TickzenTickzen

Coeur Mining, Inc.(CDE)
NASDAQ

Technical Analysis & Charts

$14.35
-0.44 (-2.97%)

Technical Analysis

CURRENT PRICE: $14.35 | PRIMARY TREND: BEARISH(Downtrend Intact)

Multi-Timeframe Context

Short-Term (Days):Weak
Medium-Term (Weeks):Bearish structure
Long-Term (Months):Requires 200d reclaim

Timeframes conflict: short-term oversold conditions create bounce probability, but medium/long-term structure remains weak. This explains contradictory signals.

Technical Context Zones

Trend Zone:Price vs 50d: $16.88 • Price vs 200d: $19.58
Decision Zone:Support: $13.93 • Resistance: $18.18

Momentum Indicators

RSI at 31.4 is neutral. The negative MACD suggests the probability of continued downside pressure, though momentum shifts can occur.

RSI (14d)
31.4 Neutral
MACD
-0.50 Bearish

Market Mechanics: Distance from 50d SMA (15.0%) shows stretched downside momentum. Mean-reversion probability rises.

Bollinger Bands – Position Context

Price trades in the below lower band of the bands, increasing the probability of short-term bounce. However, downtrends can remain oversold longer than expected.

Note: Bands show volatility zones, not strict buy/sell signals. Confluence with volume and momentum increases reliability.

Volume Analysis – Causal Context

Volume remains near 20-day average, showing neutral participation. Price moves in this environment often lack follow-through. Range-bound strategies (buy support, sell resistance) suit this regime better than trend-following. Breakouts require volume expansion > 20-day average to validate. Use tighter stop-losses due to choppy conditions.

Institutional-Grade Market Analysis

Trend Strength (ADX)

18.2
Range-Bound
ADX < 20 indicates range-bound market. Trend-following strategies have low probability of success. Consider mean-reversion tactics (buy support, sell resistance).
Strategy: Range-bound. Fade extremes (sell resistance, buy support) with tight stops.

Support/Resistance Strength

Resistance: $18.18
Strong
Distance: 26.7%
Current: $14.35
Below 50d SMA
Support: $13.93
Strong
Distance: 2.9%
Probability Zones: Closer proximity increases bounce/rejection probability. Volume confirmation required at levels.

Market Structure

Pattern: Lower Highs, Lower Lows
Downtrend structure intact. Each rally fails at lower resistance.
Last Swing High:$18.18
Last Swing Low:$13.93
Prevents RSI-Only Traps: Despite oversold RSI, downtrend structure remains valid until price reclaims 50d SMA on volume.

ADX Trend Strength - 90-Day Overlay

Threshold markers at 20 and 25 show regime changes

Current ADX: 18.2 - Range-bound regime: Mean-reversion strategies preferred

Market Structure - Swing High/Low Analysis

Visual confirmation of trend structure (90-day view)

Swing High: $18.18 | Swing Low: $13.93

Structure: Lower Highs, Lower Lows (Downtrend) - Each rally fails below prior resistance

Support/Resistance Probability Bands

Color intensity = strength | Distance percentages shown inline

$18.18Resistance
26.7%Strong
$17.33
20.8%
$16.48
14.8%
$15.63
8.9%
$14.78
3.0%
$13.93Support
-2.9%Strong
Instant Insight: Closer proximity = higher bounce/rejection probability. Strong zones (darker colors) require volume confirmation to break. Current price at $14.35 shows closer to support zone - bounce probability increases.

Technical Analysis

Advanced technical indicators for CDE • 3M • 62 data points

Bollinger Bands

Price volatility analysis with 20-period moving average and ±2σ bands

Upper
SMA-20
Lower
Price

Trading Plan & Invalidation Rules

Bullish Scenario: If CDE holds above $16.16 on normal or rising volume, probability of continuation toward $18.18 increases.
Bearish Scenario: If CDE breaks below $13.93 on expanding volume (confirmation required), risk shifts toward lower historical supports. Monitor 200d SMA at $19.58 as potential floor.
Invalidation Rules:
  • Bullish thesis fails if price closes below $13.93 on volume >20-day average (indicates institutional selling).
  • Bearish thesis fails if price closes above $16.88 on volume >20-day average (indicates accumulation).
  • Monitor for volume divergence: price making new highs/lows on declining volume suggests exhaustion.

Multi-Timeframe Verdict Matrix

SHORT-TERM (Days)
Weak
Neutral momentum—wait for clearer directional signals before committing.
MEDIUM-TERM (Weeks)
Bearish structure
Price below 50d SMA reflects bearish structure. Recovery requires reclaim of $16.88 on expanding volume.
LONG-TERM (Months)
Requires 200d reclaim
Below 200d SMA suggests bear market risk. Long-term investors should avoid new positions until trend improves.
📊 Unified Recommendation
For Swing Traders (Days-Weeks): Wait for directional clarity. Breakout above $18.18 or breakdown below $13.93 needed.
For Position Traders (Weeks-Months): Bearish structure—avoid new longs until price reclaims $16.88 on rising volume. Consider shorts below $13.93 with volume confirmation above 20-day average.
⚠️ Important: This analysis reflects probability-based assessments, not certainties. Markets can remain irrational longer than expected. Always use stop-losses and position sizing to manage risk. Invalidation rules are critical—if thesis breaks, exit promptly.

Similar Companies

→ Find stocks in the same sector→ View sector performance→ Compare with industry peers

Analysis Tools

→ Large-cap stocks screener→ Top daily gainers→ Market overview dashboard