Stoke Therapeutics, Inc.(STOK)Earnings Date, History & Expected Move
Next report date, beat rate and options-implied move
STOK is scheduled to report on Nov 2, 2026. Analysts expect EPS of -$0.95.
EPS: Actual vs Estimate
Reported earnings per share against the consensus estimate, last 12 quarters.
Green = beat or met, red = missed, amber = our data sources disagree on beat vs miss for that quarter.
Stock Reaction After Earnings
Close-to-close move in the first session that reflected each report.
Dashed lines mark the average actual move (±11.8%).
Did the stock rise after good news?
"Beat" means the company earned more than analysts expected. Here is what the stock did the next day.
In plain words: it beat expectations 8 times, but the stock still fell 4 of those 8 times.
- Aug '26Missed▲ +7.1%
- May '26Beat▲ +0.3%
- Mar '26Missed▼ -3.2%
- Nov '25Missed▼ -9.9%
- Aug '25Beat▲ +25.0%
- May '25Beat▼ -7.6%
- Nov '24Beat▼ -0.4%
- Aug '24Beat▼ -3.7%
- May '24Beat▼ -1.2%
- Mar '24Beat▲ +58.3%
- Nov '23Beat▲ +12.5%
Only reports with a clear beat or miss and a known price reaction are counted. A beat does not guarantee a gain.
Why did STOK fall after beating earnings?
Beating or missing estimates is only part of the story. These are the measurable things that stand out for each surprising reaction.
STOK beat EPS estimates in 8 quarters, and the stock still closed lower the next day 4 times. In 3 of the 4 where we have price data, the stock had already run up before the report.
- May 13, 2025EPS beat +2211.1%stock -7.6% next day
- It had risen 37.6% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
- It opened 8.1% higher, but sellers took over and it closed -7.6%.
- Nov 5, 2024EPS beat +13.0%stock -0.4% next day
- It had risen 14.9% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
- Aug 7, 2024EPS beat +17.9%stock -3.7% next day
- It had risen 6.4% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
- It opened 5.6% higher, but sellers took over and it closed -3.7%.
- May 6, 2024EPS beat +6.6%stock -1.2% next day
Nothing in the price and estimate numbers we track stands out for this one. Guidance and management comments are not part of our data.
Rose despite an EPS miss (1 of 3)
- Aug 3, 2026EPS missed -19.2%stock +7.1% next day
- It had already fallen 8.8% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so weak results may have been expected.
These are patterns visible in estimates and prices, not confirmed causes. Information only, not investment advice.
Was STOK's earnings move already priced in?
Stocks often move in the weeks before a report. This compares that run-up with what happened after the report.
“Month before” is the move over the 20 trading days up to the last close before the report. “Priced in” means the good news may already be in the price. A run-up of 5% or more is treated as large.
Before vs after each report
Grey: how the stock moved in the 20 trading days before the report. Green or red: how it moved the day after.
Past reports only: this shows what happened, not what will happen.
Does STOK hold its opening gap after earnings?
A gap is how far the stock opens from the previous close. A gap fades when the stock gives back at least half of it by the end of the day.
In 8 reports STOK opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 4 of 8 times (50%), and fully reversed 4 times. Gaps up faded 2 of 4; gaps down recovered 2 of 4.
- Aug 3, 2026ReversedOpened -2.6%, closed +7.1%
- May 7, 2026ReversedOpened -2.7%, closed +0.3%
- Mar 16, 2026HeldOpened -3.2%, closed -3.2%
- Nov 4, 2025HeldOpened -13.4%, closed -9.9%
- Aug 12, 2025HeldOpened +10.1%, closed +25.0%
- May 13, 2025ReversedOpened +8.1%, closed -7.6%
- Aug 7, 2024ReversedOpened +5.6%, closed -3.7%
- Mar 25, 2024HeldOpened +70.3%, closed +58.3%
Gap = opening price vs the previous close. Close = the end of the first session that reflected the report. Reports without a clear opening time are left out.
What the history says
- It fell after 4 of its 8 EPS beats (50%): beating estimates has not been enough on its own.
STOK earnings history
Last 12 reported quarters with the stock's reaction.
Swipe sideways to see every column →
| Report date | Time | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | 1-day move | 3-day move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | After close | -$0.78 | -$0.93 | -19.2% | +7.14% | +8.02% |
| May 7, 2026 | After close | -$0.82 | -$0.79 | +3.7% | +0.31% | -0.91% |
| Mar 16, 2026 | After close | -$0.74 | -$0.97 | -31.1% | -3.21% | -2.27% |
| Nov 4, 2025 | After close | -$0.57 | -$0.65 | -14.0% | -9.94% | -9.79% |
| Aug 12, 2025 | After close | -$0.54 | -$0.40 | +25.9% | +24.98% | +34.59% |
| May 13, 2025 | Before open | -$0.09 | $1.90 | +2211.1% | -7.56% | -0.31% |
| Mar 18, 2025 | Before open | -$0.53 | -$0.18 | +66.0% | — | — |
| Nov 5, 2024 | Before open | -$0.54 | -$0.47 | +13.0% | -0.38% | +1.30% |
| Aug 7, 2024 | Before open | -$0.56 | -$0.46 | +17.9% | -3.65% | +1.34% |
| May 6, 2024 | Before open | -$0.61 | -$0.57 | +6.6% | -1.25% | -3.49% |
| Mar 25, 2024 | After close | -$0.63 | -$0.60 | +4.8% | +58.31% | +107.69% |
| Nov 7, 2023 | Before open | -$0.64 | -$0.55 | +14.1% | +12.53% | +5.10% |
Consensus for the next report: EPS -$0.95, revenue $8.35M.
STOK Earnings FAQ
Answers computed from Stoke Therapeutics, Inc.'s reported history
STOK is scheduled to report on Nov 2, 2026. Analysts expect EPS of -$0.95.
Over the last 12 quarters with a usable EPS surprise, STOK beat the consensus estimate 9 times (75%), missed 3 and landed in line 0.
Across its last 11 quarters with a measured reaction, STOK moved an average of ±11.8% in the first session after reporting. It closed higher 46% of the time; the largest gain was 58.3% and the largest drop -9.9%.
STOK fell in the first session after 4 of its last 8 EPS beats (50%). A beat that was already priced in, or weaker guidance, can send a stock lower. In 3 of the 4 of those falls where price data is available, the stock had already risen before the report.
Across its last 11 quarters with price data, STOK moved an average of +5.9% in the 20 trading sessions before reporting and was higher in 55% of them. After a run-up of 3% or more (6 quarters), it fell the next day 67% of the time, averaging +3.8%. After a drop of 3% or more (4 quarters), it rose the next day 50% of the time, averaging -0.9%. This describes past reports; it is not a forecast.
In 8 reports STOK opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 4 of 8 times (50%), and fully reversed 4 times. A fade means the opening move was partly undone during the first session.
How we calculate these numbers
Reported EPS and estimates come from Yahoo Finance; report times, upcoming dates and revenue come from Finnhub. The 1-day move is the close-to-close change over the first session that reflects the report (the report-day close for after-close reports, the prior close for pre-market reports); reactions are left blank when the report time is unknown or looks inconsistent. The expected move is the price of the nearest at-the-money straddle that expires after the report divided by the share price, shown only when the quotes are liquid. Quarters where the two data sources disagree on beat versus miss are shown but never counted. Information only, not investment advice.
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