Aug 7, 2024ReversedOpened -6.7%, closed +0.3%
BLBD earnings history
Last 12 reported quarters with the stock's reaction.
Swipe sideways to see every column →
| Report date | Time | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | 1-day move | 3-day move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | After close | $1.30 | $1.28 | -1.5% | -14.19% | -15.08% |
| May 6, 2026 | After close | $0.87 | $1.00 | +14.9% | +8.92% | +8.18% |
| Feb 4, 2026 | After close | $0.80 | $1.00 | +25.0% | +11.77% | +15.40% |
| Nov 24, 2025 | After close | $1.02 | $1.32 | +29.4% | -5.50% | -4.81% |
| Aug 6, 2025 | After close | $0.98 | $1.19 | +21.4% | +18.51% | +23.90% |
| May 7, 2025 | After close | $0.95 | $0.96 | +1.1% | -1.38% | +5.80% |
| Feb 5, 2025 | After close | $0.81 | $0.92 | +13.6% | +4.20% | +7.22% |
| Nov 25, 2024 | After close | $0.65 | $0.77 | +18.5% | -5.00% | -5.09% |
| Aug 7, 2024 | After close | $0.51 | $0.91 | +78.4% | +0.27% | -1.92% |
| May 8, 2024 | After close | $0.48 | $0.89 | +85.4% | +24.45% | +29.89% |
| Feb 7, 2024 | After close | $0.33 | $0.91 | +175.8% | -2.94% | -0.80% |
| Dec 11, 2023 | After close | $0.48 | $0.66 | +37.5% | +10.45% | +19.26% |
Consensus for the next report: EPS $1.51, revenue $560.33M.
BLBD Earnings FAQ
Answers computed from Blue Bird Corp's reported history
BLBD is scheduled to report on Nov 23, 2026, after the market closes. Analysts expect EPS of $1.51.
Over the last 12 quarters with a usable EPS surprise, BLBD beat the consensus estimate 11 times (92%), missed 1 and landed in line 0.
Across its last 12 quarters with a measured reaction, BLBD moved an average of ±9.0% in the first session after reporting. It closed higher 58% of the time; the largest gain was 24.5% and the largest drop -14.2%.
BLBD fell in the first session after 4 of its last 11 EPS beats (36%). A beat that was already priced in, or weaker guidance, can send a stock lower. In 4 of the 4 of those falls where price data is available, the stock had already risen before the report.
Across its last 12 quarters with price data, BLBD moved an average of +5.5% in the 20 trading sessions before reporting and was higher in 75% of them. After a run-up of 3% or more (7 quarters), it fell the next day 43% of the time, averaging +6.5%. This describes past reports; it is not a forecast.
In 11 reports BLBD opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 4 of 11 times (36%), and fully reversed 3 times. A fade means the opening move was partly undone during the first session.
How we calculate these numbers · BLBD: 12 reported quarters, latest Aug 5, 2026. Information only, not investment advice.
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