Armour Residential REIT, Inc.(ARR)Earnings Date, History & Expected Move
Next report date, beat rate and options-implied move
ARR is scheduled to report on Oct 20, 2026, usually after the market closes. Analysts expect EPS of $0.73.
EPS: Actual vs Estimate
Reported earnings per share against the consensus estimate, last 12 quarters.
Green = beat or met, red = missed, amber = our data sources disagree on beat vs miss for that quarter.
Stock Reaction After Earnings
Close-to-close move in the first session that reflected each report.
Dashed lines mark the average actual move (±1.7%).
Did the stock rise after good news?
"Beat" means the company earned more than analysts expected. Here is what the stock did the next day.
In plain words: it beat expectations 3 times, but the stock still fell 1 of those 3 times.
- Feb '26Missed▼ -0.1%
- Oct '25Missed▲ +1.1%
- Jul '25Missed▼ -1.2%
- Apr '25Missed▲ +2.8%
- Feb '25Missed▲ +1.6%
- Oct '24Beat▲ +0.2%
- Jul '24Beat▼ -2.4%
- Apr '24Missed▲ +1.7%
- Feb '24Beat▲ +5.6%
- Oct '23Missed▼ -2.2%
Only reports with a clear beat or miss and a known price reaction are counted. A beat does not guarantee a gain.
Why did ARR fall after beating earnings?
Beating or missing estimates is only part of the story. These are the measurable things that stand out for each surprising reaction.
ARR beat EPS estimates in 3 quarters, and the stock still closed lower the next day 1 time.
- Jul 24, 2024EPS beat +11.3%stock -2.4% next day
- It had risen 6.5% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so good news may already have been priced in.
- It opened 1.3% lower as soon as trading resumed.
Rose despite an EPS miss (4 of 7)
- Oct 22, 2025EPS missed -8.9%stock +1.1% next day
Nothing in the price and estimate numbers we track stands out for this one. Guidance and management comments are not part of our data.
- Apr 23, 2025EPS missed -1.1%stock +2.8% next day
- It had already fallen 18.1% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so weak results may have been expected.
- The EPS miss was small (-1.1%).
- It opened 1.8% higher as soon as trading resumed.
- Feb 12, 2025EPS missed -19.6%stock +1.6% next day
Nothing in the price and estimate numbers we track stands out for this one. Guidance and management comments are not part of our data.
- Apr 25, 2024EPS missed -21.9%stock +1.7% next day
- It had already fallen 7.1% in the 20 trading sessions before the report, so weak results may have been expected.
These are patterns visible in estimates and prices, not confirmed causes. Information only, not investment advice.
Was ARR's earnings move already priced in?
Stocks often move in the weeks before a report. This compares that run-up with what happened after the report.
“Month before” is the move over the 20 trading days up to the last close before the report. “Priced in” means the good news may already be in the price. A run-up of 5% or more is treated as large.
Before vs after each report
Grey: how the stock moved in the 20 trading days before the report. Green or red: how it moved the day after.
Past reports only: this shows what happened, not what will happen.
ARR earnings history
Last 12 reported quarters with the stock's reaction.
Swipe sideways to see every column →
| Report date | Time | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | 1-day move | 3-day move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | After close | $0.72 | $0.72 | 0.0% | -1.53% | -1.04% |
| Apr 22, 2026 | After close | $0.49 | -$0.49 | sources differ | -0.34% | +0.28% |
| Feb 18, 2026 | After close | $0.77 | $0.71 | -7.8% | -0.11% | +1.98% |
| Oct 22, 2025 | After close | $0.79 | $0.72 | -8.9% | +1.08% | +3.93% |
| Jul 23, 2025 | After close | $0.83 | $0.77 | -7.2% | -1.18% | -1.54% |
| Apr 23, 2025 | After close | $0.87 | $0.86 | -1.1% | +2.82% | +10.35% |
| Feb 12, 2025 | After close | $0.97 | $0.78 | -19.6% | +1.59% | +0.21% |
| Oct 23, 2024 | After close | $0.98 | $1.00 | +2.0% | +0.20% | -2.45% |
| Jul 24, 2024 | After close | $0.97 | $1.08 | +11.3% | -2.42% | -0.58% |
| Apr 25, 2024 | After close | $1.05 | $0.82 | -21.9% | +1.70% | -0.22% |
| Feb 14, 2024 | After close | $0.99 | $1.07 | +8.1% | +5.58% | +2.90% |
| Oct 25, 2023 | After close | $1.20 | $1.08 | -10.0% | -2.18% | -4.29% |
Consensus for the next report: EPS $0.73, revenue $96.37M.
ARR Earnings FAQ
Answers computed from Armour Residential REIT, Inc.'s reported history
ARR is scheduled to report on Oct 20, 2026, usually after the market closes. Analysts expect EPS of $0.73.
Over the last 11 quarters with a usable EPS surprise, ARR beat the consensus estimate 3 times (27%), missed 7 and landed in line 1. 1 quarter where our data sources disagree on beat versus miss are shown but not counted.
Across its last 12 quarters with a measured reaction, ARR moved an average of ±1.7% in the first session after reporting. It closed higher 50% of the time; the largest gain was 5.6% and the largest drop -2.4%.
Across its last 12 quarters with price data, ARR moved an average of -3.1% in the 20 trading sessions before reporting and was higher in 42% of them. After a run-up of 3% or more (4 quarters), it fell the next day 50% of the time, averaging 0.0%. After a drop of 3% or more (6 quarters), it rose the next day 67% of the time, averaging +1.3%. This describes past reports; it is not a forecast.
How we calculate these numbers
Reported EPS and estimates come from Yahoo Finance; report times, upcoming dates and revenue come from Finnhub. The 1-day move is the close-to-close change over the first session that reflects the report (the report-day close for after-close reports, the prior close for pre-market reports); reactions are left blank when the report time is unknown or looks inconsistent. The expected move is the price of the nearest at-the-money straddle that expires after the report divided by the share price, shown only when the quotes are liquid. Quarters where the two data sources disagree on beat versus miss are shown but never counted. Information only, not investment advice.
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