California BanCorp \ CA(BCAL)Earnings Date, History & Expected Move

Next report
Oct 26, 2026

BCAL is scheduled to report on Oct 26, 2026, usually before the market opens. Analysts expect EPS of $0.44.

Next report
Oct 26, 2026
In 2 days · usually before open
EPS beat rate
75%
9 of 12 quarters
Avg move after earnings
±1.5%
Up 67% of the time · last 12
Options-implied move
—
No reliable options quote yet

EPS: Actual vs Estimate

Reported EPS against the consensus estimate, last 12 quarters.

Green beat or met, red missed, amber sources differ.

Stock Reaction After Earnings

Close-to-close move in the first session that reflected each report.

Dashed lines mark the average actual move (±1.5%).

Did the stock rise after good news?

The next-day move after each of its last 9 EPS beats and 3 misses.

When it beat expectations
9 reports
When it missed expectations
3 reports

In plain words: it beat expectations 9 times, but the stock still fell 2 of those 9 times.

Report by report
  • Jul '26
    Beat
    ▲ +0.9%
  • Apr '26
    Beat
    ▲ +0.4%
  • Jan '26
    Beat
    ▼ -0.3%
  • Oct '25
    Beat
    ▲ +2.8%
  • Jul '25
    Beat
    ▲ +0.2%
  • Apr '25
    Beat
    ▲ +3.2%
  • Jan '25
    Beat
    ▲ +5.4%
  • Oct '24
    Beat
    ▲ +0.8%
  • Jul '24
    Missed
    ▼ -1.4%
  • Apr '24
    Beat
    ▼ -0.8%
  • Jan '24
    Missed
    ▼ -0.2%
  • Oct '23
    Missed
    ▲ +1.9%

Clear beats and misses with a known reaction only. What counts as a beat

After an EPS beat
+1.4%
average next-day move · up 78% of 9 times
After an EPS miss
+0.1%
average next-day move · up 33% of 3 times

Why did BCAL fall after beating earnings?

3 of BCAL's last 12 reactions went against the EPS result. What stands out in each:

BCAL beat EPS estimates in 9 quarters, and the stock still closed lower the next day 2 times.

  • Jan 28, 2026EPS beat +16.3%stock -0.3% next day

    Nothing in the price and estimate numbers we track stands out for this one. Guidance and management comments are not part of our data.

  • Apr 29, 2024EPS beat +11.5%stock -0.8% next day

    Nothing in the price and estimate numbers we track stands out for this one. Guidance and management comments are not part of our data.

Rose despite an EPS miss (1 of 3)

  • Oct 26, 2023EPS missed -5.4%stock +1.9% next day
    • It had already fallen 6.1% in the final week before the report, so weak results may have been expected.
    • It opened 2.0% higher as soon as trading resumed.

Patterns in estimates and prices, not confirmed causes: how we read them.

Was BCAL's earnings move already priced in?

BCAL's move in the month before each of its last 12 reports, against what it did after.

Avg move in the month before
-0.7%
last 12 reports
Higher before the report
42%
of the time
After a drop of 3%+
Rose 80%
5 reports, avg +2.1%

How the run-up is measured (a move of 5% or more counts as large).

Before vs after each report

Grey: the month before each of the last 12 reports. Green or red: the day after.

Past reports only. How the run-up is measured

Does BCAL hold its opening gap after earnings?

BCAL's opening move after each report and where it closed that day.

In 5 reports BCAL opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 2 of 5 times (40%), and fully reversed 1 time.

  • Jul 27, 2026Faded
    Opened +2.3%, closed +0.9%
  • Apr 24, 2025Held
    Opened +2.5%, closed +3.2%
  • Jul 29, 2024Held
    Opened -2.3%, closed -1.4%
  • Jan 30, 2024Reversed
    Opened +4.9%, closed -0.2%
  • Oct 26, 2023Held
    Opened +2.0%, closed +1.9%

How gaps, fades and reversals are defined

What the history says

  • BCAL has beaten EPS estimates in 8 straight quarters.

BCAL earnings history

Last 12 reported quarters with the stock's reaction.

Swipe sideways to see every column →

Report dateTimeEPS est.EPS actualSurprise1-day move3-day move
Jul 27, 2026Before open$0.40$0.44+10.0%+0.90%+2.33%
Apr 28, 2026Before open$0.40$0.42+5.0%+0.42%-0.80%
Jan 28, 2026Before open$0.43$0.50+16.3%-0.33%-2.39%
Oct 28, 2025Before open$0.39$0.48+23.1%+2.85%+5.87%
Jul 28, 2025Before open$0.41$0.43+4.9%+0.19%-5.67%
Apr 24, 2025Before open$0.40$0.52+30.0%+3.22%+5.74%
Jan 29, 2025Before open$0.44$0.53+20.5%+5.44%+7.58%
Oct 29, 2024Before open$0.24$0.33+37.5%+0.77%+2.17%
Jul 29, 2024Before open$0.27$0.03-88.9%-1.44%+3.20%
Apr 29, 2024Before open$0.26$0.29+11.5%-0.78%-1.63%
Jan 30, 2024Before open$0.31$0.24-22.6%-0.24%-3.65%
Oct 26, 2023Before open$0.37$0.35-5.4%+1.91%-0.88%

Consensus for the next report: EPS $0.44, revenue $47.05M.

BCAL Earnings FAQ

Answers computed from California BanCorp \ CA's reported history

BCAL is scheduled to report on Oct 26, 2026, usually before the market opens. Analysts expect EPS of $0.44.

Over the last 12 quarters with a usable EPS surprise, BCAL beat the consensus estimate 9 times (75%), missed 3 and landed in line 0. It has beaten estimates in each of the last 8 counted quarters.

Across its last 12 quarters with a measured reaction, BCAL moved an average of ±1.5% in the first session after reporting. It closed higher 67% of the time; the largest gain was 5.4% and the largest drop -1.4%.

BCAL fell in the first session after 2 of its last 9 EPS beats (22%). A beat that was already priced in, or weaker guidance, can send a stock lower.

Across its last 12 quarters with price data, BCAL moved an average of -0.7% in the 20 trading sessions before reporting and was higher in 42% of them. After a drop of 3% or more (5 quarters), it rose the next day 80% of the time, averaging +2.1%. This describes past reports; it is not a forecast.

In 5 reports BCAL opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 2 of 5 times (40%), and fully reversed once. A fade means the opening move was partly undone during the first session.

How we calculate these numbers · BCAL: 12 reported quarters, latest Jul 27, 2026. Information only, not investment advice.

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