Avalo Therapeutics, Inc.(AVTX)Earnings Date, History & Expected Move

Next report date, beat rate and options-implied move

Next report

Nov 4, 2026

AVTX is scheduled to report on Nov 4, 2026, usually before the market opens. Analysts expect EPS of -$0.63.

Next report

Nov 4, 2026

In 11 days · usually before open

EPS beat rate

50%

6 of 12 quarters

Avg move after earnings

±3.6%

Up 22% of the time · last 9

Options-implied move

—

No reliable options quote yet

Add to calendar

EPS: Actual vs Estimate

Reported EPS against the consensus estimate, last 12 quarters.

Green beat or met, red missed, amber sources differ.

Stock Reaction After Earnings

Close-to-close move in the first session that reflected each report.

Dashed lines mark the average actual move (±3.6%).

Did the stock rise after good news?

The next-day move after each of its last 5 EPS beats and 4 misses.

When it beat expectations

5 reports

▲ Rose 1×

▼ Fell 4×

When it missed expectations

4 reports

▲ Rose 1×

▼ Fell 3×

In plain words: it beat expectations 5 times, but the stock still fell 4 of those 5 times.

Report by report

Aug '26
Missed
▼ -0.7%
May '26
Beat
▼ -0.5%
Mar '26
Beat
▲ +0.6%
Nov '25
Missed
▼ -6.3%
Mar '25
Missed
▲ +2.9%
Nov '24
Beat
▼ -3.7%
Aug '24
Beat
▼ -7.3%
May '24
Missed
▼ -0.3%
Nov '23
Beat
▼ -10.1%

Clear beats and misses with a known reaction only. What counts as a beat

After an EPS beat

-4.2%

average next-day move · up 20% of 5 times

After an EPS miss

-1.1%

average next-day move · up 25% of 4 times

Why did AVTX fall after beating earnings?

5 of AVTX's last 9 reactions went against the EPS result. What stands out in each:

AVTX beat EPS estimates in 5 quarters, and the stock still closed lower the next day 4 times. In 3 of the 4 where we have price data, the stock had already run up before the report.

May 13, 2026EPS beat +4.9%stock -0.5% next day
- It had risen 43.5% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
- It opened 1.4% higher, but sellers took over and it closed -0.5%.
Nov 7, 2024EPS beat +182.4%stock -3.7% next day
- It had risen 48.4% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
- It opened 7.3% lower as soon as trading resumed.
Aug 12, 2024EPS beat +162.8%stock -7.3% next day
- It opened 1.5% lower as soon as trading resumed.
Nov 9, 2023EPS beat +90.0%stock -10.1% next day
- It had risen 7.9% in the final week before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
- It opened 1.8% lower as soon as trading resumed.

Rose despite an EPS miss (1 of 4)

Mar 20, 2025EPS missed -264.1%stock +2.9% next day
Nothing in the price and estimate numbers we track stands out for this one. Guidance and management comments are not part of our data.

Patterns in estimates and prices, not confirmed causes: how we read them.

Was AVTX's earnings move already priced in?

AVTX's move in the month before each of its last 9 reports, against what it did after.

Avg move in the month before

+4.7%

last 9 reports

Higher before the report

44%

of the time

After a run-up of 3%+

Fell 75%

4 reports, avg -1.9%

After a drop of 3%+

Rose 25%

4 reports, avg -4.3%

How the run-up is measured (a move of 5% or more counts as large).

Before vs after each report

Grey: the month before each of the last 9 reports. Green or red: the day after.

Past reports only. How the run-up is measured

Does AVTX hold its opening gap after earnings?

AVTX's opening move after each report and where it closed that day.

In 8 reports AVTX opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 5 of 8 times (63%), and fully reversed 2 times.

Aug 6, 2026Faded
Opened -5.1%, closed -0.7%
May 13, 2026Reversed
Opened +1.4%, closed -0.5%
Nov 6, 2025Held
Opened -3.8%, closed -6.3%
Mar 20, 2025Reversed
Opened -4.3%, closed +2.9%
Nov 7, 2024Faded
Opened -7.3%, closed -3.7%
Aug 12, 2024Held
Opened -1.5%, closed -7.3%
May 13, 2024Faded
Opened -1.8%, closed -0.3%
Nov 9, 2023Held
Opened -1.8%, closed -10.1%

How gaps, fades and reversals are defined

What the history says

It fell after 4 of its 5 EPS beats (80%): beating estimates has not been enough on its own.

AVTX earnings history

Last 12 reported quarters with the stock's reaction.

Swipe sideways to see every column →

Report date	Time	EPS est.	EPS actual	Surprise	1-day move	3-day move
Aug 6, 2026	Before open	-$0.62	-$0.83	-33.9%	-0.74%	+4.94%
May 13, 2026	Before open	-$1.03	-$0.98	+4.9%	-0.45%	-11.03%
Mar 23, 2026	Before open	-$1.49	-$0.37	+75.2%	+0.60%	+3.95%
Nov 6, 2025	Before open	-$1.64	-$2.19	-33.5%	-6.26%	-7.51%
Aug 7, 2025	Before open	-$1.40	-$1.92	-37.1%	—	—
May 12, 2025	Before open	-$1.60	-$1.25	+21.9%	—	—
Mar 20, 2025	Before open	$1.67	-$2.74	-264.1%	+2.88%	-4.51%
Nov 7, 2024	Before open	-$1.19	$0.98	+182.4%	-3.66%	-1.12%
Aug 12, 2024	Before open	-$6.70	$4.21	+162.8%	-7.30%	-4.77%
May 13, 2024	Before open	-$1.18	-$141.00	-11849.2%	-0.28%	-4.24%
Mar 29, 2024	After close	-$4.80	-$113.04	-2255.0%	—	—
Nov 9, 2023	Before open	-$264.00	-$26.40	+90.0%	-10.09%	-16.51%

Consensus for the next report: EPS -$0.63, revenue $0.00.

AVTX Earnings FAQ

Answers computed from Avalo Therapeutics, Inc.'s reported history

AVTX is scheduled to report on Nov 4, 2026, usually before the market opens. Analysts expect EPS of -$0.63.

Over the last 12 quarters with a usable EPS surprise, AVTX beat the consensus estimate 6 times (50%), missed 6 and landed in line 0.

Across its last 9 quarters with a measured reaction, AVTX moved an average of ±3.6% in the first session after reporting. It closed higher 22% of the time; the largest gain was 2.9% and the largest drop -10.1%.

AVTX fell in the first session after 4 of its last 5 EPS beats (80%). A beat that was already priced in, or weaker guidance, can send a stock lower. In 3 of the 4 of those falls where price data is available, the stock had already risen before the report.

Across its last 9 quarters with price data, AVTX moved an average of +4.7% in the 20 trading sessions before reporting and was higher in 44% of them. After a run-up of 3% or more (4 quarters), it fell the next day 75% of the time, averaging -1.9%. After a drop of 3% or more (4 quarters), it rose the next day 25% of the time, averaging -4.3%. This describes past reports; it is not a forecast.

In 8 reports AVTX opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 5 of 8 times (63%), and fully reversed 2 times. A fade means the opening move was partly undone during the first session.

How we calculate these numbers · AVTX: 12 reported quarters, latest Aug 6, 2026. Information only, not investment advice.

Earnings this week

Every report this week with expected moves.

Biggest expected earnings moves

Options-implied vs historical move, ranked.