C3.ai, Inc.(AI)Earnings Date, History & Expected Move

Over the last 10 quarters with a usable EPS surprise, AI beat the consensus estimate 9 times (90%), missed 1 and landed in line 0. It has beaten estimates in each of the last 2 counted quarters. 2 quarters where our data sources disagree on beat versus miss are shown but not counted.

Across its last 12 quarters with a measured reaction, AI moved an average of ±10.5% in the first session after reporting. It closed higher 50% of the time; the largest gain was 24.5% and the largest drop -18.5%.

AI fell in the first session after 3 of its last 9 EPS beats (33%). A beat that was already priced in, or weaker guidance, can send a stock lower. In 1 of the 3 of those falls where price data is available, the stock had already risen before the report.

Across its last 12 quarters with price data, AI moved an average of +2.2% in the 20 trading sessions before reporting and was higher in 58% of them. After a run-up of 3% or more (6 quarters), it fell the next day 33% of the time, averaging +6.0%. After a drop of 3% or more (5 quarters), it rose the next day 20% of the time, averaging -8.3%. This describes past reports; it is not a forecast.

In 11 reports AI opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 3 of 11 times (27%), and fully reversed 2 times. A fade means the opening move was partly undone during the first session.