Vale S.A.(VALE)
NASDAQ

VALE Stock Analysis — July 2026

$14.19
-0.03 (-0.21%)

VALE Stock Price Today (July 2026) — Vale S.A. Analysis & Key Metrics 2026-07-17

Vale S.A. (VALE) is trading at $14.19, down 0.21% today (as of July 2026). The stock continues to show pressure below major moving averages, attracting attention from investors looking for Basic Materials growth opportunities.

  • According to consensus analyst estimates, the 1-year price target is $17.38 (22.5% upside).
  • Volatility remains elevated (26.58% annualized), implying wide price swings for short-term traders.
  • The fundamental picture, based on the latest financial filings, is nuanced: solid revenue growth (2.70% YoY) alongside significant competitive pressures.

VALE Stock Analysis: Key Metrics & Valuation (July 2026)

Concise, actionable data for investors

Trend posture
Short-term pullback in long-term uptrend
Analyst 1Y target17.38422.5%
Volatility (30d ann.)26.5756High
RSI (14-day)
37.48 (Neutral)
Debt$111.96B (57.15 D/E)

Vale S.A. - Historical Price & Volume

$14.19
+4.97 (+53.83%)
Price
Volume
Current Price Line
Range: 2Y

Market Cap

$64.03B

Enterprise Value: $153.24B

P/E Ratio

21.50

Forward P/E: 7.46

Revenue Growth

+2.70%

Year over Year

Analyst Target

$17.38

+22.5% upside potential

Key Investor Questions About VALE

What investors need to know before buying

Is it a good time to buy VALE stock?

Based on current market data, VALE presents a neutral technical setup with caution warranted fundamentals.

  • Technicals say: Neutral (RSI 37.48)
  • Fundamentals say: Caution warranted (high leverage concerns)
Can VALE sustain revenue growth in the Other Industrial Metals & Mining market?

VALE's growth trajectory depends on its ability to expand within the Other Industrial Metals & Mining sector while managing margin pressures.

  • Future growth will depend on performance in core Other Industrial Metals & Mining operations.
  • The ability to manage competitive pressures will be crucial for sustained growth.
What are the biggest risks facing VALE stock?

The primary risks for VALE investors include debt exposure and competitive dynamics in the Other Industrial Metals & Mining industry.

  • $111.96B in debt could be a headwind in a high-rate environment.
  • Fierce competition from established players in Other Industrial Metals & Mining.

52-Week Trading Range

52-Week Low$9.36
52-Week High$17.94
Current Price$14.19

Over the past year, VALE stock traded between $9.36 and $17.94—recovering meaningfully from lows and currently near the higher end. Big swings are likely unless a major catalyst emerges.

Volatility & Risk Profile

30-Day Volatility26.58%
Beta0.92
RSI (14-day)37.48

With 26.58% annualized volatility and β=0.92, the stock exhibits moderate correlation to market moves—making VALE suitable for investors comfortable with active risk management.

Institutional & Insider Ownership

Insider Ownership30.00%
Institutional Ownership28.64%
Shares Short62.25M

Lower institutional support combined with high short selling points to negative sentiment.

Analyst Sentiment & Price Targets

Mean Target
$17.38
Upside Potential
22.5%
Recommendation
buy
Analysts see strong upside potential with a target of $17.38. The 22.5% upside suggests optimistic growth expectations.

Latest News & Headlines

Recent headlines and coverage

24/7 Wall St.Jul 18, 2026

Forget EWZ. Franklin’s Brazil Twin Charges Two-Thirds Less, and It’s Up 30% This Year

Most U.S. investors reflexively reach for the same Brazil ETF without realizing a lesser-known rival holds the same stocks, costs a fraction of the fee, and has quietly outpaced it throughout 2026.

ZacksJul 16, 2026

VALE S.A. (VALE) Declines More Than Market: Some Information for Investors

The latest trading day saw VALE S.A. (VALE) settling at $14.22, representing a -3.07% change from its previous close.

Barrons.comJul 16, 2026

Vale CFO Sees Strong Demand for Iron Ore, Copper; But Iran War Looms as Risk

Marcelo Bacci explains how the world’s largest iron ore producer is navigating uncertainty with Iran, China, a board shake-up, and more.

ZacksJul 9, 2026

VALE S.A. (VALE) Exceeds Market Returns: Some Facts to Consider

VALE S.A. (VALE) reached $14.22 at the closing of the latest trading day, reflecting a +1.21% change compared to its last close.

ZacksJul 9, 2026

VALE S.A. (VALE) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on It

Zacks.com users have recently been watching VALE (VALE) quite a bit. Thus, it is worth knowing the facts that could determine the stock's prospects.

Investing.comJul 8, 2026

Morgan Stanley upgrades Ivanhoe Mines, cuts Alcoa and Vale on metals outlook

Investing.com -- Morgan Stanley upgraded Ivanhoe Mines to "Overweight" while downgrading Alcoa and Vale to "Equal-weight", saying a changing supply outlook favors copper and precious metals over aluminum and iron ore. The brokerage expects copper, gold and silver prices to outperform, while forecasting aluminum will move into surplus and iron ore markets will remain under pressure.

24/7 Wall St.Jul 8, 2026

Here Are Wednesday’s Best Wall Street Analyst Research Calls: Alcoa, Commercial Metals, DTE Energy, Dollar Tree, Occidental Petroleum, PayPal, Pinterest, Snap, Travelers, and More

Pre-Market Stock Futures: Futures are trading lower following President Trump’s decision to end the ceasefire with Iran. This comes after a dreadful Tuesday that saw all the major indices get clobbered, with the Nasdaq taking the biggest hit, closing down 1.16% at 25,772, as semiconductors, anything with an AI tailwind, or momentum names, all got ... Here Are Wednesday’s Best Wall Street Analyst Research Calls: Alcoa, Commercial Metals, DTE Energy, Dollar Tree, Occidental Petroleum, PayPal, Pint

Simply Wall St.Jul 8, 2026

Vale (BOVESPA:VALE3) Stock Sees Modest Fair Value Lift As Analysts Weigh Copper Growth

Vale’s fair value estimate has shifted from R$89.37 to R$91.61, signaling a modest recalibration in how analysts are framing the stock’s valuation range. That move sits alongside Street price targets between US$18 and US$21, where more optimistic analysts are factoring in copper growth while others remain cautious given execution and sector risks. As you read on, you will see how these evolving targets and the debates behind them can help you track the next twists in the Vale narrative. Stay...

ZacksJul 7, 2026

VALE S.A. (VALE) Sees a More Significant Dip Than Broader Market: Some Facts to Know

The latest trading day saw VALE S.A. (VALE) settling at $14.69, representing a -2.65% change from its previous close.

Insider MonkeyJun 28, 2026

Vale S.A. (VALE) Launches AI‑Driven Model Plant in Itabira

Vale S.A. (NYSE:VALE) is one of the mining stocks with the highest dividends. On June 10, Vale S.A. (NYSE:VALE) inaugurated its first high‑tech “Model Plant” at the Conceição 2 unit in Itabira, Minas Gerais, where the company was founded 84 years ago. The facility represents a new operating model centered on data intelligence, automation, and […]

Frequently Asked Questions

Common investor questions about Vale S.A.

Vale S.A. (VALE) is currently trading at $14.19. The RSI (14-day) is at 37.5, indicating neutral territory. Wall Street analysts have a consensus "buy" recommendation. The mean analyst price target of $17.38 implies 22.5% upside from current levels. Volatility is moderate at 26.6% annualized, meaning price movements are relatively contained. Investors should consider their risk tolerance, investment horizon, and portfolio diversification before making a decision.

Based on current valuation metrics for Vale S.A. (VALE): The trailing P/E ratio is 21.50, which is in line with broader market averages. The forward P/E is 7.46, lower than the trailing P/E, suggesting analysts expect earnings improvement. The PEG ratio is 0.31, below 1.0, which generally indicates the stock is undervalued relative to its growth rate. Price-to-Book is 1.63. Price-to-Sales is 0.28. Valuation should be compared to Other Industrial Metals & Mining industry peers for context, as different sectors trade at different multiples.

Based on 25 analysts covering VALE, the consensus price target is $17.38. This represents a 22.5% upside from the current price of $14.19. The range spans from a low target of $14.60 to a high target of $21.00, reflecting varying levels of optimism among analysts. The consensus recommendation is "buy". Note: Analyst price targets are forward-looking estimates and not guarantees of future performance.

Yes, Vale S.A. (VALE) pays a dividend with a current yield of approximately 8.88%. The annualized dividend rate is $5.48 per share. The payout ratio is 120.5%, which exceeds 100%—this means the company is paying out more than it earns, which may not be sustainable long-term. The most recent ex-dividend date was 2025-12-12T00:00:00.000Z.

Key risks for Vale S.A. (VALE) investors include: 1. Moderate volatility (26.6% annualized)—price swings are notable. 2. Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (121%) could lead to a dividend cut. 3. Broader market and macroeconomic risks (interest rates, inflation, geopolitical events). 4. Other Industrial Metals & Mining sector-specific competitive pressures. Investors should diversify and consider their risk tolerance before investing.

Here is Vale S.A.'s (VALE) current debt and financial health profile: Total debt stands at $111.96B. The debt-to-equity ratio is 57.15, which is moderate and generally manageable for most companies. The current ratio is 1.24, indicating adequate short-term liquidity. The quick ratio is 0.67. The company holds $27.55B in cash and equivalents. Free cash flow is positive at $10.60B, providing a cushion for debt servicing and shareholder returns.