BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.(BBAI)NASDAQ
Stock Overview & Analysis
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) quick overview 2026-02-20
- The stock is currently trading at $3.86, experiencing a short-term pullback within a declining trend—trading below its 50-day average while below the 200-day.
- Analysts appear optimistic, with a 1-year price target of $6.67 (72.8% upside).
- Volatility is elevated (86.05% annualized), implying wide price swings.
- The fundamental story is nuanced: solid revenue growth (-20.10% YoY) alongside significant competitive pressures.
Here's What You Need to Know Right Now
Concise, actionable context
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. - Historical Price & Volume
Market Cap
Enterprise Value: $1.31B
P/E Ratio
Forward P/E: -20.60
Revenue Growth
Year over Year
Analyst Target
+72.8% upside potential
Key Investor Questions
Clarity over jargon
- Technicals say: Neutral (RSI 32.10)
- Fundamentals say: Challenging (declining revenue trends)
- Future growth will depend on performance in core Information Technology Services operations.
- The ability to manage competitive pressures will be crucial for sustained growth.
- $112.89M in debt could be a headwind in a high-rate environment.
- Fierce competition from established players in Information Technology Services.
Trading Range
Over the past year, the stock traded between $2.36 and $9.45—recovering meaningfully from lows and currently near the higher end. Big swings are likely unless a major catalyst emerges.
Volatility
With 86.05% annualized volatility and β=3.21, the stock exhibits high sensitivity to market moves—suitable for investors comfortable with active risk management.
Ownership Snapshot
Lower institutional support combined with high short selling points to negative sentiment.
Analyst Sentiment
Latest News
Recent headlines and coverage
Better Software Stock: Palantir vs. BigBear.ai
The U.S. military relies on both to provide AI-powered software.
Can BigBear.ai Monetize Growth in Travel & Border Security AI?
Can BBAI turn its push into travel and border security AI into real revenue? New deals, M&A and a $376M backlog raise the stakes.
Innodata vs. BigBear.ai: Which AI Play Has More Upside Now?
Innodata outpaces BigBear.ai with surging revenue, profits and lower valuation-does INOD offer stronger AI upside than BBAI?
BigBear.ai Reshapes Capital Structure After Ask Sage Deal And Debt Moves
BigBear.ai Holdings (NYSE:BBAI) completed its US$250 million acquisition of Ask Sage, aiming to deepen its AI product lineup for government and enterprise customers. The company converted a portion of its senior secured notes into common shares, reducing debt without a large cash payment. Management has proposed doubling the authorized share count, with a shareholder vote pending, raising questions about future equity issuance and dilution. BigBear.ai focuses on data analytics and AI...
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) Stock Declines While Market Improves: Some Information for Investors
In the most recent trading session, BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) closed at $3.94, indicating a -3.43% shift from the previous trading day.
Is Serve Robotics' Urban Expansion Supporting Long-Term Demand?
Can SERV's expanding urban footprint and rising sidewalk delivery usage translate into durable long-term demand?
Do Airport Biometrics & Travel Tech Add a New Growth Engine for BBAI?
BigBear.ai is turning airport biometrics into a scalable growth pillar, deploying VeriScan at major hubs while diversifying beyond defense.
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) Sees a More Significant Dip Than Broader Market: Some Facts to Know
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) reached $4.56 at the closing of the latest trading day, reflecting a -6.37% change compared to its last close.
A Look At BigBear.ai (BBAI) Valuation After Cantor Fitzgerald’s Downgrade On Contract And Revenue Risks
Cantor Fitzgerald’s downgrade of BigBear.ai Holdings (BBAI) to Neutral, following a 20.1% year over year Q3 2025 revenue decline tied to federal program disruptions, has refocused attention on the stock’s contract risk profile. See our latest analysis for BigBear.ai Holdings. The latest $4.87 share price comes after a 1 day share price return of 3.18%. However, the 30 day and year to date share price returns of 21.45% and 16.61% declines suggest fading momentum despite a 3 year total...
BBAI Stock Down 23% in a Month: Value Trap or AI Reset?
Is BBAI's 23% drop a warning sign of deeper issues or just a reset in its evolving AI strategy?
Frequently Asked Questions
Common investor questions about BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) is currently trading at $3.86. The RSI (14-day) is at 32.1, indicating neutral territory. Wall Street analysts have a consensus "Hold" recommendation. The mean analyst price target of $6.67 implies 72.8% upside from current levels. Volatility is high at 86.1% annualized, meaning significant price swings are common. Investors should consider their risk tolerance, investment horizon, and portfolio diversification before making a decision.
Based on current valuation metrics for BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI): The trailing P/E ratio is not available (the company may not be profitable). The forward P/E is -20.60. Price-to-Book is 2.94. Price-to-Sales is 13.08. Valuation should be compared to Information Technology Services industry peers for context, as different sectors trade at different multiples.
Based on 3 analysts covering BBAI, the consensus price target is $6.67. This represents a 72.8% upside from the current price of $3.86. The range spans from a low target of $5.00 to a high target of $8.00, reflecting varying levels of optimism among analysts. The consensus recommendation is "Hold". Note: Analyst price targets are forward-looking estimates and not guarantees of future performance.
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) does not currently pay a regular dividend. The company may be reinvesting profits into growth initiatives, or may not yet be profitable enough to distribute earnings to shareholders.
Key risks for BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) investors include: 1. High volatility (86.1% annualized)—the stock can experience significant daily price swings. 2. The company is not currently profitable on a trailing basis, which creates earnings uncertainty. 3. Declining revenue (-20.1% YoY), indicating potential business headwinds. 4. Elevated short interest (26.5% of float) suggests significant bearish sentiment. 5. Broader market and macroeconomic risks (interest rates, inflation, geopolitical events). 6. Information Technology Services sector-specific competitive pressures. Investors should diversify and consider their risk tolerance before investing.
Here is BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.'s (BBAI) current debt and financial health profile: Total debt stands at $112.89M. The debt-to-equity ratio is 18.51, which is conservative and indicates a strong balance sheet with low leverage. The current ratio is 3.13, indicating strong short-term liquidity. The quick ratio is 3.11. The company holds $586.66M in cash and equivalents. Free cash flow is positive at $141.60M, providing a cushion for debt servicing and shareholder returns.