MOSAIC CO(MOS)Earnings Date, History & Expected Move

Next report
Nov 3, 2026

MOS is scheduled to report on Nov 3, 2026, after the market closes. Analysts expect EPS of $0.05.

Next report
Nov 3, 2026
In 26 days · after close
EPS beat rate
18%
2 of 11 quarters (+1 not counted)
Avg move after earnings
±4.7%
Up 33% of the time · last 12
Options-implied move
—
No reliable options quote yet

EPS: Actual vs Estimate

Reported earnings per share against the consensus estimate, last 12 quarters.

Green = beat or met, red = missed, amber = our data sources disagree on beat vs miss for that quarter.

Stock Reaction After Earnings

Close-to-close move in the first session that reflected each report.

Dashed lines mark the average actual move (±4.7%).

Did the stock rise after good news?

"Beat" means the company earned more than analysts expected. Here is what the stock did the next day.

When it beat expectations
2 reports
When it missed expectations
9 reports
Report by report
  • May '26
    Missed
    ▼ -1.8%
  • Feb '26
    Missed
    ▼ -5.3%
  • Nov '25
    Beat
    ▼ -1.2%
  • Aug '25
    Missed
    ▼ -13.3%
  • May '25
    Beat
    ▲ +3.6%
  • Feb '25
    Missed
    ▼ -4.7%
  • Nov '24
    Missed
    ▼ -7.7%
  • Aug '24
    Missed
    ▼ -1.4%
  • May '24
    Missed
    ▼ -5.1%
  • Feb '24
    Missed
    ▲ +6.6%
  • Nov '23
    Missed
    ▲ +2.6%

Only reports with a clear beat or miss and a known price reaction are counted. A beat does not guarantee a gain.

After an EPS beat
+1.2%
average next-day move · up 50% of 2 times
After an EPS miss
-3.4%
average next-day move · up 22% of 9 times

Why did MOS fall after beating earnings?

Beating or missing estimates is only part of the story. These are the measurable things that stand out for each surprising reaction.

MOS beat EPS estimates in 2 quarters, and the stock still closed lower the next day 1 time.

  • Nov 4, 2025EPS beat +9.5%stock -1.2% next day
    • It opened 4.7% higher, but sellers took over and it closed -1.2%.

Rose despite an EPS miss (2 of 9)

  • Feb 21, 2024EPS missed -17.4%stock +6.6% next day
    • It had already fallen 6.1% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so weak results may have been expected.
    • It opened 5.5% higher as soon as trading resumed.
  • Nov 7, 2023EPS missed -9.3%stock +2.6% next day
    • It had already fallen 12.5% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so weak results may have been expected.

These are patterns visible in estimates and prices, not confirmed causes. Information only, not investment advice.

Was MOS's earnings move already priced in?

Stocks often move in the weeks before a report. This compares that run-up with what happened after the report.

Avg move in the month before
-2.8%
last 12 reports
Higher before the report
42%
of the time
After a run-up of 3%+
Fell 33%
3 reports, avg -0.3%
After a drop of 3%+
Rose 29%
7 reports, avg -2.4%

“Month before” is the move over the 20 trading days up to the last close before the report. “Priced in” means the good news may already be in the price. A run-up of 5% or more is treated as large.

Before vs after each report

Grey: how the stock moved in the 20 trading days before the report. Green or red: how it moved the day after.

Past reports only: this shows what happened, not what will happen.

Does MOS hold its opening gap after earnings?

A gap is how far the stock opens from the previous close. A gap fades when the stock gives back at least half of it by the end of the day.

In 8 reports MOS opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 3 of 8 times (38%), and fully reversed 3 times. Gaps up faded 2 of 3; gaps down recovered 1 of 5.

  • Aug 4, 2026Reversed
    Opened -4.4%, closed +3.1%
  • Feb 24, 2026Held
    Opened -3.3%, closed -5.3%
  • Nov 4, 2025Reversed
    Opened +4.7%, closed -1.2%
  • Aug 5, 2025Held
    Opened -10.5%, closed -13.3%
  • Feb 27, 2025Held
    Opened -2.4%, closed -4.7%
  • Nov 12, 2024Held
    Opened -1.6%, closed -7.7%
  • Aug 6, 2024Reversed
    Opened +1.8%, closed -1.4%
  • Feb 21, 2024Held
    Opened +5.5%, closed +6.6%

Gap = opening price vs the previous close. Close = the end of the first session that reflected the report. Reports without a clear opening time are left out.

MOS earnings history

Last 12 reported quarters with the stock's reaction.

Swipe sideways to see every column →

Report dateTimeEPS est.EPS actualSurprise1-day move3-day move
Aug 4, 2026After close$0.14$0.13sources differ+3.08%+1.54%
May 11, 2026Market hours$0.22$0.05-77.3%-1.80%+2.66%
Feb 24, 2026After close$0.47$0.22-53.2%-5.30%-2.28%
Nov 4, 2025After close$0.95$1.04+9.5%-1.24%-3.65%
Aug 5, 2025After close$0.72$0.51-29.2%-13.31%-10.37%
May 6, 2025After close$0.45$0.49+8.9%+3.65%+7.29%
Feb 27, 2025After close$0.57$0.45-21.1%-4.66%-8.01%
Nov 12, 2024Before open$0.52$0.34-34.6%-7.74%-6.10%
Aug 6, 2024After close$0.66$0.54-18.2%-1.45%+0.22%
May 1, 2024After close$0.66$0.65-1.5%-5.08%-2.97%
Feb 21, 2024After close$0.86$0.71-17.4%+6.58%+4.66%
Nov 7, 2023After close$0.75$0.68-9.3%+2.63%+5.36%

Consensus for the next report: EPS $0.05, revenue $3.17B.

MOS Earnings FAQ

Answers computed from MOSAIC CO's reported history

MOS is scheduled to report on Nov 3, 2026, after the market closes. Analysts expect EPS of $0.05.

Over the last 11 quarters with a usable EPS surprise, MOS beat the consensus estimate 2 times (18%), missed 9 and landed in line 0. It has missed estimates in each of the last 2 counted quarters. 1 quarter where our data sources disagree on beat versus miss are shown but not counted.

Across its last 12 quarters with a measured reaction, MOS moved an average of ±4.7% in the first session after reporting. It closed higher 33% of the time; the largest gain was 6.6% and the largest drop -13.3%.

Across its last 12 quarters with price data, MOS moved an average of -2.8% in the 20 trading sessions before reporting and was higher in 42% of them. After a run-up of 3% or more (3 quarters), it fell the next day 33% of the time, averaging -0.3%. After a drop of 3% or more (7 quarters), it rose the next day 29% of the time, averaging -2.4%. This describes past reports; it is not a forecast.

In 8 reports MOS opened at least 1% away from the previous close. It gave back half or more of that gap by the close 3 of 8 times (38%), and fully reversed 3 times. A fade means the opening move was partly undone during the first session.

How we calculate these numbers

Reported EPS and estimates come from Yahoo Finance; report times, upcoming dates and revenue come from Finnhub. The 1-day move is the close-to-close change over the first session that reflects the report (the report-day close for after-close reports, the prior close for pre-market reports); reactions are left blank when the report time is unknown or looks inconsistent. The expected move is the price of the nearest at-the-money straddle that expires after the report divided by the share price, shown only when the quotes are liquid. Quarters where the two data sources disagree on beat versus miss are shown but never counted. Information only, not investment advice.

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