BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.(BBAI)
NASDAQ

BBAI Stock Analysis — May 2026

$4.18
-0.02 (-0.48%)

BBAI Stock Price Today (May 2026) — BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. Analysis & Key Metrics 2026-05-22

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) is trading at $4.18, down 0.48% today (as of May 2026). The stock continues to show early recovery signs above the short-term average, attracting attention from investors looking for Technology growth opportunities.

  • According to consensus analyst estimates, the 1-year price target is $5.33 (27.5% upside).
  • Volatility remains elevated (52.05% annualized), implying wide price swings for short-term traders.
  • The fundamental picture, based on the latest financial filings, is nuanced: solid revenue growth (-37.70% YoY) alongside significant competitive pressures.

BBAI Stock Analysis: Key Metrics & Valuation (May 2026)

Concise, actionable data for investors

Trend posture
Short-term pullback in long-term uptrend
Analyst 1Y target5.3327.5%
Volatility (30d ann.)52.0545High
RSI (14-day)
54.68 (Neutral)
Debt$114.81M (18.76 D/E)

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. - Historical Price & Volume

$4.18
+2.61 (+166.24%)
Price
Volume
Current Price Line
Range: 2Y

Market Cap

$1.98B

Enterprise Value: $1.80B

P/E Ratio

N/A

Forward P/E: -20.70

Revenue Growth

-37.70%

Year over Year

Analyst Target

$5.33

+27.5% upside potential

Key Investor Questions About BBAI

What investors need to know before buying

Is it a good time to buy BBAI stock?

Based on current market data, BBAI presents a neutral technical setup with challenging fundamentals.

  • Technicals say: Neutral (RSI 54.68)
  • Fundamentals say: Challenging (declining revenue trends)
Can BBAI sustain revenue growth in the Information Technology Services market?

BBAI's growth trajectory depends on its ability to expand within the Information Technology Services sector while managing margin pressures.

  • Future growth will depend on performance in core Information Technology Services operations.
  • The ability to manage competitive pressures will be crucial for sustained growth.
What are the biggest risks facing BBAI stock?

The primary risks for BBAI investors include debt exposure and competitive dynamics in the Information Technology Services industry.

  • $114.81M in debt could be a headwind in a high-rate environment.
  • Fierce competition from established players in Information Technology Services.

52-Week Trading Range

52-Week Low$2.96
52-Week High$9.39
Current Price$4.18

Over the past year, BBAI stock traded between $2.96 and $9.39—recovering meaningfully from lows and currently near the higher end. Big swings are likely unless a major catalyst emerges.

Volatility & Risk Profile

30-Day Volatility52.05%
Beta3.24
RSI (14-day)54.68

With 52.05% annualized volatility and β=3.24, the stock exhibits high sensitivity to market moves—making BBAI suitable for investors comfortable with active risk management.

Institutional & Insider Ownership

Insider Ownership66.40%
Institutional Ownership44.22%
Shares Short119.80M

Lower institutional support combined with high short selling points to negative sentiment.

Analyst Sentiment & Price Targets

Mean Target
$5.33
Upside Potential
27.5%
Recommendation
Hold
Analysts see strong upside potential with a target of $5.33. The 27.5% upside suggests optimistic growth expectations.

Latest News & Headlines

Recent headlines and coverage

Simply Wall St.May 22, 2026

Will First Panama Cargo Security Deal Mark a Turning Point in BigBear.ai’s (BBAI) Global Expansion Narrative

BigBear.ai recently announced that Panama Transshipment Group, the country’s largest logistics operator, signed a commercial agreement to be the first to deploy its AI-powered International Shipping Compliance cargo security solution in Panama. This move extends BigBear.ai’s mission-ready AI beyond defense into global trade security, using biometrics and real-time data to strengthen supply-chain integrity and customs oversight. We’ll now examine how this first commercial deployment with...

Insider MonkeyMay 22, 2026

Why BigBear.ai (BBAI) Is Still a Defense-AI Battleground

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:BBAI) is one of the best “moonshot” tech stocks to buy according to short sellers. The stock’s latest publicly reported short interest stood at 29.58% of float as of April 30, 2026, according to MarketBeat. BigBear.ai strengthened its defense-AI case on May 5, when it reported a first-quarter backlog of $281.9 million, […]

ZacksMay 21, 2026

BigBear.ai Lands Panama Deployment: Is Trade Security Scaling Up?

BBAI rolls out its AI cargo-security platform in Panama via a PTG deal, lifting shares 6.3% and pushing deeper into trade-and-travel security.

ZacksMay 20, 2026

SERV's Moxi Bet Broadens: Can Healthcare Add Recurring Revenues?

Serve Robotics moves beyond sidewalk delivery by integrating Diligent's Moxi robots, targeting recurring healthcare automation revenues and more autonomy data.

Simply Wall St.May 20, 2026

BigBear.ai Lawsuit And Restatements Put Reporting And Contract Story Under Review

BigBear.ai Holdings (NYSE:BBAI) is facing a material class action lawsuit tied to disclosed accounting errors. The company has stated that multiple years of financial statements require restatement. BigBear.ai is also experiencing ongoing delays in required regulatory filings. These developments follow prior market focus on valuation, revenue, and contract activity rather than legal and governance issues. BigBear.ai operates in the artificial intelligence and data analytics space, an area...

ZacksMay 19, 2026

SoundHound vs. BigBear.ai: Which AI Stock Has More Upside?

Can SOUN's LivePerson deal and OASYS momentum outshine BBAI's defense wins and cheap valuation in 2026?

24/7 Wall St.May 19, 2026

This AI ETF Shows Why Your AI Portfolio Isn’t Making You Money

Walk through a typical retail brokerage account in 2026 and the AI sleeve looks like a teenager’s bedroom. A little NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA), a little Palantir (NASDAQ:PLTR), a few “AI-adjacent” small caps somebody mentioned on a podcast, maybe a thematic fund bought because the ticker sounded clever. The Themes Generative Artificial Intelligence ETF (NASDAQ:WISE) is the cleanest case ... This AI ETF Shows Why Your AI Portfolio Isn’t Making You Money

Motley FoolMay 16, 2026

2 AI Stocks to Avoid (Including BigBear.ai) and 1 to Buy Now

BigBear.ai and C3.ai aren't worth buying, but Broadcom still has a bright future.

Insider MonkeyMay 16, 2026

BigBear.ai Holdings (BBAI) Up More than 4% Since Q1 2026 Earning Release

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:BBAI) is one of the Best Small Cap AI Stocks to Buy According to Wall Street Analysts. The stock has gained more than 4.35% since the release of its fiscal Q1 2026 earnings. Over the past month, the stock has gained more than 28%, driven by increased national security contracts. The company […]

24/7 Wall St.May 15, 2026

Prediction. Kevin Warsh’s Fed View Could Unlock These 4 AI Stocks Under $10 That the Market Has Left for Dead

Kevin Warsh has put a fresh frame on the inflation debate, arguing that AI-driven productivity gains could allow the economy to grow faster without triggering inflation. If that supply-side view gains traction at the Fed, patience on rates becomes the base case, and the small-cap AI names that have been left for dead suddenly look ... Prediction. Kevin Warsh’s Fed View Could Unlock These 4 AI Stocks Under $10 That the Market Has Left for Dead

Frequently Asked Questions

Common investor questions about BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) is currently trading at $4.18. The RSI (14-day) is at 54.7, indicating neutral territory. Wall Street analysts have a consensus "Hold" recommendation. The mean analyst price target of $5.33 implies 27.5% upside from current levels. Volatility is high at 52.1% annualized, meaning significant price swings are common. Investors should consider their risk tolerance, investment horizon, and portfolio diversification before making a decision.

Based on current valuation metrics for BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI): The trailing P/E ratio is not available (the company may not be profitable). The forward P/E is -20.70. Price-to-Book is 2.96. Price-to-Sales is 15.53. Valuation should be compared to Information Technology Services industry peers for context, as different sectors trade at different multiples.

Based on 3 analysts covering BBAI, the consensus price target is $5.33. This represents a 27.5% upside from the current price of $4.18. The range spans from a low target of $5.00 to a high target of $6.00, reflecting varying levels of optimism among analysts. The consensus recommendation is "Hold". Note: Analyst price targets are forward-looking estimates and not guarantees of future performance.

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) does not currently pay a regular dividend. The company may be reinvesting profits into growth initiatives, or may not yet be profitable enough to distribute earnings to shareholders.

Key risks for BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) investors include: 1. High volatility (52.1% annualized)—the stock can experience significant daily price swings. 2. The company is not currently profitable on a trailing basis, which creates earnings uncertainty. 3. Declining revenue (-37.7% YoY), indicating potential business headwinds. 4. Elevated short interest (25.2% of float) suggests significant bearish sentiment. 5. Broader market and macroeconomic risks (interest rates, inflation, geopolitical events). 6. Information Technology Services sector-specific competitive pressures. Investors should diversify and consider their risk tolerance before investing.

Here is BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.'s (BBAI) current debt and financial health profile: Total debt stands at $114.81M. The debt-to-equity ratio is 18.76, which is conservative and indicates a strong balance sheet with low leverage. The current ratio is 1.78, indicating strong short-term liquidity. The quick ratio is 1.70. The company holds $287.59M in cash and equivalents. Free cash flow is negative at $-46,986,124, which could limit the company's ability to manage debt obligations.